Prediction of crop yield and quality is an essential component of successful implementation of precision agriculture. Given the recent commercialization of low-cost multispectral cameras mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles and advances in machine learning techniques, prediction systems for crop characteristics can be more precisely developed using machine learning techniques. Therefore, the model performances for predicting wheat grain yield and protein content between the machine learning algorithms based on spectral reflectance and plant height (e.g. random forest and artificial neural network) and the traditional linear regression based on vegetation indices were compared. Although the machine learning approaches based on reflectance could not improve the grain yield prediction accuracy, they have great potential for development in predicting protein content. The linear regression model based on a 2-band enhanced vegetation index was capable of predicting the yield with a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 972 kg ha⁻¹. The random forest model based on reflectance was capable of predicting the protein content with an RMSE of 1.07%. The reflectance may have been linearly correlated with total biomass; thus, it was also linearly correlated with grain yield. There was a nonlinear relationship between the grain yield and protein content, which may have resulted in the higher model performance of the machine learning approaches in predicting protein content. However, this relationship would be variable according to the environment and agronomic practice. Further, field-scale research is required to assess how this relationship can be varied and affect the model generality, particularly when predicting protein content.

Precise yield predictions are useful for implementing precision agriculture technologies and making better decisions in crop management. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have recently been used to predict crop yields in unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based remote sensing studies, but weather data have not been considered in modeling. The aim of this study was to explore the potential of multimodal deep learning on rice yield prediction accuracy using UAV multispectral images at the heading stage, along with weather data. The effects of the CNN architectures, layer depths, and weather data integration methods on the prediction accuracy were evaluated. Overall, the multimodal deep learning model integrating UAV-based multispectral imagery and weather data had the potential to develop more precise rice yield predictions. The best models were those trained with weekly weather data. A simple CNN feature extractor for UAV-based multispectral image input data might be sufficient to predict crop yields accurately. However, the spatial patterns of the predicted yield maps differed from model to model, although the prediction accuracy was almost the same. The results indicated that not only the prediction accuracies, but also the robustness of within-field yield predictions, should be assessed in further studies.

The phenotyping of field crops quantifies a plant’s structural and physiological characteristics to facilitate crop breeding. High-throughput unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based remote sensing platforms have been extensively researched as replacements for more laborious and time-consuming manual field phenotyping. This review aims to elucidate the advantages and challenges of UAV-based phenotyping techniques. This is a comprehensive overview summarizing the UAV platforms, sensors, and data processing while also introducing recent technological developments. Recently developed software and sensors greatly enhance the accessibility of UAV-based phenotyping, and a summary of recent research (publications 2019–2024) provides implications for future research. Researchers have focused on integrating multiple sensing data or utilizing machine learning algorithms, such as ensemble learning and deep learning, to enhance the prediction accuracies of crop physiological traits. However, this approach will require big data alongside laborious destructive measurements in the fields. Future research directions will involve standardizing the process of merging data from multiple field experiments and data repositories. Previous studies have focused mainly on UAV technology in major crops, but there is a high potential in minor crops or cropping systems for future sustainable crop production. This review can guide new practitioners who aim to implement and utilize UAV-based phenotyping.

Precise use of fertilizers has been a focal point in world agriculture for years because it increases crop production and reduces the negative impact of over-fertilization. Smart fertilizer management using information/data, sensors, and smart tools allows correct fertilization in precision agriculture, smart agriculture, and integrated nutrient management. Recent progress in prediction methods, such as hyperspectral imaging with machine learning, supports accurate N fertilization. In contrast, damage caused by the deficiency of several nutrients, such as Fe, K, and N, can be accurately identified by red, green, and blue (RGB) images. Current imaging technologies cannot cover all nutrients, but it has been proposed that nutrient biomarkers could be able to quantitatively predict the status of a particular nutrient with high specificity. This review presents an overview of the current approaches to plant phenotyping by imaging/sensor- and plant biomarker-technologies, and to soil analysis by imaging/sensor technologies for smart fertilizer management.

Accurate modeling of site-specific crop yield response is key to providing farmers with accurate site-specific economically optimal input rates (EOIRs) recommendations. Many studies have demonstrated that machine learning models can accurately predict yield. These models have also been used to analyze the effect of fertilizer application rates on yield and derive EOIRs. But models with accurate yield prediction can still provide highly inaccurate input application recommendations. This study quantified the uncertainty generated when using machine learning methods to model the effect of fertilizer application on site-specific crop yield response. The study uses real on-farm precision experimental data to evaluate the influence of the choice of machine learning algorithms and covariate selection on yield and EOIR prediction. The crop is winter wheat, and the inputs considered are a slow-release basal fertilizer NPK 25–6–4 and a top-dressed fertilizer NPK 17–0–17. Random forest, XGBoost, support vector regression, and artificial neural network algorithms were trained with 255 sets of covariates derived from combining eight different soil properties. Results indicate that both the predicted EOIRs and associated gained profits are highly sensitive to the choice of machine learning algorithm and covariate selection. The coefficients of variation of EOIRs derived from all possible combinations of covariate selection ranged from 13.3 to 31.5% for basal fertilization and from 14.2 to 30.5% for top-dressing. These findings indicate that while machine learning can be useful for predicting site-specific crop yield levels, it must be used with caution in making fertilizer application rate recommendations.