Multimorbidity is a major concern in primary care. Nevertheless, evidence of prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity, and their determinants, are scarce. The aim of this study is to systematically review studies of the prevalence, patterns and determinants of multimorbidity in primary care. Systematic review of literature published between 1961 and 2013 and indexed in Ovid (CINAHL, PsychINFO, Medline and Embase) and Web of Knowledge. Studies were selected according to eligibility criteria of addressing prevalence, determinants, and patterns of multimorbidity and using a pretested proforma in primary care. The quality and risk of bias were assessed using STROBE criteria. Two researchers assessed the eligibility of studies for inclusion (Kappa = 0.86). We identified 39 eligible publications describing studies that included a total of 70,057,611 patients in 12 countries. The number of health conditions analysed per study ranged from 5 to 335, with multimorbidity prevalence ranging from 12.9% to 95.1%. All studies observed a significant positive association between multimorbidity and age (odds ratio [OR], 1.26 to 227.46), and lower socioeconomic status (OR, 1.20 to 1.91). Positive associations with female gender and mental disorders were also observed. The most frequent patterns of multimorbidity included osteoarthritis together with cardiovascular and/or metabolic conditions. Well-established determinants of multimorbidity include age, lower socioeconomic status and gender. The most prevalent conditions shape the patterns of multimorbidity. However, the limitations of the current evidence base means that further and better designed studies are needed to inform policy, research and clinical practice, with the goal of improving health-related quality of life for patients with multimorbidity. Standardization of the definition and assessment of multimorbidity is essential in order to better understand this phenomenon, and is a necessary immediate step.

Background and Purpose— Previous studies have shown that midlife systolic blood pressure (SBP) predicts late-life cognitive decline and incident dementia. This study explores whether this association is attributable to the pulsatile, ie, pulse pressure (PP), or the nonpulsatile component of blood pressure (BP). Methods— Data are from the Honolulu-Asia Aging Study, a community-based study of Japanese American men. Midlife BP was measured in 1971 to 1974 and dementia assessment was conducted in late-life. The 2505 men who were dementia free in 1991 and had complete follow-up data were re-examined for incident dementia in 1994 to 1996 and 1997 to 1999. Their age ranged from 71 to 93 years. Survival analysis with age as the time scale was performed to estimate the risk (hazard ratio [HR] and 95% CI) for incident dementia associated with mid- and late-life tertiles of PP and mean arterial BP, as well as SBP and diastolic BP categories. Results— Over a mean of 5.1 years of follow-up, 189 cases (7.5%) of incident Alzheimer disease or vascular dementia were identified. After adjustment for cerebrovascular risk factors, dementia was significantly associated with SBP (HR 1.77; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.84, for SBP ≥140 mm Hg compared with SBP <120 mm Hg), but not with PP tertiles. Limiting the analysis to those never treated with antihypertensives, high levels of all 4 BP components were significantly associated with dementia. In models with 2 BP components, only SBP remained significant in both the total sample and the never-treated subgroup (HR 2.29; 95% CI, 1.23 to 4.25, for SBP ≥140 mm Hg in total sample), whereas PP was not significantly associated with the risk for dementia. Conclusions— Midlife PP is not independently associated with dementia incidence. Midlife SBP is the strongest BP component predicting incident dementia.

Increased brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) expression in the ventricles antedates elevated blood pressure (BP) in experimental studies. We hypothesized that higher plasma BNP levels in nonhypertensive individuals may be associated with a greater likelihood of future BP increase and/or hypertension. We evaluated the relations of plasma BNP to longitudinal BP tracking and incidence of hypertension in 1801 nonhypertensive Framingham Heart Study participants (mean age, 56 years; 57% women) by using gender-specific multivariable logistic regression. Progression of BP stage was defined as an increment of one or more BP categories, as classified by the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC VI). Hypertension was defined as a systolic BP ≥140 or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg or use of antihypertensive medications. On follow-up 4 years from baseline, progression of BP category was observed in 36.2% of men and 33.1% of women; hypertension developed in 16.4% of men and 15.5% of women. In multivariable models adjusting for known risk factors, elevated plasma BNP level was associated with increased risk of BP progression in men (odds ratio of 1.15 for trend across categories, P =0.046) but not in women ( P =0.82). There were no significant trends of increasing incidence of hypertension across BNP categories in men or women. In our community-based sample, higher plasma BNP levels were associated with increased risk of BP progression in men but not women. Additional investigations are warranted to confirm these findings and elucidate the basis for these gender-related differences.