Precise yield predictions are useful for implementing precision agriculture technologies and making better decisions in crop management. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have recently been used to predict crop yields in unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based remote sensing studies, but weather data have not been considered in modeling. The aim of this study was to explore the potential of multimodal deep learning on rice yield prediction accuracy using UAV multispectral images at the heading stage, along with weather data. The effects of the CNN architectures, layer depths, and weather data integration methods on the prediction accuracy were evaluated. Overall, the multimodal deep learning model integrating UAV-based multispectral imagery and weather data had the potential to develop more precise rice yield predictions. The best models were those trained with weekly weather data. A simple CNN feature extractor for UAV-based multispectral image input data might be sufficient to predict crop yields accurately. However, the spatial patterns of the predicted yield maps differed from model to model, although the prediction accuracy was almost the same. The results indicated that not only the prediction accuracies, but also the robustness of within-field yield predictions, should be assessed in further studies.
The plant density of soybean is a critical factor affecting plant canopy structure and yield. Predicting the spatial variability of plant density would be valuable for improving agronomic practices. The objective of this study was to develop a model for plant density measurement using several data sets with different spatial resolutions, including unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery, PlanetScope satellite imagery, and climate data. The model establishment process includes (1) performing the high-throughput measurement of actual plant density from UAV imagery with the You Only Look Once version 3 (YOLOv3) object detection algorithm, which was further treated as a response variable of the estimation models in the next step, and (2) developing regression models to estimate plant density in the extended areas using various combinations of predictors derived from PlanetScope imagery and climate data. Our results showed that the YOLOv3 model can accurately measure actual soybean plant density from UAV imagery data with a root mean square error (RMSE) value of 0.96 plants m−2. Furthermore, the two regression models, partial least squares and random forest (RF), successfully expanded the plant density prediction areas with RMSE values ranging from 1.78 to 3.67 plant m−2. Model improvement was conducted using the variable importance feature in RF, which improved prediction accuracy with an RMSE value of 1.72 plant m−2. These results demonstrated that the established model had an acceptable prediction accuracy for estimating plant density. Although the model could not often evaluate the within-field spatial variability of soybean plant density, the predicted values were sufficient for informing the field-specific status.