Paula Moraga

Dr. Paula Moraga


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

10Years (2017-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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18 April 2024 in International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
CDCamila I. Donatti
Camila I. Donatti
KNKristina Nicholas
Kristina Nicholas
GFGiacomo Fedele
Giacomo Fedele
DDDamien Delforge
Damien Delforge
NSNiko Speybroeck
Niko Speybroeck
AZAlex Zvoleff
Alex Zvoleff

1 August 2017 in Spatial Statistics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PMPaula Moraga
Paula Moraga
SCSusanna M. Cramb
Susanna M. Cramb
KMKerrie Mengersen
Kerrie Mengersen
MPMarcello Pagano
Marcello Pagano

1 November 2021 in Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PMPaula Moraga
Paula Moraga
CDChristopher Dean
Christopher Dean
JIJoshua Inoue
Joshua Inoue
PMPiotr Morawiecki
Piotr Morawiecki
SNShahzeb Raja Noureen
Shahzeb Raja Noureen
FWFengpei Wang
Fengpei Wang

1 March 2022 in Environmental Research
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
VIVijendra Ingole
Vijendra Ingole
SSScott C. Sheridan
Scott C. Sheridan
SJSanjay Kamlakar Juvekar
Sanjay Kamlakar Juvekar
HAHicham Achebak
Hicham Achebak
PMPaula Moraga
Paula Moraga
Exposure to high and low ambient temperatures is associated with morbidity and mortality across the globe. Most of these studies assessing the effects of non-optimum temperatures on health and have been conducted in the developed world, whereas in India, the limited evidence on ambient temperature and health risks and has focused mostly on the effects of heat waves. Here we quantify short term association between all temperatures and mortality in urban Pune, India. We applied a time series regression model to derive temperature-mortality associations based on daily mean temperature and all-cause mortality records of Pune city from year January 2004 to December 2012. We estimated high and low temperature-mortality relationships by using standard time series quasi-Poisson regression in conjunction with a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). We calculated temperature attributable mortality fractions for total heat and total cold. The analysis provides estimates of the total mortality burden attributable to ambient temperature. Overall, 6∙5% [95%CI 1.76-11∙43] of deaths registered in the observational period were attributed to non-optimal temperatures, cold effect was greater 5.72% [95%CI 0∙70-10∙06] than heat 0∙84% [0∙35-1∙34]. The gender stratified analysis revealed that the highest burden among men both for heat and cold. Non-optimal temperatures are associated with a substantial mortality burden. Our findings could benefit national, and local communities in developing preparedness and prevention strategies to reduce weather-related impacts immediately due to climate change.

28 July 2021 in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
ECElizabeth A. Cromwell
Elizabeth A. Cromwell
JOJoshua C. P. Osborne
Joshua C. P. Osborne
TUThomas Raymond Unnasch
Thomas Raymond Unnasch
MBMaria-Gloria Basanez
Maria-Gloria Basanez
KGKATHERINE GASS
KATHERINE GASS
DPDavid M. Pigott
David M. Pigott
Recent evidence suggests that, in some foci, elimination of onchocerciasis from Africa may be feasible with mass drug administration (MDA) of ivermectin. To achieve continental elimination of transmission, mapping surveys will need to be conducted across all implementation units (IUs) for which endemicity status is currently unknown. Using boosted regression tree models with optimised hyperparameter selection, we estimated environmental suitability for onchocerciasis at the 5 × 5-km resolution across Africa. In order to classify IUs that include locations that are environmentally suitable, we used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to identify an optimal threshold for suitability concordant with locations where onchocerciasis has been previously detected. This threshold value was then used to classify IUs (more suitable or less suitable) based on the location within the IU with the largest mean prediction. Mean estimates of environmental suitability suggest large areas across West and Central Africa, as well as focal areas of East Africa, are suitable for onchocerciasis transmission, consistent with the presence of current control and elimination of transmission efforts. The ROC analysis identified a mean environmental suitability index of 0·71 as a threshold to classify based on the location with the largest mean prediction within the IU. Of the IUs considered for mapping surveys, 50·2% exceed this threshold for suitability in at least one 5 × 5-km location. The formidable scale of data collection required to map onchocerciasis endemicity across the African continent presents an opportunity to use spatial data to identify areas likely to be suitable for onchocerciasis transmission. National onchocerciasis elimination programmes may wish to consider prioritising these IUs for mapping surveys as human resources, laboratory capacity, and programmatic schedules may constrain survey implementation, and possibly delaying MDA initiation in areas that would ultimately qualify.

11 July 2022 in F1000Research
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
PMPaula Moraga
Paula Moraga
LBLaurie Baker
Laurie Baker
Spatial and spatio-temporal data are used in a wide range of fields including environmental, health and social disciplines. Several packages in the statistical software R have been recently developed as clients for various databases to meet the growing demands for easily accessible and reliable spatial data. While documentation on how to use many of these packages exist, there is an increasing need for a one stop repository for tutorials on this information. In this paper, we present rspatialdata a website that provides a collection of data sources and tutorials on downloading and visualising spatial data using R. The website includes a wide range of datasets including administrative boundaries of countries, Open Street Map data, population, temperature, vegetation, air pollution, and malaria data. The goal of the website is to equip researchers and communities with the tools to engage in spatial data analysis and visualisation so that they can address important local issues, such as estimating air pollution, quantifying disease burdens, and evaluating and monitoring the United Nation’s sustainable development goals.