Anastasios Tsonis

Dr. Anastasios Tsonis

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

25Years (2002-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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12 July 2007 in Geophysical Research Letters
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ATAnastasios Tsonis
Anastasios Tsonis
KSKyle Swanson
Kyle Swanson
SKSergey Kravtsov
Sergey Kravtsov

2 March 2015 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
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ATAnastasios Tsonis
Anastasios Tsonis
EDEthan R. Deyle
Ethan R. Deyle
RMRobert M. May
Robert M. May
GSGeorge Sugihara
George Sugihara
KSKyle Swanson
Kyle Swanson
GWGeli Wang
Geli Wang
As early as 1959, it was hypothesized that an indirect link between solar activity and climate could be mediated by mechanisms controlling the flux of galactic cosmic rays (CR) [Ney ER (1959) Nature 183:451–452]. Although the connection between CR and climate remains controversial, a significant body of laboratory evidence has emerged at the European Organization for Nuclear Research [Duplissy J, et al. (2010) Atmos Chem Phys 10:1635–1647; Kirkby J, et al. (2011) Nature 476(7361):429–433] and elsewhere [Svensmark H, Pedersen JOP, Marsh ND, Enghoff MB, Uggerhøj UI (2007) Proc R Soc A 463:385–396; Enghoff MB, Pedersen JOP, Uggerhoj UI, Paling SM, Svensmark H (2011) Geophys Res Lett 38:L09805], demonstrating the theoretical mechanism of this link. In this article, we present an analysis based on convergent cross mapping, which uses observational time series data to directly examine the causal link between CR and year-to-year changes in global temperature. Despite a gross correlation, we find no measurable evidence of a causal effect linking CR to the overall 20th-century warming trend. However, on short interannual timescales, we find a significant, although modest, causal effect between CR and short-term, year-to-year variability in global temperature that is consistent with the presence of nonlinearities internal to the system. Thus, although CR do not contribute measurably to the 20th-century global warming trend, they do appear as a nontraditional forcing in the climate system on short interannual timescales. Significance Here we use newly available methods to examine the dynamical association between cosmic rays (CR) and global temperature (GT) in the 20th-century observational record. We find no measurable evidence of a causal effect linking CR to the overall 20th-century warming trend; however, on short interannual timescales, we find a significant, although modest, causal effect of CR on short-term, year-to-year variability in GT. Thus, although CR clearly do not contribute measurably to the 20th-century global warming trend, they do appear as a nontraditional forcing in the climate system on short interannual timescales, providing another interesting piece of the puzzle in our understanding of factors influencing climate variability.

6 July 2010 in Climate Dynamics
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ATAnastasios Tsonis
Anastasios Tsonis
GWGeli Wang
Geli Wang
KSKyle L. Swanson
Kyle L. Swanson
FRFrancisco A. Rodrigues
Francisco A. Rodrigues
LCLuciano da Fontura Costa
Luciano da Fontura Costa

11 October 2017
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ATAnastasios Tsonis
Anastasios Tsonis
EDEthan R. Deyle
Ethan R. Deyle
HYHao Ye
Hao Ye
GSGeorge Sugihara
George Sugihara

15 April 2009 in Geophysical Research Letters
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GWGeli Wang
Geli Wang
KSKyle L. Swanson
Kyle L. Swanson
ATAnastasios Tsonis
Anastasios Tsonis

3 May 2005 in Geophysical Research Letters
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ATAnastasios Tsonis
Anastasios Tsonis
JEJames Elsner
James Elsner
AHAllen Hunt
Allen Hunt
TJT. H. Jagger
T. H. Jagger