The security and stability of the power grid are directly affected by the accuracy of power load forecasting. Additionally, it plays an important role in power system planning. In order to enhance forecasting accuracy, a combined forecasting model is proposed in this paper. Firstly, preprocessing of the original data is conducted through improved singular spectrum analysis. Subsequently, load data prediction is carried out by the adaptive evolutionary extreme learning machine (SaDE-ELM). Additionally, load data prediction is performed using the support vector machine model(SVM), which is optimized by the chaotic adaptive whale algorithm based on the firefly disturbance strategy (FA-CAWOA-LSSVM). In the final step, the weight coefficients of the two prediction models are calculated by the chaotic sparrow search algorithm (CSSA). The load prediction results are obtained through the weighted summation of the two predictions. Superior performance is demonstrated by the combined prediction model compared with other single prediction models. The data preprocessing method, based on improved singular spectrum analysis, effectively enhances prediction accuracy.
This study proposes an innovative algorithm based on a hybrid optimization strategy, integrating the rapidly-exploring random tree (RRT) and an improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) method to address the time-optimal trajectory planning problem for six-degree-of-freedom robotic arms. The proposed approach emphasizes obstacle avoidance and motion smoothness. RRT is utilized within a dynamic three-dimensional environment to rapidly generate an initial collision-free path. Subsequently, improved PSO enhances global search performance by introducing a multi-source chaotic mapping-based population initialization strategy, dynamically adjusted inertia weights, and nonlinear learning factors. These enhancements effectively mitigate the limitations of traditional PSO methods, which are prone to premature convergence in complex optimization problems. Furthermore, the proposed 3-5-3 polynomial interpolation method significantly smooths the trajectory, reducing fluctuations in velocity and acceleration, and thereby improving the precision and energy efficiency of trajectory planning. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms existing methods, such as the improved RRT and improved non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm, across multiple metrics. Notable achievements include a reduction of total motion time by approximately 21%, improved stability in robotic arm motion, and enhanced adaptability to dynamic environments. Particularly, the method achieves superior trajectory diversity and uniformity through joint optimization of multiple chaotic sources, overcoming the inherent limitations of single chaotic mappings. This research expands the application scenarios of RRT and PSO and provides a novel solution for intelligent control and real-time planning of high-degree-of-freedom robotic arms.
The hybrid synchronization problem of a class of chaotic systems is investigated in this paper. Firstly, the existence of hybrid synchronization problems in such systems is proved theoretically by a proposed necessary and sufficient condition. That is, the hybrid synchronization problem is equivalent to solve a group of nonlinear algebraic equations about . It is interesting that one value of indicates one type of synchronization. Secondly, all solutions for the hybrid synchronization problem are obtained by finding solutions of all the above equations about . Thirdly, an universal control method is proposed to realize such hybrid synchronization problems. Finally, illustrative examples are provided to verify the validity and effectiveness of the obtained results.
The yield of photovoltaic hydrogen production systems is influenced by a number of factors, including weather conditions, the cleanliness of photovoltaic modules, and operational efficiency. Temporal variations in weather conditions have been shown to significantly impact the output of photovoltaic systems, thereby influencing hydrogen production. To address the inaccuracies in hydrogen production capacity predictions due to weather-related temporal variations in different regions, this study develops a method for predicting photovoltaic hydrogen production capacity using the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model. The proposed method integrates meteorological parameters, including temperature, wind speed, precipitation, and humidity into a neural network model to estimate the daily solar radiation intensity. This approach is then integrated with a photovoltaic hydrogen production prediction model to estimate the region’s hydrogen production capacity. To validate the accuracy and feasibility of this method, meteorological data from Lanzhou, China, from 2013 to 2022 were used to train the model and test its performance. The results show that the predicted hydrogen production agrees well with the actual values, with a low mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and a high coefficient of determination (R2). The predicted hydrogen production in winter has a MAPE of 0.55% and an R2 of 0.985, while the predicted hydrogen production in summer has a slightly higher MAPE of 0.61% and a lower R2 of 0.968, due to higher irradiance levels and weather fluctuations. The present model captures long-term dependencies in the time series data, significantly improving prediction accuracy compared to conventional methods. This approach offers a cost-effective and practical solution for predicting photovoltaic hydrogen production, demonstrating significant potential for the optimization of the operation of photovoltaic hydrogen production systems in diverse environments.
This paper investigates the asymptotic tracking control problem of the chaotic system. Firstly, a reference system is presented, the output of which can asymptotically track a given command. Then, a both physically implementable and simple controller is designed, by which the given chaotic system synchronizes the reference system, and thus the output of such chaotic systems can asymptotically track the given command. It should be pointed out that the output of the given chaotic system can asymptotically track arbitrary desired periodic orbits. Finally, several illustrative examples are taken as example to show the validity and effectiveness of the obtained results.
23 April 2021 in Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Accurate and stable power load forecasting methods are essential for the rational allocation of power resources and grid operation. Due to the nonlinear nature of power loads, it is difficult for a single forecasting method to complete the forecasting task accurately and quickly. In this study, a new combined model for power loads forecasting is proposed. The initial weights and thresholds of the extreme learning machine (ELM) optimized by the chaotic sparrow search algorithm (CSSA) and improved by the firefly algorithm (FA) are used to improve the forecasting performance and achieve accurate forecasting. The early local optimum that exists in the sparrow algorithm is overcome by Tent chaotic mapping. A firefly perturbation strategy is used to improve the global optimization capability of the model. Real values from a power grid in Shandong are used to validate the prediction performance of the proposed FA-CSSA-ELM model. Experiments show that the proposed model produces more accurate forecasting results than other single forecasting models or combined forecasting models.