As interest in eco-friendly ships increases, methods for status monitoring and forecasting using in-service data from ships are being developed. Models for predicting the energy efficiency of a ship in real time need to effectively process the operational data and be optimized for such an application. This paper presents models that can predict fuel consumption using in-service data collected from a 13,000 TEU class container ship, along with statistical and domain-knowledge methods to select the proper input variables for the models. These methods prevent overfitting and multicollinearity while providing practical applicability. To implement the prediction model, either an artificial neural network (ANN) or multiple linear regression (MLR) were applied, where the ANN-based models showed the best prediction accuracy for both variable selection methods. The goodness of fit of the models based on ANN ranged from to . Furthermore, sensitivity analysis of the draught under normal operating conditions indicated an optimal draught of 14.79 m, which was very close to the design draught of the target ship, and provides the optimal fuel consumption efficiency. These models could provide valuable information for ship operators to support decision making to maintain efficient operating conditions.
1 January 2020 in International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
The enlargement of ships has increased the relative hull deformation owing to draft changes. Moreover, design changes such as an increased propeller diameter and pitch changes have occurred to compensate for the reduction in the engine revolution and consequent ship speed. In terms of propulsion shaft alignment, as the load of the stern tube support bearing increases, an uneven load distribution occurs between the shaft support bearings, leading to stern accidents. To prevent such accidents and to ensure shaft system stability, a shaft system design technique is required in which the shaft deformation resulting from the hull deformation is considered. Based on the measurement data of a medium-sized oil/chemical tanker, this study presents a novel approach to predicting the shaft deformation following stern hull deformation through inverse analysis using deep reinforcement learning, as opposed to traditional prediction techniques. The main bearing reaction force, which was difficult to reflect in previous studies, was predicted with high accuracy by comparing it with the measured value, and reasonable shaft deformation could be derived according to the hull deformation. The deep reinforcement learning technique in this study is expected to be expandable for predicting the dynamic behavior of the shaft of an operating vessel.
This study proposes a computational fluid dynamics (CFD)-modified potential (CMP) model. This hybrid model uses linear potential theory with a corrected damping ratio obtained from CFD simulations to analyze the seakeeping performance of a small vessel. According to the analysis procedure of the proposed model, a motion analysis, including the prediction of the roll and pitch damping ratio of a small barge, was conducted; to verify reliability; the results were compared to those of an experiment performed in a physical tank. The relative errors in the experiment for peak amplitude in the roll motion response amplitude operators (RAOs) using the CMP model were relatively small, whereas those obtained from only the potential analysis were large errors in all three conventionally used roll-damping ratios. In addition, the computational time consumed by the CMP model was longer than that consumed by the potential theory but faster than the full CFD simulation for all wave conditions. Subsequently, based on the motion analysis results, the seakeeping performance was evaluated in a real sea environment, and the results on the single significant amplitude (SSA) were discussed through comparison with the results of the potential analysis and experiment.
31 December 2020 in Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety