Adam Sykulski

Dr. Adam Sykulski

Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Lancaster University, Bailrigg, Lancaster LA1 4YW, UK
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

21Years (2006-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 April 2016 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SEShane Elipot
Shane Elipot
RLRick Lumpkin
Rick Lumpkin
RPRenellys C. Perez
Renellys C. Perez
JLJonathan M. Lilly
Jonathan M. Lilly
JEJeffrey J. Early
Jeffrey J. Early
ASAdam Sykulski
Adam Sykulski
The surface drifting buoys, or drifters, of the Global Drifter Program (GDP) are predominantly tracked by the Argos positioning system, providing drifter locations with O(100 m) errors at nonuniform temporal intervals, with an average interval of 1.2 h since January 2005. This data set is thus a rich and global source of information on high‐frequency and small‐scale oceanic processes, yet is still relatively understudied because of the challenges associated with its large size and sampling characteristics. A methodology is described to produce a new high‐resolution global data set since 2005, consisting of drifter locations and velocities estimated at hourly intervals, along with their respective errors. Locations and velocities are obtained by modeling locally in time trajectories as a first‐order polynomial with coefficients obtained by maximizing a likelihood function. This function is derived by modeling the Argos location errors with t location‐scale probability distribution functions. The methodology is motivated by analyzing 82 drifters tracked contemporaneously by Argos and by the Global Positioning System, where the latter is assumed to provide true locations. A global spectral analysis of the velocity variance from the new data set reveals a sharply defined ridge of energy closely following the inertial frequency as a function of latitude, distinct energy peaks near diurnal and semidiurnal frequencies, as well as higher‐frequency peaks located near tidal harmonics as well as near replicates of the inertial frequency. Compared to the spectra that can be obtained using the standard 6‐hourly GDP product, the new data set contains up to 100% more spectral energy at some latitudes.

13 February 2019 in Biometrika
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Journal Article
Open access
ASAdam Sykulski
Adam Sykulski
SOSofia C Olhede
Sofia C Olhede
AGArthur P Guillaumin
Arthur P Guillaumin
JLJonathan M Lilly
Jonathan M Lilly
JEJeffrey J Early
Jeffrey J Early

21 August 2017 in Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
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Journal Article
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JLJonathan Lilly
Jonathan Lilly
ASAdam Sykulski
Adam Sykulski
JEJeffrey Early
Jeffrey Early
SOSofia C. Olhede
Sofia C. Olhede
Stochastic processes exhibiting power-law slopes in the frequency domain are frequently well modeled by fractional Brownian motion (fBm), with the spectral slope at high frequencies being associated with the degree of small-scale roughness or fractal dimension. However, a broad class of real-world signals have a high-frequency slope, like fBm, but a plateau in the vicinity of zero frequency. This low-frequency plateau, it is shown, implies that the temporal integral of the process exhibits diffusive behavior, dispersing from its initial location at a constant rate. Such processes are not well modeled by fBm, which has a singularity at zero frequency corresponding to an unbounded rate of dispersion. A more appropriate stochastic model is a much lesser-known random process called the Matérn process, which is shown herein to be a damped version of fractional Brownian motion. This article first provides a thorough introduction to fractional Brownian motion, then examines the details of the Matérn process and its relationship to fBm. An algorithm for the simulation of the Matérn process in O(NlogN) operations is given. Unlike fBm, the Matérn process is found to provide an excellent match to modeling velocities from particle trajectories in an application to two-dimensional fluid turbulence.

23 June 2015 in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics
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Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
ASAdam Sykulski
Adam Sykulski
SOSofia C. Olhede
Sofia C. Olhede
JLJonathan M. Lilly
Jonathan M. Lilly
EDEric Danioux
Eric Danioux

10 August 2016 in IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
ASAdam Sykulski
Adam Sykulski
SOSofia C. Olhede
Sofia C. Olhede
JLJonathan M. Lilly
Jonathan M. Lilly
We propose a simple stochastic process for modeling improper or noncircular complex-valued signals. The process is a natural extension of a complex-valued autoregressive process, extended to include a widely linear autoregressive term. This process can then capture elliptical, as opposed to circular, stochastic oscillations in a bivariate signal. The process is order one and is more parsimonious than alternative stochastic modeling approaches in the literature. We provide conditions for stationarity, and derive the form of the covariance and relation sequence of this model. We describe how parameter estimation can be efficiently performed both in the time and frequency domain. We demonstrate the practical utility of the process in capturing elliptical oscillations that are naturally present in seismic signals.

1 January 2010 in Multiscale Modeling & Simulation
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SOS. C. Olhede
S. C. Olhede
ASAdam Sykulski
Adam Sykulski
GPG. A. Pavliotis
G. A. Pavliotis
This paper proposes a novel multiscale estimator for the integrated volatility of an Itô process in the presence of market microstructure noise (observation error). The multiscale structure of the observed process is represented frequency by frequency, and the concept of the multiscale ratio is introduced to quantify the bias in the realized integrated volatility due to the observation error. The multiscale ratio is estimated from a single sample path, and a frequency-by-frequency bias correction procedure is proposed, which simultaneously reduces variance. We extend the method to include correlated observation errors and provide the implied time-domain form of the estimation procedure. The new method is implemented to estimate the integrated volatility for the Heston and other models, and the improved performance of our method over existing methods is illustrated by simulation studies.