Vadim Manusov

Prof. Vadim Manusov

Novosibirsk State Technical University, Novosibirsk, Russia

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

14Years (2013-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 December 2020 in Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
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Pavel V. MatreninPavel V. Matrenin
Pavel V. Matrenin
Vadim ManusovVadim Manusov
Vadim Manusov
Alexandra KhalyasmaaAlexandra Khalyasmaa
Alexandra Khalyasmaa
DADmitry V. Antonenkov
Dmitry V. Antonenkov
Stanislav EroshenkoStanislav Eroshenko
Stanislav Eroshenko
Denis ButusovDenis Butusov
Denis Butusov
The load forecasting of a coal mining enterprise is a complicated problem due to the irregular technological process of mining. It is necessary to apply models that can distinguish both cyclic components and complex rules in the energy consumption data that reflect the highly volatile technological process. For such tasks, Artificial Neural Networks demonstrate advanced performance. In recent years, the effectiveness of Artificial Neural Networks has been significantly improved thanks to new state-of-the-art architectures, training methods and approaches to reduce overfitting. In this paper, the Recurrent Neural Network architecture with a small-size model was applied to the short-term load forecasting of a coal mining enterprise. A single recurrent model was developed and trained for the entire four-year operational period of the enterprise, with significant changes in the energy consumption pattern during the period. This task was challenging since it required high-level generalization performance from the model. It was shown that the accuracy and generalization properties of small-size recurrent models can be significantly improved by the proper selection of the hyper-parameters and training method. The effectiveness of the proposed approach was validated using a real-case dataset.

8 February 2022 in Mathematics
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Journal Article
Open access
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Vadim ManusovVadim Manusov
Vadim Manusov
SBSvetlana Beryozkina
Svetlana Beryozkina
MNMuso Nazarov
Muso Nazarov
Murodbek SafaralievMurodbek Safaraliev
Murodbek Safaraliev
Inga ZicmaneInga Zicmane
Inga Zicmane
Anvari GhulomzodaAnvari Ghulomzoda
Anvari Ghulomzoda
This work aims to analyze and manage the optimal power consumption of the autonomous power system within the Pamir region of Republic of Tajikistan, based on renewable energy sources. The task is solved through linear programming methods, production rules and mathematical modeling of power consumption modes by generating consumers. It is assumed that power consumers in the considered region have an opportunity to independently cover energy shortage by installing additional generating energy sources. The objective function is to minimize the financial expenses for own power consumption, and to maximize them from both the export and redistribution of power flows. In this study, the optimal ratio of power generation by alternative sources from daily power consumption for winter was established to be hydroelectric power plants (94.8%), wind power plant (3.8%), solar photovoltaic power plant (0.5%) and energy storage (0.8%); while it is not required in summer due to the ability to ensure the balance of energy by hydroelectric power plants. As a result, each generating consumer can independently minimize their power consumption and maximize profit from the energy exchange with other consumers, depending on the selected energy sources, thus becoming a good example of carbon-free energy usage at the micro- and mini-grid level.

17 July 2022 in Mathematics
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Journal Article
Open access
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Alexandra KhalyasmaaAlexandra Khalyasmaa
Alexandra Khalyasmaa
Pavel V. MatreninPavel V. Matrenin
Pavel V. Matrenin
Stanislav EroshenkoStanislav Eroshenko
Stanislav Eroshenko
Vadim ManusovVadim Manusov
Vadim Manusov
Andrey M. BrammAndrey M. Bramm
Andrey M. Bramm
Alexey RomanovAlexey Romanov
Alexey Romanov
This manuscript addresses the problem of technical state assessment of power transformers based on data preprocessing and machine learning. The initial dataset contains diagnostics results of the power transformers, which were collected from a variety of different data sources. It leads to dramatic degradation of the quality of the initial dataset, due to a substantial number of missing values. The problems of such real-life datasets are considered together with the performed efforts to find a balance between data quality and quantity. A data preprocessing method is proposed as a two-iteration data mining technology with simultaneous visualization of objects’ observability in a form of an image of the dataset represented by a data area diagram. The visualization improves the decision-making quality in the course of the data preprocessing procedure. On the dataset collected by the authors, the two-iteration data preprocessing technology increased the dataset filling degree from 75% to 94%, thus the number of gaps that had to be filled in with the synthetic values was reduced by 2.5 times. The processed dataset was used to build machine-learning models for power transformers’ technical state classification. A comparative analysis of different machine learning models was carried out. The outperforming efficiency of ensembles of decision trees was validated for the fleet of high-voltage power equipment taken under consideration. The resulting classification-quality metric, namely, F1-score, was estimated to be 83%.

16 January 2023 in Sustainability
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Journal Article
Open access
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Vadim ManusovVadim Manusov
Vadim Manusov
Pavel V. MatreninPavel V. Matrenin
Pavel V. Matrenin
MNMuso Nazarov
Muso Nazarov
SBSvetlana Beryozkina
Svetlana Beryozkina
Murodbek SafaralievMurodbek Safaraliev
Murodbek Safaraliev
Anvari GhulomzodaAnvari Ghulomzoda
Anvari Ghulomzoda
Predicting the variability of wind energy resources at different time scales is extremely important for effective energy management. The need to obtain the most accurate forecast of wind speed due to its high degree of volatility is particularly acute since this can significantly improve the planning of wind energy production, reduce costs and improve the use of resources. In this study, a method for predicting the speed of wind flow in an isolated power system of the Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous Oblast (GBAO), based on the use of a neural network with a learning process control algorithm, is proposed. Predicting is performed for four seasons of the year, based on hourly retrospective meteorological data of wind speed observations. The obtained wind speed average error forecasting ranged from 20–28% for a day ahead. The prediction results serve as a basis for optimizing the energy consumption of individual generating consumers to minimize their financial and technical costs. In addition, this study takes into account the possibility of exporting electricity to a neighboring country as an additional income line for the isolated GBAO power system during periods of excess energy from hydropower plants (March–September), which is a systematic vision of solving the problem of improving energy efficiency in the conditions of autonomous power supply.

1 October 2018
Verified
Conference Paper
Closed access
Vadim ManusovVadim Manusov
Vadim Manusov
DADmitry V. Antonenkov
Dmitry V. Antonenkov
DSDenis B. Solovev
Denis B. Solovev
The paper examines factors that determine energy consumption of The main drive and energy characteristics of DM-H drill rig; variability of physical and mechanical properties of coal deposit enclosing rock; impact of geocryological conditions of deposits on drilling and blasting operations; methods of calculating drill rig specific energy consumption-output per manshift dependence; DM-H drill rig energy consumption-process parameters dependence. The paper may be of interest for investigators and engineers engaged in research, design and commissioning of control equipment, current instrument and measurement devices used in industrial applications, and also for undergraduate and postgraduate students in electrical engineering.

1 October 2016
Verified
Conference Paper
Closed access
SDStepan Dmitriev
Stepan Dmitriev
Vadim ManusovVadim Manusov
Vadim Manusov
JAJavod S. Ahyoev
Javod S. Ahyoev
This article discusses possible ways of technical diagnostics of high-voltage electric equipment of substations and electric networks by means of mathematical apparatus of the theory of indistinct sets and indistinct relations. It is shown that on the basis of indistinct expert estimates it is possible to do a prediction for possible causes of failures if some estimates of the available symptoms of these failures are known.