Objective: The conflicts among motorists entering a signalized intersection with the red light indication have become a national safety issue. Because of its sensitivity, efforts have been made to investigate the possible causes and effectiveness of countermeasures using comparison sites and/or before-and-after studies. Nevertheless, these approaches are ineffective when comparison sites cannot be found, or crash data sets are not readily available or not reliable for statistical analysis. Considering the random nature of red light running (RLR) crashes, an inventive approach regardless of data availability is necessary to evaluate the effectiveness of each countermeasure face to face. Method: The aims of this research are to (1) review erstwhile literature related to red light running and traffic safety models; (2) propose a practical methodology for evaluation of RLR countermeasures with a microscopic traffic simulation model and surrogate safety assessment model (SSAM); (3) apply the proposed methodology to actual signalized intersection in Virginia, with the most prevalent scenarios—increasing the yellow signal interval duration, installing an advance warning sign, and an RLR camera; and (4) analyze the relative effectiveness by RLR frequency and the number of conflicts (rear-end and crossing). Results: All scenarios show a reduction in RLR frequency (−7.8, −45.5, and −52.4%, respectively), but only increasing the yellow signal interval duration results in a reduced total number of conflicts (−11.3%; a surrogate safety measure of possible RLR-related crashes). An RLR camera makes the greatest reduction (−60.9%) in crossing conflicts (a surrogate safety measure of possible angle crashes), whereas increasing the yellow signal interval duration results in only a 12.8% reduction of rear-end conflicts (a surrogate safety measure of possible rear-end crash). Conclusions: Although increasing the yellow signal interval duration is advantageous because this reduces the total conflicts (a possibility of total RLR-related crashes), each countermeasure shows different effects by RLR-related conflict types that can be referred to when making a decision. Given that each intersection has different RLR crash issues, evaluated countermeasures are directly applicable to enhance the cost and time effectiveness, according to the situation of the target intersection. In addition, the proposed methodology is replicable at any site that has a dearth of crash data and/or comparison sites in order to test any other countermeasures (both engineering and enforcement countermeasures) for RLR crashes.
30 September 2023 in Journal of Public Transportation
The advent of automated vehicles (AVs) will provide opportunities for safer, smoother, and smarter road transportation. During the transition from the current human-driven vehicle (HV) to a fully AV traffic environment, there will be a mixed traffic flow including both HVs and AVs. The impact of introducing AVs into existing traffic, however, has not yet been fully understood. In this paper, we advance this understanding by conducting mixed traffic safety evaluation from the perspective of car-following behavior using real-world AV operational data of mixed traffic. To understand how the AVs impact other vehicles on the road, we analyzed the operational behaviors of HV-following-HV, AV-following-HV, and HV-following-AV. A selected car-following model is calibrated, and results show that there are significant differences between the HV-following-HV and the other two groups, indicating safe AV behavior and changes in HV behavior (i.e. less aggressive, safer) after the introduction of AVs into the traffic. Additionally, to understand AV behavioral safety, we investigate behavior predictions (one of the most critical inputs for AVs to make car-following decisions) of AVs and their surrounding vehicles using a mature baseline model and a new Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE) framework. The result shows potential risks of inaccurate predictions of the baseline model and the necessity to consider additional factors, such as vehicle interactions and driver behavior, into the prediction for risk mitigation. Arterial vehicle trajectory data from the Lyft Level 5 Dataset is applied to test the proposed methodological framework to understand the car-following safety risks of HVs and AVs in the mixed traffic stream.
Previous studies regarding transportation impacts on economic development in urban areas have three major issues—the limited scope of analysis mostly with the change of property values, the exclusion of smart transportation systems as features despite their potential for urban areas, and stereotyped approaches with limited types of variables. To surmount such limitations, this research adopted the concept of Big Data with machine learning techniques. As such, a total of 67 features from main categories, including the change of business, geographical boundary, socio-economic, land value, transportation, smart transportation, sales, and floating population were analyzed with XGBoost and SHAP algorithms. Given that the rise and fall of business is a major consideration for economic development in urban areas, the change in the total number of sales was selected as a target value. As a result, sales-related features showed the largest contribution to the rise of business, among others. It was also noted that features related to smart transportation systems obviously affected the success of business, even more than traditional ones from transportation. It is thus expected that the findings from this research will provide insights for decision-makers and researchers to make customized policies for boosting economic development in urban areas that are a major part of the urban economy to achieve sustainability.