Sea SurfaceTemperature (SST) is a critical parameter for monitoring the marine environment and understanding various ocean phenomena. While SST can be regularly retrieved from satellite data, it often suffers from missing data due to various reasons including cloud contamination. In this study, we proposed a novel two-step data fusion framework for generating high-resolution seamless daily SST from multi-satellite data sources. The proposed approach consists of (1) SST reconstruction based on Data Interpolate Convolutional AutoEncoder (DINCAE) using the SSTs derived from two satellite sensors (i.e., Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2(AMSR2)), and (2) SST improvement through data fusion using random forest for consistency with in situ measurements with two schemes (i.e., scheme 1 using the reconstructed MODIS SST variables and scheme 2 using both MODIS and AMSR2 SST variables). The proposed approach was evaluated over the Kuroshio Extension in the Northwest Pacific, where a highly dynamic SST pattern can be found, from 2015 to 2019. The results showed that the reconstructed MODIS and AMSR2 SSTs through DINCAE yielded very good performance with Root Mean Square Errors (RMSEs) of 0.85 and 0.60 °C and Mean Absolute Errors (MAEs) of 0.59 and 0.45 °C, respectively. The results from the second step showed that scheme 2 and scheme 1 produced RMSEs of 0.75 and 0.98 °C and MAEs of 0.53 and 0.68 °C, respectively, compared to the in situ measurements, which proved the superiority of scheme 2 using multi-satellite data sources. Scheme 2 also showed comparable or even better performance than two operational SST products with similar spatial resolution. In particular, scheme 2 was good at simulating features with fine resolution (~50 km). The proposed approach yielded promising results over the study area, producing seamless daily SST products with high quality and high feature resolution.
Skillful quantitative precipitation nowcasting (QPN) is important for predicting precipitation in the upcoming few hours and thus avoiding significant socioeconomic damage. Recent QPN studies have actively adopted deep learning (DL) to generate precipitation maps using sequences of ground radar data. Although high skill scores in forecasting precipitation areas of weak intensity (~1 mm/h) have been achieved, the horizontal movement of precipitation areas could not be accurately simulated, exhibiting poor forecasting skills for stronger intensities. For lead times up to 120 min, this study suggests using an improved radar-based QPN model that utilizes a state-of-the-art DL model termed simpler yet better video prediction (SimVP). An independent evaluation using ground radar data in South Korea from June to September 2022 demonstrated that the proposed model outperformed the existing DL models in terms of critical score index (CSI) with a lead time of 120 min (0.46, 0.23, and 0.09 for 1, 5, and 10 mm/h thresholds, respectively). Three case analyses were conducted to reflect various precipitation conditions: heavy rainfall, typhoons, and fast-moving narrow convection events. The proposed SimVP-based QPN model yielded robust performance for all cases, producing a comparable or highest CSI at the lead time of 120 min with a 1 mm/h threshold (0.49, 0.69, and 0.29 for heavy rainfall, typhoon, and narrow convection, respectively). Qualitative evaluation of the model indicated better results in terms of displacement movement and reduced underestimation than other models under the high variability of precipitation patterns of the three cases. A comparison of model complexity among DL-QPN models was conducted, taking into consideration operational applications across various study areas and environments. The proposed approach is expected to provide a new baseline for DL-based QPN, and the improved prediction using the proposed model can lead to reduced socioeconomic damage incurred as a result of short-term intense precipitation.
9 January 2025 in ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing
Ocean fog, a meteorological phenomenon characterized by reduced visibility due to tiny water droplets or ice particles, poses significant safety risks for maritime activities and coastal regions. Accurate prediction of ocean fog is crucial but challenging due to its complex formation mechanisms and variability. This study proposes an advanced ocean fog prediction model for the Yellow Sea region, leveraging satellite-based detection and high-performance data-driven methods. We used Himawari-8 satellite data to obtain a lot of spatiotemporal ocean fog references and employed AutoML to integrate numerical weather prediction (NWP) outputs and sea surface temperature (SST)-related variables. The model demonstrated superior performance compared to traditional NWP-based methods, achieving high performance in both quantitative—probability of detection of 81.6%, false alarm ratio of 24.4%, f1 score of 75%, and proportion correct of 79.8%—and qualitative evaluations for 1 to 6 h lead times. Key contributing variables included relative humidity, accumulated shortwave radiation, and atmospheric pressure, indicating the importance of integrating diverse data sources. The study emphasizes the potential of using satellite-derived data to improve ocean fog prediction, while also addressing the challenges of overfitting and the need for more comprehensive reference data.
30 July 2024 in IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
Soil moisture (SM) is a critical parameter in understanding the Earth's hydrological cycle and managing water resources. Remote sensing instruments, such as Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT), can provide valuable long-term SM. However, compatibility issues may arise when integrating ASCAT SM retrieval with another retrieval, such as Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), a high-quality microwave radiometer-based SM retrieval. In this study, we propose a novel image-to-image translation approach based on the U-Net architecture to convert ASCAT SM data into the format of SMAP (ASCAT2SMAP). The resulting SM from the ASCAT2SMAP was evaluated using temporally separated SMAP data and independent in-situ SM measurement from the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN). In the separately divided test periods, ASCAT2SMAP showed good agreement with SMAP with R of 928, ubRMSD of 0.043 m3 /m3, and bias of 0.002 m3 /m3. When evaluating ASCAT2SMAP with ISMN data, it showed a better agreement than ASCAT and more similar metrics with SMAP. Moreover, we found that the ASCAT2SMAP is more robust to a problem of subsurface scattering than the original ASCAT SM. When simulating V-polarized brightness temperature from ASCAT2SMAP SM, it showed good agreement with ubRMSD of 5.602 K and bias of -0.135 K. Our results are expected to provide a valuable perspective preceding to creation of harmonized soil moisture datasets from different sensors, contributing to improved data integration and analysis in the field of geoscience and remote sensing.
Reliable early forecasting of summer air temperature is important to effectively prepare and mitigate damage such as heat-related mortality and excessive electricity demand caused by heat waves and tropical nights. Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have been used for operational forecasting of air temperature. However, NWP models have coarse spatial resolution due to massive computational resources arising from complex forecasting systems and unstable parameterization of NWP models, which make the uncertainty of prediction, consisting of systematic and random biases. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop a novel deep learning-based statistical downscaling approach for the Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) model’s summer air temperature forecasts over South Korea. This study developed the proposed statistical downscaling model through the decomposition into the temporal dynamics of daily air temperature forecast and spatial fluctuation by pixels. The daily temperature dynamic was estimated using a daily mean GDAPS temperature forecast with simple mean bias correction. The spatial fluctuation by pixels was obtained using the spatial anomaly of downscaled air temperature forecast by the U-Net model. The GDAPS model’s forecast data, present-day high spatial resolution satellite observations, and topography variables were used as input variables for training the U-Net model. The observations at weather stations were spatially interpolated using the regression-kriging, and then we used it as a target image for the U-Net model. The proposed U-net model was compared with the Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS), the dynamically downscaled model of the GDAPS, and the support vector regression (SVR)-based statistical downscaling model. For next-day Tmax and Tmin forecasts, the suggested U-net model showed better performance, having high coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.76 and 0.74 and root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.5 °C and 1.5 °C for next-day Tmax and Tmin forecasts, respectively. When analyzing the skill score (SS) values by stations of the U-Net model, it had remarkably high SS values at stations where the GDAPS had a high absolute value. For Tmax and Tmin forecasts with 1-7 days forecast lead time, the suggested model consistently provided better performance (higher spatial correlation and lower RMSE) than GDAPS and SVR. In addition, the U-net model showed a detailed spatial distribution most similar to that of the observations. These results demonstrated that the suggested model successfully corrected the bias of the GDAPS, improving not only the forecast accuracy but also the ability to capture the spatial distribution of Tmax and Tmin forecasts. Using the deep learning-based suggested model in this study, bias-corrected high spatial resolution air temperature forecasts with a relatively long forecast lead time in summer seasons can be successfully produced.