For a stochastic COVID-19 model with jump-diffusion, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution. We also investigate some conditions for the extinction and persistence of the disease. We calculate the threshold of the stochastic epidemic system which determines the extinction or permanence of the disease at different intensities of the stochastic noises. This threshold is denoted byξwhich depends on white and jump noises. The effects of these noises on the dynamics of the model are studied. The numerical experiments show that the random perturbation introduced in the stochastic model suppresses disease outbreak as compared to its deterministic counterpart. In other words, the impact of the noises on the extinction and persistence is high. When the noise is large or small, our numerical findings show that COVID-19 vanishes from the population if $\xi <1$ ; whereas the epidemic cannot go out of control if $\xi >1$ . From this, we observe that white noise and jump noise have a significant effect on the spread of COVID-19 infection, i.e., we can conclude that the stochastic model is more realistic than the deterministic one. Finally, to illustrate this phenomenon, we put some numerical simulations.
The aim of this article is to consider a class of neutral Caputo fractional stochastic evolution equations with infinite delay (INFSEEs) driven by fractional Brownian motion (fBm) and Poisson jumps in Hilbert space. First, we establish the local and global existence and uniqueness theorems of mild solutions for the aforementioned neutral fractional stochastic system under local and global Carathéodory conditions by using the successive approximations, stochastic analysis, fractional calculus, and stopping time techniques. The obtained existence result in this article is new in the sense that it generalizes some of the existing results in the literature. Furthermore, we discuss the averaging principle for the proposed neutral fractional stochastic system in view of the convergence in mean square between the solution of the standard INFSEEs and that of the simplified equation. Finally, the obtained averaging theory is validated with an example.
18 December 2019 in Advances in Difference Equations
This paper presents the periodic averaging principle for impulsive stochastic dynamical systems driven by fractional Brownian motion (fBm). Under non-Lipschitz condition, we prove that the solutions to impulsive stochastic differential equations (ISDEs) with fBm can be approximated by the solutions to averaged SDEs without impulses both in the sense of mean square and probability. Finally, an example is provided to illustrate the theoretical results.
In this manuscript, a new class of impulsive fractional Caputo neutral stochastic differential equations with variable delay (IFNSDEs, in short) perturbed by fractional Brownain motion (fBm) and Poisson jumps was studied. We utilized the Carathéodory approximation approach and stochastic calculus to present the existence and uniqueness theorem of the stochastic system under Carathéodory-type conditions with Lipschitz and non-Lipschitz conditions as special cases. Some existing results are generalized and enhanced. Finally, an application is offered to illustrate the obtained theoretical results.
In this work, we present the analysis of a mixed weighted fractional Brownian motion, defined by , where B is a Brownian motion and is an independent weighted fractional Brownian motion. We also consider the parameter estimation problem for the drift parameter in the mixed weighted fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model of the form . Moreover, a simulation is given of sample paths of the mixed weighted fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process.
1 September 2021 in Journal of Physics: Conference Series
In this work, we study theA[α] – stability of the additive methods of Runge- Kutta kind of orders ranging from 2 up to 4 that will be applied for determining some stiff nonlinear system of the ODEs. Moreover, we find the stability function for the additive Runge-Kutta method and some methods of this type of order 2,3, and 4. Where the method (A,B1) is A-stable and semi-implicit and method (A,B2) is explicit. Furthermore, the stiff term is managed by the semi-implicit Runge-Kutta method while no stiff term is treated by the explicit Runge Kutta method. Those methods are suitable for solving chemical reactions problems that include stiff and non-stiff terms.