Networks offer a powerful tool for understanding and visualizing inter-species ecological and evolutionary interactions. Previously considered examples, such as trophic networks, are just representations of experimentally observed direct interactions. However, species interactions are so rich and complex it is not feasible to directly observe more than a small fraction. In this paper, using data mining techniques, we show how potential interactions can be inferred from geographic data, rather than by direct observation. An important application area for this methodology is that of emerging diseases, where, often, little is known about inter-species interactions, such as between vectors and reservoirs. Here, we show how using geographic data, biotic interaction networks that model statistical dependencies between species distributions can be used to infer and understand inter-species interactions. Furthermore, we show how such networks can be used to build prediction models. For example, for predicting the most important reservoirs of a disease, or the degree of disease risk associated with a geographical area. We illustrate the general methodology by considering an important emerging disease - Leishmaniasis. This data mining methodology allows for the use of geographic data to construct inferential biotic interaction networks which can then be used to build prediction models with a wide range of applications in ecology, biodiversity and emerging diseases.

Metabolic homeostasis emerges from the interplay between several feedback systems that regulate the physiological variables related to energy expenditure and energy availability, maintaining them within a certain range. Although it is well known how each individual physiological system functions, there is little research focused on how the integration and adjustment of multiple systems results in the generation of metabolic health. The aim here was to generate an integrative model of metabolism, seen as a physiological network, and study how it changes across the human lifespan. We used data from a transverse, community-based study of an ethnically and educationally diverse sample of 2572 adults. Each participant answered an extensive questionnaire and underwent anthropometric measurements (height, weight, and waist), fasting blood tests (glucose, HbA1c, basal insulin, cholesterol HDL, LDL, triglycerides, uric acid, urea, and creatinine), along with vital signs (axillar temperature, systolic, and diastolic blood pressure). The sample was divided into 6 groups of increasing age, beginning with less than 25 years and increasing by decades up to more than 65 years. In order to model metabolic homeostasis as a network, we used these 15 physiological variables as nodes and modeled the links between them, either as a continuous association of those variables, or as a dichotomic association of their corresponding pathological states. Weight and overweight emerged as the most influential nodes in both types of networks, while high betweenness parameters, such as triglycerides, uric acid and insulin, were shown to act as gatekeepers between the affected physiological systems. As age increases, the loss of metabolic homeostasis is revealed by changes in the network’s topology that reflect changes in the system−wide interactions that, in turn, expose underlying health stages. Hence, specific structural properties of the network, such as weighted transitivity, i.e., the density of triangles in the network, can provide topological indicators of health that assess the whole state of the system. Overall, our findings show the importance of visualizing health as a network of organs and/or systems, and highlight the importance of triglycerides, insulin, uric acid and glucose as key biomarkers in the prevention of the development of metabolic disorders.

Zoonoses are an important class of infectious diseases. An important element determining the impact of a zoonosis on domestic animal and human health is host range. Although for particular zoonoses some host species have been identified, until recently there have been no methods to predict those species most likely to be hosts or their relative importance. Complex inference networks infer potential biotic interactions between species using their degree of geographic co-occurrence, and have been posited as a potential tool for predicting disease hosts. Here we present the results of an interdisciplinary, empirical study to validate a model based on such networks for predicting hosts of Leishmania (L.) mexicana in Mexico. Using systematic sampling to validate the model predictions we identified 22 new species of host (34% of all species collected) with the probability to be a host strongly dependent on the probability of co-occurrence of vector and host. The results confirm that Leishmania (L.) mexicana is a generalist parasite but with a much wider host range than was previously thought. These results substantially change the geographic risk profile for Leishmaniasis and provide insights for the design of more efficient surveillance measures and a better understanding of potential dispersal scenarios. Emerging and neglected zoonoses are an important global threat to public health. Host range, in particular, is a crucial factor in determining disease risk and the potential for adequate interventions. Here we show that Leishmania has a very wide host range and that Complex Inference Networks can be used to infer ecological relationships in the context of zoonoses, identifying both the potential hosts and their relative importance. These results substantially change the risk profile and potential control measures that can be used to combat the disease, allowing for the design of more efficient surveillance measures and a better understanding of potential dispersal scenarios.

A theoretical and experimental analysis is made of the effects of self-adaptation in a simple evolving system. Specifically, we consider the effects of coding the mutation and crossover probabilities of a genetic algorithm evolving in certain model fitness landscapes. The resultant genotypephenotype mapping is degenerate in fitness space, there being no direct selective advantage for one probability versus another. Thus there is a “symmetry” between various genotypes that all correspond to the same phenotype. We show that the action of mutation and crossover lifts this degeneracy, that is, the genetic operators induce a breaking of the genotype-phenotype symmetry, thus leading to a preference for those genotypes that propagate most successfully into future generations. We demonstrate that this induced symmetry breaking allows the system to self-adapt in a time-dependent environment.