Seismic soil liquefaction is considered as one of the most complex geotechnical earthquake engineering problems owing to the uncertainty and complexity involved in soil parameters, seismic parameters, and site condition factors. Each one of these parameters contains a variety of factors that trigger liquefaction and have varying degrees of importance. However, estimating accurate and reliable liquefaction-induced hazards requires identification and benchmarking of the most influential factors that control soil liquefaction. Seismic soil liquefaction factors were identified by Systematic Literature Review (SLR) approach and analyzed through Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) and the Cross-Impact Matrix Multiplication Applied to Classification (MICMAC) methodologies. The ISM model presented the relationships between fifteen seismic soil liquefaction factors and their benchmarking position from higher to lower-level significant factors in hierarchy. MICMAC is used to examine the strength of the relationship between seismic soil liquefaction significant factors based on their driving and dependence power. This research characterizes the identification and benchmarking of the seismic soil liquefaction factors and their relationships. The results show that the factors—duration of earthquake, peak ground acceleration, drainage condition, and standard penetration test (SPT) blow counts—influence seismic soil liquefaction directly and soil type is the governing factor that forms the base of the ISM hierarchy and consequently triggers seismic soil liquefaction. The results provide a more accurate way of selecting significant factors for establishment of seismic soil liquefaction potential and liquefaction-induced hazards risk assessment models.
Supervised learning algorithms are a recent trend for the prediction of mechanical properties of concrete. This paper presents AdaBoost, random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT) models for predicting the compressive strength of concrete at high temperature, based on the experimental data of 207 tests. The cement content, water, fine and coarse aggregates, silica fume, nano silica, fly ash, super plasticizer, and temperature were used as inputs for the models’ development. The performance of the AdaBoost, RF, and DT models are assessed using statistical indices, including the coefficient of determination (R2), root mean squared error-observations standard deviation ratio (RSR), mean absolute percentage error, and relative root mean square error. The applications of the above-mentioned approach for predicting the compressive strength of concrete at high temperature are compared with each other, and also to the artificial neural network and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system models described in the literature, to demonstrate the suitability of using the supervised learning methods for modeling to predict the compressive strength at high temperature. The results indicated a strong correlation between experimental and predicted values, with R2 above 0.9 and RSR lower than 0.5 during the learning and testing phases for the AdaBoost model. Moreover, the cement content in the mix was revealed as the most sensitive parameter by sensitivity analysis.
Liquefaction is considered a damaging phenomenon of earthquakes and a major cause of concern in civil engineering. Therefore, its predictory assessment is an essential task for geotechnical experts. This paper investigates the performance of Bayesian belief network (BBN) and C4.5 decision tree (DT) models to evaluate seismic soil liquefaction potential based on the updated and relatively large cone penetration test (CPT) dataset (which includes 251 case histories), comparing them to a simplified procedure and an evolutionary-based approach. The BBN model was developed using the K2 machine learning algorithm and domain knowledge (DK) with data fusion methodology, while the DT model was created using a C4.5 algorithm. This study shows that the BBN model is preferred over the others for evaluation of seismic soil liquefaction potential. Owing to its overall performance, simplicity in practice, data-driven characteristics, and ability to map interactions between variables, the use of a BBN model in assessing seismic soil liquefaction is quite promising. The results of a sensitivity analysis show that ‘equivalent clean sand penetration resistance’ is the most significant factor affecting liquefaction potential. This study also interprets the probabilistic reasoning of the robust BBN model and most probable explanation (MPE) of seismic soil liquefied sites, based on an engineering point of view.
Predicting pillar stability in underground mines is a critical problem because the instability of the pillar can cause large-scale collapse hazards. To predict the pillar stability for underground coal and stone mines, two new models (random tree and C4.5 decision tree algorithms) are proposed in this paper. Pillar stability depends on the parameters: width of the pillar (W), height of the pillar (H), W/H ratio, uniaxial compressive strength of the rock (σucs), and pillar stress (σp). These parameters are taken as input variables, while underground mines pillar stability as output. Various performance indices, i.e., accuracy, precision, recall, F-measure, Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) were used to evaluate the performance of the models. The performance evaluation of the established models showed that both models were able to predict pillar stability with reasonable accuracy. Results of the random tree and C4.5 decision tree were also compared with available models of support vector machine (SVM) and fishery discriminant analysis (FDA). The results show that the proposed random tree provides a reliable and feasible method of evaluating the pillar stability for underground mines.
Rockburst is a complex phenomenon of dynamic instability in the underground excavation of rock. Owing to the complex and unclear rockburst mechanism, it is difficult to accurately predict and reasonably assess the rockburst potential. With the increasing availability of case histories from rock engineering and the advancement of data science, the data mining algorithms provide a good way to predict complex phenomena, like rockburst potential. This paper investigates the potential of J48 and random tree algorithms to predict the rockburst classification ranks using 165 cases, with four parameters, namely maximum tangential stress of surrounding rock, uniaxial compressive strength, uniaxial tensile strength, and strain energy storage index. A comparison of developed models’ performances reveals that the random tree gives more reliable predictions than J48 and other empirical models (Russenes criterion, rock brittleness coefficient criterion, and artificial neural networks). Similar comparisons with convolutional neural network resulted at par performance in modeling the rockburst hazard data.
1 January 2022 in Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Predicting slope stability is critical for identifying terrain that is prone to landslides and mitigating the damage caused by landslides. The relationships between factors that determine slope instability are complicated and multi-factorial, so it is sometimes difficult to mathematically characterize slope stability. In this paper, new Tree Augmented Naive-Bayes (TAN) model was developed to predict slope stability subjected to circular failures based on six input factors: cohesion, internal friction angle, pore pressure ratio, slope angle, unit weight, and slope angle. A total 87 slope stability case records obtained from published literature was used to train and test the proposed TAN model. According to the results of the performance indices—accuracy, precision, recall, F-score and Matthews correlation coefficient, the established TAN model was proven to be better at predicting slope stability with acceptable accuracy than other formerly developed empirical models in the literature. Furthermore, the slope height was revealed as the most sensitive factor in a sensitivity analysis.