Ramon Caraballo

Dr. Ramon Caraballo

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

View All Publications
14 November 2024 in Space Weather
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
J. Americo Gonzalez-EsparzaJ. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
J. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
ESE. Sanchez‐Garcia
E. Sanchez‐Garcia
MSMaria A. Sergeeva
Maria A. Sergeeva
PCPedro Corona-Romero
Pedro Corona-Romero
LGL. X. Gonzalez‐Mendez
L. X. Gonzalez‐Mendez
EHE. Hernandez‐Quintero
E. Hernandez‐Quintero
On 10 May 2024, a severe geomagnetic storm coinciding with Mother's Day in Mexico lasted over 40 hr and produced polar auroras observable at low latitudes. This storm, the most intense since 2003, resulted from a series of solar flares and coronal mass ejections from active region 3664. The event was significant for space weather studies in Mexico, marking a milestone by enabling comprehensive measurements of its effects. The Mexico Space Weather Service (SCIESMEX) and the National Space Weather Laboratory (LANCE) had prepared for such an event since their inception. LANCE's instrument networks recorded solar chromospheric images, solar radio bursts, geomagnetic variations, Schumann resonances, ionospheric disturbances, and energetic particle flows. They also monitored Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) in three strategic substations of the national electrical system. This provided unprecedented insights into the dynamics of severe space weather events at the North‐American low‐latitude environment. Citizen science efforts documented auroras and regional responses, capturing variations in geomagnetic indices, ionospheric disturbances, cosmic ray fluxes, GICs, and technological impacts. SCIESMEX worked with the National Civil Protection System (SINAPROC) to issue warnings, ensuring public awareness and preparedness. This coordination underscores the importance of effective communication and collaboration in mitigating impacts. The May 2024 geomagnetic storm demonstrated the critical role of preparedness, research, and public education in reducing the effects of future space weather events in Mexico.

19 February 2020 in Space Weather
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
RCRamon Caraballo
Ramon Caraballo
J. Americo Gonzalez-EsparzaJ. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
J. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
MSM. Sergeeva
M. Sergeeva
CPC. R. Pacheco
C. R. Pacheco
This contribution addresses the first assessment of the impact of geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) on the 400‐kV power grid of Mexico. As an initial approach, we modeled GIC using a uniform conductivity for the entire Mexican territory and spatially uniform geomagnetic disturbance. Power grid data were provided by the electric operator of Mexico; the geophysical data were inferred from the main features of Mexican geology. We calculate the power grid response during four geomagnetic storms from Solar Cycles 23 and 24 (i.e., 15 July 2000, 20 October 2003, 17 March 2015, and 7 September 2017), as well as during an extreme scenario (a Carrington‐like event). The results show that the Mexican power grid can be affected by three‐phase GIC ranging from 20 to 75 A during geomagnetic disturbances. According to the model, sites located in coastal areas or close to the edges of the network can experience large GIC during time intervals between 3 and 10 hr, depending on the intensity of the geomagnetic disturbance. It is an interesting result that these sites are of the major economic and strategic significance for the country. In the case of a Carrington‐like event, the power grid could be affected by GIC ranging between 25 and 150 A under a uniform 1 V/km EW geoelectric field. Such an event might produce significant distortions in the grid hardware (i.e., transformers and static VAR compensators), potentially leading to widespread damage.

12 February 2025 in Geophysical Research Letters
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
RCRamon Caraballo
Ramon Caraballo
J. Americo Gonzalez-EsparzaJ. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
J. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
CPC. R. Pacheco
C. R. Pacheco
PCPedro Corona-Romero
Pedro Corona-Romero
JAJ. A. Arzate‐Flores
J. A. Arzate‐Flores
CCC. I. Castellanos‐Velazco
C. I. Castellanos‐Velazco
This study examines the impact of the 10 May 2024, geomagnetic storm on the Mexican power grid, utilizing geomagnetically induced currents (GIC), measurements and regional magnetic field data recorded by the Laboratorio Nacional de Clima Espacial. Significant GIC were observed at three different locations within the grid. The observations were complemented with estimates for the Mexican power grid provided by a numerical model developed in late 2022. Our findings suggest that the GIC can pose a potential threat to low‐latitude power grids during extreme geomagnetic disturbances. Furthermore, the model demonstrates its potential to forecast the grid response during these events, providing critical insight into the behavior of the electrical grid during extreme space weather events.

13 October 2023 in Space Weather
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
RCRamon Caraballo
Ramon Caraballo
J. Americo Gonzalez-EsparzaJ. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
J. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
CPC. R. Pacheco
C. R. Pacheco
PCP. Corona‐Romero
P. Corona‐Romero
We present the first observations of geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) in the Mexican power grid and an improved model to calculate them. The new model comprises ca. 250 substations working at various voltage levels, a methodology to estimate geomagnetic disturbances (δB) at different points throughout the Mexican territory, and a 1D piecewise model that considers lateral variations in the ground conductivity. This is an improvement of a former uniform conductivity model presented previously to calculate our first GIC estimates (Caraballo et al., 2020). We compared the observed and calculated GIC between August and November 2021 at a coastal 400 kV substation. During this interval, five geomagnetic storms occurred (G1 and G2). The observed GIC exceeded 10 A during the most strong event; this shows a clear grid response even under weak geomagnetic perturbations that occurred during the solar minimum. Further comparison with the results of the former model suggests that the new 1D piecewise model yields better GIC estimates for the Mexican power grid.

30 January 2021 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MSMaria A. Sergeeva
Maria A. Sergeeva
Vladislav DemyanovVladislav Demyanov
Vladislav Demyanov
OMOlga Maltseva
Olga Maltseva
AMArtem Mokhnatkin
Artem Mokhnatkin
MRMario Rodriguez-Martinez
Mario Rodriguez-Martinez
IOIsaac Orrala
Isaac Orrala
Possible ionospheric effects of the Morelian meteoroid that passed and exploded over Mexico on 19 February 2020 (18 February 2020 local time) were estimated. The meteoroid trajectory, velocity and time of occurrence were calculated based on outdoor camera records. Modeling was used to estimate the meteoroid initial diameter, density, mass, velocity, energy and their change during its flight in the atmosphere. The ensemble of ionospheric scintillation indices calculated from the high-rate GNSS data and the filtered slant Total Electron Content data were used to reveal the presence of ionospheric disturbances generated by shock waves excited by the meteoroid flight and explosion. The first ionospheric responses to phenomena accompanying the meteoroid were detected (2.5–3.5) min after the explosion. The disturbances were attenuated quickly with distance from their source and were rarely recorded by GNSS receivers located more than 600 km from the meteoroid explosion site. The ionospheric disturbances of intermediate-scale, small-scale, shock-acoustic-wave-scale and sometimes medium-scale were revealed. The detected disturbances corresponded to the range of acoustic-gravity waves. An asymmetry of the disturbance manifestation in different directions was observed. The obtained results are in accordance with results of the observation of other meteoroids. Although the object was smaller and of less energy than other known meteoroids, it is an interesting case because, to the best of our knowledge, it isthe first known to us low-latitude meteoroid with the detected ionospheric effects.

27 January 2021 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MSMaria A. Sergeeva
Maria A. Sergeeva
OMOlga Maltseva
Olga Maltseva
RCRamon Caraballo
Ramon Caraballo
J. Americo Gonzalez-EsparzaJ. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
J. Americo Gonzalez-Esparza
PCPedro Corona-Romero
Pedro Corona-Romero
The changes in the ionosphere during geomagnetic disturbances is one of the prominent Space Weather effects on the near-Earth environment. The character of these changes can differ significantly at different regions on the Earth. We studied ionospheric response to five geomagnetic storms of March 2012, using data of Total Electron Content (TEC) and F2-layer critical frequency (foF2) along the meridian of 70° W in the Northern Hemisphere. There are few ionosondes along this longitudinal sector: in Thule, Sondrestrom, Millstone Hill and Puerto Rico. The lacking foF2 values between the ionosondes were determined by using the experimental latitudinal dependences of the equivalent ionospheric slab thickness and TEC values. During geomagnetic storms, the following features were characteristic: (a) two-hours (or longer in one case) delay of the ionospheric response to disturbances, (b) the more prominent mid-latitude trough and (c) the sharper border of the EIA northern crest. During four storms of 7–17 March, the general tendency was the transition from negative disturbances at high latitudes to intense positive disturbances at low latitudes. During the fifth storm, the negative ionospheric disturbance controlled by O/N2 change was masked by the overall prolonged electron density increase during 21–31 March. The multiple correlation analysis revealed the latitudinal dependence of dominant Space Weather parameters’ impacts on foF2.