Risk treatment is an effective way to reduce the risk of oil pipeline accidents. Many risk analysis and treatment strategies and models have been established based on the event tree method, bow-tie method, Bayesian network method, and other methods. Considering the characteristics of the current models, a risk treatment strategy model for oil pipeline accidents based on Bayesian decision network (BDNs) is proposed in this paper. First, the quantitative analysis method used in the Event-Evolution-Bayesian model (EEB model) is used for risk analysis. Second, the consequence weights and initial event likelihoods are added to the risk analysis model, and the integrated risk is obtained. Third, the risk treatment strategy model is established to achieve acceptable risk with optimal resources. The risk treatment options are added to the Bayesian network (BN) risk analysis model as the decision nodes and utility nodes. In this approach, the BN risk analysis model can be transformed into a risk treatment model based on BDNs. Compared to other models, this model can not only identify the risk factors comprehensively and illustrate the incident evolution process clearly, but also can support diverse risk treatment strategies for specific cases, such as to reduce the integrated risk to meet acceptable criterion or to balance the benefit and cost of an initiative. Furthermore, the risk treatment strategy can be updated as the risk context changes.

Global supply chains face unprecedented complexity as organizations must simultaneously achieve sustainability objectives and operational resilience amid evolving risk landscapes. Despite extensive research, the absence of systematic knowledge synthesis has limited understanding of how these dual imperatives intersect. This study conducts the first comprehensive scientometric analysis of global supply chain risk management research, examining 1228 peer-reviewed articles from major databases published from 2016 to June 2025. The study employed co-occurrence analysis, temporal burst detection, and network visualization to map the intellectual structure and evolutionary dynamics of this field. Our study reveals four distinct research clusters: risk factor identification (traditional and unconventional threats), environmental and social sustainability integration, technology-driven challenges, and innovative risk management methodologies. Temporal analysis demonstrates significant research acceleration post-2020, driven by pandemic disruptions, with emerging focus on cyberattacks, geopolitical conflicts, and ESG compliance challenges. The findings reveal critical gaps at the sustainability-resilience intersection, particularly paradoxical tensions where short-term resilience measures may compromise long-term sustainability goals. We propose four priority research directions: digital transformation frameworks balancing sustainability-resilience trade-offs, ESG-integrated early warning systems, adaptive governance mechanisms for unconventional risks, and policy frameworks addressing regulatory complexity. This systematic knowledge mapping provides theoretical foundations for future research and practical guidance for supply chain managers navigating dual sustainability-resilience objectives in an uncertain global environment.

Post-earthquake fires often cause more severe losses than the earthquakes themselves, highlighting the critical role of water distribution networks (WDNs) in mitigating fire risks. This study proposed an improved assessment framework for the post-earthquake firefighting functionality of WDNs. This framework integrates a WDN firefighting simulation model into a cloud model-based assessment method. By combining seismic damage and firefighting scenarios, the simulation model derives sample values of the functional indexes through Monte Carlo simulations. These indexes integrate the spatiotemporal characteristics of the firefighting flow and pressure deficiencies to assess a WDN’s capability to control fire and address fire hazards across three dimensions: average, severe, and prolonged severe deficiencies. The cloud model-based assessment method integrates the sample values of functional indexes with expert opinions, enabling qualitative and quantitative assessments under stochastic–fuzzy conditions. An illustrative study validated the efficacy of this method. The flow- and pressure-based indexes elucidated functionality degradation owing to excessive firefighting flow and the diminished supply capacity of a WDN, respectively. The spatiotemporal characteristics of severe flow and pressure deficiencies demonstrated the capability of firefighting resources to manage concurrent fires while ensuring a sustained water supply to fire sites. This method addressed the limitations of traditional quantitative and qualitative assessment approaches, resulting in more reliable outcomes.

The firefighting capacity of water distribution networks following earthquakes is essential for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals on resilient infrastructure and sustainable communities. Isolating broken pipes to curb leakage can preserve water supply, but the effects of such operations on post-earthquake firefighting remain incompletely understood. Here, we develop an improved valve closure decision method for post-earthquake firefighting that balances leakage reduction with water transmission capacity. Using this method as a basis, we examine how ground motion intensity, domestic water curtailment, firefighting flow, the number and spatial distribution of fires, valve layout, and valve closure policy jointly affect firefighting. A case study on a benchmark network shows that the valve closure scheme generated by the decision method reduces leakage by about 60–75% under spatially dispersed fires and the N − 1 valve layout. Compared with no isolation, it also raises delivered firefighting flow from under 20% to over 80% of the design value. On average, these schemes deliver flow 5–10% below the optimal scheme. Valve placement, however, has a strong influence: under the N − 2 layout, alternative placements can alter delivered flow by 10–20%. Adverse conditions—widespread pipe leakage caused by strong ground motion, hydraulic overload from clustered fires or firefighting flow surges, and sharp pressure reductions at fire nodes in low-pressure zones owing to excessive flow or leakage—can prevent the schemes from improving firefighting flow. These findings indicate that effective firefighting requires a combination of rational valve placement and closure schemes with seismic retrofitting of pipes and fire hazard mitigation.