Background: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is associated with ventricular arrhythmias (VA) and sudden cardiac death (SCD). A model was recently developed to predict incident sustained VA in patients with ARVC. However, since this outcome may overestimate the risk for SCD, we aimed to specifically predict life-threatening VA (LTVA) as a closer surrogate for SCD. Methods: We assembled a retrospective cohort of definite ARVC cases from 15 centers in North America and Europe. Association of 8 prespecified clinical predictors with LTVA (SCD, aborted SCD, sustained, or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia >250 beats per minute) in follow-up was assessed by Cox regression with backward selection. Candidate variables included age, sex, prior sustained VA (≥30s, hemodynamically unstable, or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia; or aborted SCD), syncope, 24-hour premature ventricular complexes count, the number of anterior and inferior leads with T-wave inversion, left and right ventricular ejection fraction. The resulting model was internally validated using bootstrapping. Results: A total of 864 patients with definite ARVC (40±16 years; 53% male) were included. Over 5.75 years (interquartile range, 2.77–10.58) of follow-up, 93 (10.8%) patients experienced LTVA including 15 with SCD/aborted SCD (1.7%). Of the 8 prespecified clinical predictors, only 4 (younger age, male sex, premature ventricular complex count, and number of leads with T-wave inversion) were associated with LTVA. Notably, prior sustained VA did not predict subsequent LTVA ( P =0.850). A model including only these 4 predictors had an optimism-corrected C-index of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.69–0.80) and calibration slope of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.94–0.98) indicating minimal over-optimism. Conclusions: LTVA events in patients with ARVC can be predicted by a novel simple prediction model using only 4 clinical predictors. Prior sustained VA and the extent of functional heart disease are not associated with subsequent LTVA events.

Background: Cryoballoon-based pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) has emerged as an effective treatment for atrial fibrillation. The most frequent complication during cryoballoon-based PVI is phrenic nerve injury (PNI). However, data on PNI are scarce. Methods: The YETI registry is a retrospective, multicenter, and multinational registry evaluating the incidence, characteristics, prognostic factors for PNI recovery and follow-up data of patients with PNI during cryoballoon-based PVI. Experienced electrophysiological centers were invited to participate. All patients with PNI during CB2 or third (CB3) and fourth-generation cryoballoon (CB4)-based PVI were eligible. Results: A total of 17 356 patients underwent cryoballoon-based PVI in 33 centers from 10 countries. A total of 731 (4.2%) patients experienced PNI. The mean time to PNI was 127.7±50.4 seconds, and the mean temperature at the time of PNI was −49±8°C. At the end of the procedure, PNI recovered in 394/731 patients (53.9%). Recovery of PNI at 12 months of follow-up was found in 97.0% of patients (682/703, with 28 patients lost to follow-up). A total of 16/703 (2.3%) reported symptomatic PNI. Only 0.06% of the overall population showed symptomatic and permanent PNI. Prognostic factors improving PNI recovery are immediate stop at PNI by double-stop technique and utilization of a bonus-freeze protocol. Age, cryoballoon temperature at PNI, and compound motor action potential amplitude loss >30% were identified as factors decreasing PNI recovery. Based on these parameters, a score was calculated. The YETI score has a numerical value that will directly represent the probability of a specific patient of recovering from PNI within 12 months. Conclusions: The incidence of PNI during cryoballoon-based PVI was 4.2%. Overall 97% of PNI recovered within 12 months. Symptomatic and permanent PNI is exceedingly rare in patients after cryoballoon-based PVI. The YETI score estimates the prognosis after iatrogenic cryoballoon-derived PNI. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT03645577. Graphic A graphic abstract is available for this article.

Pathogenic variants in the desmoplakin (DSP) gene are associated with the development of a distinct arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy phenotype not fully captured by either dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathy (NDLVC), or arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC). Prior studies have described baseline DSP cardiomyopathy genetic, inflammatory, and structural characteristics. However, cohort sizes have limited full clinical characterization and identification of clinical and demographic predictors of sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VAs), heart failure (HF) hospitalizations, and transplant/death. In particular, the relevance of acute myocarditis-like episodes for subsequent disease course is largely unknown. All patients with pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) DSP variants in the worldwide DSP-ERADOS Network (26 academic institutions across nine countries) were included. The primary outcomes were the development of sustained VA and HF hospitalizations during follow-up. Fine–Gray regressions were used to test association between clinical and instrumental parameters and the development of outcomes. Eight hundred patients [40.3 ± 17.5 years, 47.5% probands, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 49.5 ± 13.9%] were included. Over 3.7 [1.4–7.1] years, 139 (17.4%, 3.9%/year) and 72 (9.0%, 1.8%/year) patients experienced sustained VA and HF episodes, respectively. A total of 32.5% of individuals did not fulfil diagnostic criteria for ARVC, DCM, or NDLVC; their VA incidence was 0.5%/year. In multivariable regression, risk features associated with the development of VA were female sex [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.547; P = .025], prior non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (aHR 1.721; P = .009), prior sustained VA (aHR 1.923; P = .006), and LVEF ≤ 50% (aHR: 1.645; P = .032), while for HF, they were the presence of T-wave inversion in 3+ electrocardiogram leads (aHR 2.036, P = .007) and LVEF ≤ 50% (aHR 3.879; P < .001). Additionally, 70 (8.8%) patients experienced a myocardial injury episode at presentation or during follow-up. These episodes were associated with an increased risk of VA and HF thereafter (HR 2.394; P < .001, and HR 5.064, P < .001, respectively). Patients with P/LP DSP variants experience high rates of sustained VA and HF hospitalizations. These patients demonstrate a distinct clinical phenotype (DSP cardiomyopathy), whose most prominent risk features associated with adverse clinical outcomes are the presence of prior non-sustained ventricular tachycardia or sustained VA, T-wave inversion in 3+ leads on electrocardiogram, LVEF ≤ 50%, and myocardial injury events. Graphical summary reporting the main findings of the study. Features associated with risk of events include predictors from multivariable models as well as analysis of implications of myocardial injury episodes. aHR, adjusted hazard ratio; ARVC, arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy; DCM, dilated cardiomyopathy; HF, heart failure; HR, hazard ratio; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; NDLVC, non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathy; (N)SVT, (non)sustained ventricular tachycardia; PVC, premature ventricular contraction; TFC, 2010 Task Force Criteria; TWI, T-wave inversion; VA, ventricular arrhythmia. Created with BioRender.com.

Pathogenic desmoplakin (DSP) gene variants are associated with the development of a distinct form of arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy known as DSP cardiomyopathy. Patients harbouring these variants are at high risk for sustained ventricular arrhythmia (VA), but existing tools for individualized arrhythmic risk assessment have proven unreliable in this population. Patients from the multi-national DSP-ERADOS (Desmoplakin SPecific Effort for a RAre Disease Outcome Study) Network patient registry who had pathogenic or likely pathogenic DSP variants and no sustained VA prior to enrolment were followed longitudinally for the development of first sustained VA event. Clinically guided, step-wise Cox regression analysis was used to develop a novel clinical tool predicting the development of incident VA. Model performance was assessed by c-statistic in both the model development cohort (n = 385) and in an external validation cohort (n = 86). In total, 471 DSP patients [mean age 37.8 years, 65.6% women, 38.6% probands, 26% with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50%] were followed for a median of 4.0 (interquartile range: 1.6–7.3) years; 71 experienced first sustained VA events {2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.0, 3.5] events/year}. Within the development cohort, five readily available clinical parameters were identified as independent predictors of VA and included in a novel DSP risk score: female sex [hazard ratio (HR) 1.9 (95% CI: 1.1–3.4)], history of non-sustained ventricular tachycardia [HR 1.7 (95% CI: 1.1–2.8)], natural logarithm of 24-h premature ventricular contraction burden [HR 1.3 (95% CI: 1.1–1.4)], LVEF < 50% [HR 1.5 (95% CI: .95–2.5)], and presence of moderate to severe right ventricular systolic dysfunction [HR 6.0 (95% CI: 2.9–12.5)]. The model demonstrated good risk discrimination within both the development [c-statistic .782 (95% CI: .77–.80)] and external validation [c-statistic .791 (95% CI: .75–.83)] cohorts. The negative predictive value for DSP patients in the external validation cohort deemed to be at low risk for VA (<5% at 5 years; n = 26) was 100%. The DSP risk score is a novel model that leverages readily available clinical parameters to provide individualized VA risk assessment for DSP patients. This tool may help guide decision-making for primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator placement in this high-risk population and supports a gene-first risk stratification approach. The desmoplakin risk score provides individualized predictions of 5-year ventricular arrhythmia risk in patients with pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) desmoplakin variants based on five readily available clinical risk factors (www.dsp-risk.com). The desmoplakin risk score demonstrated strong discrimination of ventricular arrhythmia risk (c-statistic .79 during external validation) and accurately stratifies patients into low- (0%–5% risk at 5 years), intermediate- (5%–20% risk at 5 years), and high-risk (>20% risk at 5 years) groups for the purposes of guiding primary prevention implantable cardiac defibrillator decision-making. DSP, desmoplakin; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; NSVT, non-sustained ventricular tachycardia; PVC, premature ventricular contraction; RV, right ventricular; VA, ventricular arrhythmia.