The South China Sea (SCS) experienced sea surface temperature that broke historical records in the autumn of 2015. This event cannot be explained by El Niño alone because the SCS usually warms during the El Niño peak and decaying phases. We show that an early anomalous anticyclone (AAC) establishment over the SCS in August contributed to this early warming. Analysis and simple modeling results reveal that such an early AAC establishment could be interpreted as a direct Rossby wave response to a cooling anomaly over the Maritime Continent (MC) and a Kelvin wave response to a heating anomaly over the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO). An unusual Indian Ocean dipole event contributed to the atmospheric heating anomaly over the TIO and made the cooling anomaly shrink to MC region. We should take into consideration the Indian Ocean SST patterns to improve the predictability of extreme East Asian climate.

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) have caused devasting ecological and socioeconomic impacts worldwide. Understanding the connection of regional events to large‐scale climatic drivers is key for enhancing predictability and mitigating MHW impacts. Despite the reported connection between MHWs globally and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), establishing statistically significant links between different types of ENSO events and MHWs remains challenging due to the limited duration of observational data. Here, we use 10,000 years of simulations from a Linear Inverse Model (LIM) to address this issue. Our findings reveal distinct connections between MHWs and ENSO, with diverging influences from different flavors of El Niño and La Niña events. In addition, under long‐lasting El Niño conditions, the likelihood of MHWs increases by up to 12‐fold in the Indian and Pacific Oceans. This study highlights the global connections between ENSO diversity and variations in MHW events.

In this study, an enhanced footprint of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) on the upper-ocean heat content (OHC) in the South China Sea (SCS) since the 1990s is revealed. The negative OHC–IPO correlation is significant (r= −0.71) during 1990–2010 [period 2 (P2)], whereas it is statistically insignificant during 1960–80 [period 1 (P1)]. Analyses show that the scope of the equatorial Pacific wind anomalies is wider during P2 compared with that during P1 due to a larger east–west SST gradient and enhanced tropical warming in the Indian Ocean. When the IPO is negative during P2, a wider scope of the wind stress anomalies associated with the IPO could lead to 1) the southward migration of the North Equatorial Current bifurcation latitude (NECBL) by affecting the wind stress curl over the key region where it is near the climatological NECBL and 2) an increase in the interbasin pressure gradient (sea surface height difference) between the western Pacific and the SCS; these two processes strengthen the Kuroshio and weaken the Luzon Strait transport (LST) or SCS throughflow into the SCS. Also, 3) the equatorial Pacific wind anomalies are wide enough to directly weaken the LST in the SCS through the “island rule.” These three pathways finally change the oceanic gyre in the SCS and increase the OHC. Our results suggest that the scope of the tropical wind stress is the crucial factor when we consider the relationship between the upper ocean thermal conditions in the SCS and the Pacific variability.

The traditional view holds that a weakened upwelling has often been observed off the coast of southeast Vietnam during the post-El Niño summer. This study investigated a strong upwelling and concurrent phytoplankton bloom off the coast of southeast Vietnam in August 2016 by comparing it with another case in 1998. Analyses of the upwelling structure and formation mechanisms indicated that the abnormal strong upwelling in August 2016 was attributable to strong wind-driven offshore Ekman transport and Ekman pumping, which were caused by the accompanying southwesterly anomalies south of the anomalous cyclone (AC) over the western North Pacific (WNP), and vice versa in August 1998. This anomalous southwesterly wind associated with the AC over the WNP could not be explained by La Niña, the negative Indian ocean dipole, or the positive Pacific meridional mode events. Further analyses showed that the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO)-induced westerly winds could have contributed more than 75% of the original zonal winds. Nine tropical cyclones generated over the WNP were favorable for excessive precipitation. The opposite configurations of precipitation patterns over the WNP and the Maritime Continent could have further strengthened the AC via a Gill response.