In today’s world, renewable energy sources are increasingly integrated with nonrenewable energy sources into electric grids and pose new challenges because of their intermittent and variable nature. Energy prediction using soft-computing techniques plays a vital role in addressing these challenges. As electricity consumption is closely linked to other energy sources such as natural gas and oil, forecasting electricity consumption is essential for making national energy policies. In this paper, we utilize various data mining techniques, including preprocessing historical load data and the load time series’s characteristics. We analyzed the power consumption trends from renewable energy sources and nonrenewable energy sources and combined them. A novel machine learning-based hybrid approach, combining multilayer perceptron (MLP), support vector regression (SVR), and CatBoost, is proposed in this paper for power forecasting. A thorough comparison is made, taking into account the results obtained using other prediction methods.
The battery management system in an electric vehicle must be reliable and durable to forecast the state of charge. Considering that battery degradation is generally nonlinear, state of charge (SOC) estimation with lower degradation can be challenging. Lithium-ion batteries are highly dependent on the knowledge of aging, which is usually costly or not available online. In this paper, we suggest the state of charge estimation of lithium-ion battery systems by using an extreme gradient boosting algorithm for electric vehicles application, which acquires the nonlinear relationship model can with offline training. The extreme gradient boosting algorithm is the tree on based learning, which effectively performs and speeds. Voltage-time data used as an input of this system from the partial constant current phase; the proposed algorithm improves the accuracy of predicting the relevant. Additionally, no initial state of charge is required in our proposed method; thus, estimating the state of charge can consider each battery state.
The ongoing upsurge of deep learning and artificial intelligence methodologies manifest incredible accomplishment in a broad scope of assessing issues in different industries, including the energy sector. In this article, we have presented a hybrid energy forecasting model based on machine learning techniques. It is based on the three machine learning algorithms: extreme gradient boosting, categorical boosting, and random forest method. Usually, machine learning algorithms focus on fine-tuning the hyperparameters, but our proposed hybrid algorithm focuses on the preprocessing using feature engineering to improve forecasting. We also focus on the way to impute a significant data gap and its effect on predicting. The forecasting exactness of the proposed model is evaluated using the regression score, and it depicts that the proposed model, with an R-squared of 0.9212, is more accurate than existing models. For the testing purpose of the proposed energy consumption forecasting model, we have used the actual dataset of South Korea’s hourly energy consumption. The proposed model can be used for any other dataset as well. This research result will provide a scientific premise for the strategy modification of energy supply and demand.
Modern computing resources, including machine learning-based techniques, are used to maintain stability between the demand and supply of electricity. Machine learning is widely used for the prediction of energy consumption. The researchers present several artificial intelligence and machine learning-based methods to improve the prediction accuracy of energy consumption. However, the discrepancy between actual energy consumption and predicted energy consumption is still challenging. Various factors, including changes in weather, holidays, and weekends, affect prediction accuracy. This article analyses the overall prediction using error curve learning and a hybrid model. Actual energy consumption data of Jeju island, South Korea, has been used for experimental purposes. We have used a hybrid ML model consisting of Catboost, Xgboost, and Multi-layer perceptron for the prediction. Then we analyze the factors that affect the week-ahead (WA) and 48 h prediction results. Mean error on weekdays is recorded as 2.78%, for weekends 2.79%, and for special days it is recorded as 4.28%. We took into consideration significant predicting errors and looked into the reasons behind those errors. Furthermore, we analyzed whether factors, such as a sudden change in temperature and typhoons, had an effect on energy consumption. Finally, the authors have considered the other factors, such as public holidays and weekends, to analyze the significant errors in the prediction. This study can be helpful for policymakers to make policies according to the error-causing factors.
30 August 2022 in Journal of Advanced Transportation
Demand for electric kickboards is increasing specifically in tourist-centric regions worldwide. In order to gain a competitive edge and to provide quality service to customers, it is essential to properly deploy rental electric kickboards (e-kickboards) at the time and place customers want. However, it is necessary to study how to divide the region to predict electric mobility demand by region. Therefore, this study is made to more accurately predict future demand based on past regional customers’ electric mobility demand data. We have proposed a novel electric kickboard demand prediction in spatiotemporal dimension using clustering-aided bagging regressor. We have used electric kickboard usage data from a Jeju, South Korea-based company. As a result of the experiment, it was found that the accuracy before using clustering-based bagging regressor and when the region was divided by the clustering method, the performance was improved, and we have achieved a regression score of 93.42 using our proposed approach. We have compared our proposed approach with other state-of-the-art models, and we have also compared our model with different other combinations of bagging regressors. This study can be helpful for companies to meet the user’s demand for a better quality of service.
Despite the increasing attention on smart farms as a solution to rural issues such as aging agricultural populations, a shortage of young farmers, decreased production area, and reduced investment leading to stagnant income, exports, and growth rates, many farms still rely on traditional methods like cultivating tangerines in open fields. Despite this, increasing farm income requires producing high-quality tangerines and selling them at premium prices, with fruit sweetness being a crucial factor. Therefore, there is a need to examine the close correlation between tangerine quality and sweetness. In this paper, we use deep learning with the PyCaret library to predict and analyze tangerine sweetness using data from seven regions in Jeju and 13 comprehensive factors influencing sweetness, including terrain, temperature, humidity, precipitation, sunlight, wind speed, acidity, sugar-acid ratio, and others. Although applying all 13 factors could achieve over 90% accuracy, our study, limited to seven factors, still achieves a respectable 82.4% prediction accuracy, demonstrating the significant impact of weather data on sweetness. Moreover, these optimistic predictions enable the estimation of tangerine quality and price formation in the market for the coming year, allowing tangerine farmers and related agencies to respond to market conditions proactively. Furthermore, by applying these data to smart farms to control factors influencing tangerine sweetness, it is anticipated that high-quality tangerine production and increased farm income can be achieved.