Data mining is employed to extract useful information and to detect patterns from often large data sets, closely related to knowledge discovery in databases and data science. In this investigation, we formulate models based on machine learning algorithms to extract relevant information predicting student retention at various levels, using higher education data and specifying the relevant variables involved in the modeling. Then, we utilize this information to help the process of knowledge discovery. We predict student retention at each of three levels during their first, second, and third years of study, obtaining models with an accuracy that exceeds 80% in all scenarios. These models allow us to adequately predict the level when dropout occurs. Among the machine learning algorithms used in this work are: decision trees, k-nearest neighbors, logistic regression, naive Bayes, random forest, and support vector machines, of which the random forest technique performs the best. We detect that secondary educational score and the community poverty index are important predictive variables, which have not been previously reported in educational studies of this type. The dropout assessment at various levels reported here is valid for higher education institutions around the world with similar conditions to the Chilean case, where dropout rates affect the efficiency of such institutions. Having the ability to predict dropout based on student’s data enables these institutions to take preventative measures, avoiding the dropouts. In the case study, balancing the majority and minority classes improves the performance of the algorithms.

Univariate Birnbaum-Saunders models have been widely applied to fatigue studies. Calculation of fatigue life is of great importance in determining the reliability of materials. We propose and derive new multivariate generalized Birnbaum-Saunders regression models. We use the maximum likelihood method and the EM algorithm to estimate their parameters. We carry out a simulation study to evaluate the performance of the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators. We illustrate the new models with real-world multivariate fatigue data.

The Weibull distribution is a versatile probability distribution widely applied in modeling the failure times of objects or systems. Its behavior is shaped by two essential parameters: the shape parameter and the scale parameter. By manipulating these parameters, the Weibull distribution adeptly captures diverse failure patterns observed in real-world scenarios. This flexibility and broad applicability make it an indispensable tool in reliability analysis and survival modeling. This manuscript explores five parameterizations of the Weibull distribution, each based on different moments, like mean, quantile, and mode. It meticulously characterizes each parameterization, introducing a novel one based on the model’s mode, along with its hazard and survival functions, shedding light on their unique properties. Additionally, it delves into the interpretation of regression coefficients when incorporating regression structures into these parameterizations. It is analytically established that all five parameterizations define the same log-likelihood function, underlining their equivalence. Through Monte Carlo simulation studies, the performances of these parameterizations are evaluated in terms of parameter estimations and residuals. The models are further applied to real-world data, illustrating their effectiveness in analyzing material fatigue life and survival data. In summary, this manuscript provides a comprehensive exploration of the Weibull distribution and its various parameterizations. It offers valuable insights into their applications and implications in modeling failure times, with potential contributions to diverse fields requiring reliability and survival analysis.