Risk treatment is an effective way to reduce the risk of oil pipeline accidents. Many risk analysis and treatment strategies and models have been established based on the event tree method, bow-tie method, Bayesian network method, and other methods. Considering the characteristics of the current models, a risk treatment strategy model for oil pipeline accidents based on Bayesian decision network (BDNs) is proposed in this paper. First, the quantitative analysis method used in the Event-Evolution-Bayesian model (EEB model) is used for risk analysis. Second, the consequence weights and initial event likelihoods are added to the risk analysis model, and the integrated risk is obtained. Third, the risk treatment strategy model is established to achieve acceptable risk with optimal resources. The risk treatment options are added to the Bayesian network (BN) risk analysis model as the decision nodes and utility nodes. In this approach, the BN risk analysis model can be transformed into a risk treatment model based on BDNs. Compared to other models, this model can not only identify the risk factors comprehensively and illustrate the incident evolution process clearly, but also can support diverse risk treatment strategies for specific cases, such as to reduce the integrated risk to meet acceptable criterion or to balance the benefit and cost of an initiative. Furthermore, the risk treatment strategy can be updated as the risk context changes.
Emergencies in gas pipeline networks can lead to significant loss of life and property, necessitating extensive professional knowledge for effective response and management. Effective emergency response depends on specialized knowledge, which can be captured efficiently through domain-specific lexicons. The goal of this research is to develop a specialized lexicon that integrates domain-specific knowledge to improve emergency management in gas pipeline networks. The process starts with an enhanced version of Term Frequency–Inverse Document Frequency (TF-IDF), a statistical method used in information retrieval, combined with filtering logic to extract candidate words from investigation reports. Simultaneously, we fine tune the Chinese Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) model, a state-of-the-art language model, with domain-specific data to enhance semantic capture and integrate domain knowledge. Next, words with similar meanings are identified through word similarity analysis based on standard terminology and risk inventories, facilitating lexicon expansion. Finally, the domain-specific lexicon is formed by amalgamating these words. Validation shows that this method, which integrates domain knowledge, outperforms models that lack such integration. The resulting lexicon not only assigns domain-specific weights to terms but also deeply embeds domain knowledge, offering robust support for cause analysis and emergency management in gas pipeline networks.
Global supply chains face unprecedented complexity as organizations must simultaneously achieve sustainability objectives and operational resilience amid evolving risk landscapes. Despite extensive research, the absence of systematic knowledge synthesis has limited understanding of how these dual imperatives intersect. This study conducts the first comprehensive scientometric analysis of global supply chain risk management research, examining 1228 peer-reviewed articles from major databases published from 2016 to June 2025. The study employed co-occurrence analysis, temporal burst detection, and network visualization to map the intellectual structure and evolutionary dynamics of this field. Our study reveals four distinct research clusters: risk factor identification (traditional and unconventional threats), environmental and social sustainability integration, technology-driven challenges, and innovative risk management methodologies. Temporal analysis demonstrates significant research acceleration post-2020, driven by pandemic disruptions, with emerging focus on cyberattacks, geopolitical conflicts, and ESG compliance challenges. The findings reveal critical gaps at the sustainability-resilience intersection, particularly paradoxical tensions where short-term resilience measures may compromise long-term sustainability goals. We propose four priority research directions: digital transformation frameworks balancing sustainability-resilience trade-offs, ESG-integrated early warning systems, adaptive governance mechanisms for unconventional risks, and policy frameworks addressing regulatory complexity. This systematic knowledge mapping provides theoretical foundations for future research and practical guidance for supply chain managers navigating dual sustainability-resilience objectives in an uncertain global environment.
Post-earthquake fires often cause more severe losses than the earthquakes themselves, highlighting the critical role of water distribution networks (WDNs) in mitigating fire risks. This study proposed an improved assessment framework for the post-earthquake firefighting functionality of WDNs. This framework integrates a WDN firefighting simulation model into a cloud model-based assessment method. By combining seismic damage and firefighting scenarios, the simulation model derives sample values of the functional indexes through Monte Carlo simulations. These indexes integrate the spatiotemporal characteristics of the firefighting flow and pressure deficiencies to assess a WDN’s capability to control fire and address fire hazards across three dimensions: average, severe, and prolonged severe deficiencies. The cloud model-based assessment method integrates the sample values of functional indexes with expert opinions, enabling qualitative and quantitative assessments under stochastic–fuzzy conditions. An illustrative study validated the efficacy of this method. The flow- and pressure-based indexes elucidated functionality degradation owing to excessive firefighting flow and the diminished supply capacity of a WDN, respectively. The spatiotemporal characteristics of severe flow and pressure deficiencies demonstrated the capability of firefighting resources to manage concurrent fires while ensuring a sustained water supply to fire sites. This method addressed the limitations of traditional quantitative and qualitative assessment approaches, resulting in more reliable outcomes.
Emergency management urgently requires comprehensive knowledge while having a high possibility to go beyond individuals' cognitive scope. Therefore, artificial intelligence(AI) supported decision-making under that circumstance is of vital importance. Recent emerging large language models (LLM) provide a new direction for enhancing targeted machine intelligence. However, the utilization of LLM directly would inevitably introduce unreliable output for its inherent issue of hallucination and poor reasoning skills. In this work, we develop a system called Enhancing Emergency decision-making with Knowledge Graph and LLM (E-KELL), which provides evidence-based decision-making in various emergency stages. The study constructs a structured emergency knowledge graph and guides LLMs to reason over it via a prompt chain. In real-world evaluations, E-KELL receives scores of 9.06, 9.09, 9.03, and 9.09 in comprehensibility, accuracy, conciseness, and instructiveness from a group of emergency commanders and firefighters, demonstrating a significant improvement across various situations compared to baseline models. This work introduces a novel approach to providing reliable emergency decision support.