The series of X and M class flares and associated coronal mass ejections that occurred on the first days of September 2017 induced significant perturbations on the low‐latitude ionospheric electrodynamics. On 8 September in the Indian sector, the storm caused a severe modification of the equatorial electrojet (EEJ) with a consequent variation of the ionospheric structuring and dynamics. In our analysis, we propose an original method to isolate and identify EEJ variations from geomagnetic data and we detect the presence of equatorial plasma bubbles (EPB) from L‐band total electron content (TEC) data in order to understand their movement. Our results provide evidence of independent EPBs appearance freshly generated and inherited from a migrating plasma structure. The EPB (or EPBs) occurring in the south of India is/are freshly generated just above the magnetic equator, and is/are likely triggered by the sudden increase of EEJ just before the local sunset, acting as a pre‐reversal enhancement. The EPB appearing in the North‐East Indian region is associated with a migrating structure, resulting in a northward movement with a velocity of about 650 m/s, possibly testifying the passage of a large‐scale traveling ionospheric disturbance. The occurrence of severe post‐sunset scintillations in the northeastern sector suggests a possible cascade process forming small‐scale irregularities from the migrating EPB.
The purpose of the present study is to investigate simultaneously pre-earthquake ionospheric and atmospheric disturbances by the application of different methodologies, with the ultimate aim to detect their possible link with the impending seismic event. Three large earthquakes in Mexico are selected (8.2 Mw, 7.1 Mw and 6.6 Mw during 8 and 19 September 2017 and 21 January 2016 respectively), while ionospheric variations during the entire year 2017 prior to 37 earthquakes are also examined. In particular, Total Electron Content (TEC) retrieved from Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) networks and Atmospheric Chemical Potential (ACP) variations extracted from an atmospheric model are analyzed by performing statistical and spectral analysis on TEC measurements with the aid of Global Ionospheric Maps (GIMs), Ionospheric Precursor Mask (IPM) methodology and time series and regional maps of ACP. It is found that both large and short scale ionospheric anomalies occurring from few hours to a few days prior to the seismic events may be linked to the forthcoming events and most of them are nearly concurrent with atmospheric anomalies happening during the same day. This analysis also highlights that even in low-latitude areas it is possible to discern pre-earthquake ionospheric disturbances possibly linked with the imminent seismic events.
The present study examines the global ionospheric response to the “Mother’s Day Superstorm” (10–11 May 2024), one of the most intense geomagnetic storms since 1957, with a minimum SYM-H index of −436 nT. Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate-2 (COSMIC-2) Radio Occultation (RO) data indicated an increase in the F2 layer maximum critical frequency (foF2) over midlatitude dayside regions, which was accompanied by a significant F-region uplift (hmF2 increase) on a global scale, even on the nightside during the main and recovery phases. At the same time, a decrease in foF2 was observed on the nightside. High southeastward and vertical drift velocities were observed in the nightside sector of the northern hemisphere with the dayside sector exhibiting upward and southwestward-to-northwestward drifts during the main and recovery phases of the storm. An intense upward drift (~170 m/s) in the southern hemisphere was registered with the poleward expansion of the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA) during the main phase. Swarm A data highlighted the EIA expansion from ~45°N to 60°S during the dayside main phase and from ~30°N to 40°S on the nightside during recovery.
The present study examines the negative ionospheric response over Europe during two geomagnetic storms on 10–13 May 2024, known as the Mother’s Day geomagnetic superstorm. The first storm, with a peak SYM-H value of −436 nT, occurred in the interval 10–11 May, while the second, less intense storm (SYM-H~−103 nT), followed in the interval 12–13 May. Using data from four European locations, temporal and spatial variations in ionospheric parameters (TEC, foF2, and hmF2) were analyzed to investigate the morphology of the strong negative response. Sharp electron density (Ne) depletion is associated with the equatorward displacement of the Midlatitude Ionospheric Trough (MIT), confirmed by Swarm satellite data. A key finding was the absence of foF2 and hmF2 values over all ionosonde stations during the recovery phase of the storms, likely due to the coupling between the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA) crests and the auroral ionosphere influenced by the intense uplift of the F layer. Relevant distinct features such as Large-scale Travelling Ionospheric Disturbance (LSTID) signatures and Spread F were also noted, particularly during the initial and main phase of the first storm over high midlatitude regions. Regional effects varied, with high European midlatitudes exhibiting different features compared to lower European latitude areas.
The CyFFORS (Cyprus Flood Forecasting System) project aims at increasing flood risk awareness and promoting preparedness against flooding by developing and validating a pilot flood forecasting system targeted over three river/stream basins in the Larnaca region, Cyprus, and Attica region, Greece. The present study demonstrates the analysis of flood-associated information, based on ground-based and ERA5 model reanalysis data, which is a necessary procedure prior to the development of the hydrometeorological modeling tool, in one of the study areas, namely in the Rafina catchment in Attica, Greece. The analysis focusses on 12 stream flood episodes that occurred in the period 2008–2014. The results show that most events were associated with a typical, for the study area, wet-season cyclonic activity. The detailed investigation of two case studies highlighted important spatiotemporal differences in the generation and development of rainfall, as well as in the flooding magnitude, which were related to specific characteristics of the synoptic-scale forcing, topography and soil moisture preconditioning. Moreover, highly correlated positive relationships were found between the observed maximum stream discharge and the duration and maximum total accumulation of precipitation. A strong positive correlation was also evident between the peak discharge and the flooding impacts, leading to the identification of preliminary discharge thresholds for impact-based warnings, which can be applied to the pilot CyFFORS forecasting system.