The paper presents a study on four adaptive sampling methods of a multi-fidelity (MF) metamodel, based on stochastic radial basis functions (RBF), for global design optimisation based on expensive CFD computer simulations and adaptive grid refinement. The MF metamodel is built as the sum of a low-fidelity-trained metamodel and an error metamodel, based on the difference between high- and low-fidelity simulations. The MF metamodel is adaptively refined using dynamic sampling criteria, based on the prediction uncertainty in combination with the objective optimum and the computational cost of high- and low-fidelity evaluations. The adaptive sampling methods are demonstrated by four analytical benchmark and two design optimisation problems, pertaining to the resistance reduction of a NACA hydrofoil and a destroyer-type vessel. The performance of the adaptive sampling methods is assessed via objective function convergence.

A multi-fidelity (MF) active learning method is presented for design optimization problems characterized by noisy evaluations of the performance metrics. Namely, a generalized MF surrogate model is used for design-space exploration, exploiting an arbitrary number of hierarchical fidelity levels, i.e., performance evaluations coming from different models, solvers, or discretizations, characterized by different accuracy. The method is intended to accurately predict the design performance while reducing the computational effort required by simulation-driven design (SDD) to achieve the global optimum. The overall MF prediction is evaluated as a low-fidelity trained surrogate corrected with the surrogates of the errors between consecutive fidelity levels. Surrogates are based on stochastic radial basis functions (SRBF) with least squares regression and in-the-loop optimization of hyperparameters to deal with noisy training data. The method adaptively queries new training data, selecting both the design points and the required fidelity level via an active learning approach. This is based on the lower confidence bounding method, which combines the performance prediction and the associated uncertainty to select the most promising design regions. The fidelity levels are selected considering the benefit-cost ratio associated with their use in the training. The method’s performance is assessed and discussed using four analytical tests and three SDD problems based on computational fluid dynamics simulations, namely the shape optimization of a NACA hydrofoil, the DTMB 5415 destroyer, and a roll-on/roll-off passenger ferry. Fidelity levels are provided by both adaptive grid refinement and multi-grid resolution approaches. Under the assumption of a limited budget for function evaluations, the proposed MF method shows better performance in comparison with the model trained by high-fidelity evaluations only.

This paper presents a comparison of two multi-fidelity methods for the forward uncertainty quantification of a naval engineering problem. Specifically, we consider the problem of quantifying the uncertainty of the hydrodynamic resistance of a roll-on/roll-off passenger ferry advancing in calm water and subject to two operational uncertainties (ship speed and payload). The first four statistical moments (mean, variance, skewness, and kurtosis), and the probability density function for such quantity of interest (QoI) are computed with two multi-fidelity methods, i.e., the Multi-Index Stochastic Collocation (MISC) and an adaptive multi-fidelity Stochastic Radial Basis Functions (SRBF). The QoI is evaluated via computational fluid dynamics simulations, which are performed with the in-house unsteady Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) multi-grid solver $$\chi$$χ navis. The different fidelities employed by both methods are obtained by stopping the RANS solver at different grid levels of the multi-grid cycle. The performance of both methods are presented and discussed: in a nutshell, the findings suggest that, at least for the current implementation of both methods, MISC could be preferred whenever a limited computational budget is available, whereas for a larger computational budget SRBF seems to be preferable, thanks to its robustness to the numerical noise in the evaluations of the QoI.

The paper presents a multi-objective derivative-free and deterministic global/local hybrid algorithm for the efficient and effective solution of simulation-based design optimization (SBDO) problems. The objective is to show how the hybridization of two multi-objective derivative-free global and local algorithms achieves better performance than the separate use of the two algorithms in solving specific SBDO problems for hull-form design. The proposed method belongs to the class of memetic algorithms, where the global exploration capability of multi-objective deterministic particle swarm optimization is enriched by exploiting the local search accuracy of a derivative-free multi-objective line-search method. To the authors best knowledge, studies are still limited on memetic, multi-objective, deterministic, derivative-free, and evolutionary algorithms for an effective and efficient solution of SBDO for hull-form design. The proposed formulation manages global and local searches based on the hypervolume metric. The hybridization scheme uses two parameters to control the local search activation and the number of function calls used by the local algorithm. The most promising values of these parameters were identified using forty analytical tests representative of the SBDO problem of interest. The resulting hybrid algorithm was finally applied to two SBDO problems for hull-form design. For both analytical tests and SBDO problems, the hybrid method achieves better performance than its global and local counterparts.

The digital twin (DT) paradigm provides a purpose-built digital representation of a physical system. DTs are often composed by several interconnected models, which need to be specifically tailored to fit the DT purposes. The objective of this work is the development of an urban digital twin (UDT) for the city of Matera, following urban intelligence (UI) paradigm. The latter leverages the multi-disciplinary integration and optimization of the city systems and subsystems to develop purpose-driven DTs and support the decision-making process. The UDT is intended to support governance, stakeholders, and citizens, integrating morphological data for the city representation, reliable simulation tools and data-driven methods for the city state prediction (e.g., traffic, solar irradiation), optimization algorithms for planning and emergency response, sensors for vehicle and pedestrian traffic volumes and environmental monitoring (e.g., pollutant distributions), and a participatory data collection process from the citizens. A Data Lake is used to make available to the UDT modules the data produced by the morphological representation, simulations/data-driven methods, sensors, and the participatory data. The Data Lake provides a standardized approach for the aggregation and extraction of information. Finally, an Urban Sensing Engine supports the decision-making process with artificial intelligence forms of reasoning, to effectively combine the information produced by the UDT components.

The paper presents a multi-fidelity extension of a local line-search-based derivative-free algorithm for nonsmooth constrained optimization (MF-CS-DFN). The method is intended for use in the simulation-driven design optimization (SDDO) context, where multi-fidelity computations are used to evaluate the objective function. The proposed algorithm starts using low-fidelity evaluations and automatically switches to higher-fidelity evaluations based on the line-search step length. The multi-fidelity algorithm is driven by a suitably defined threshold and initialization values for the step length, which are associated to each fidelity level. These are selected to increase the accuracy of the objective evaluations while progressing to the optimal solution. The method is demonstrated for a multi-fidelity SDDO benchmark, namely pertaining to the hull-form optimization of a destroyer-type vessel, aiming at resistance minimization in calm water at fixed speed. Numerical simulations are based on a linear potential flow solver, where seven fidelity levels are used selecting systematically refined computational grids for the hull and the free surface. The method performance is assessed varying the steplength threshold and initialization approach. Specifically, four MF-CS-DFN setups are tested, and the optimization results are compared to its single-fidelity (high-fidelity-based) counterpart (CS-DFN). The MF-CS-DFN results are promising, achieving a resistance reduction of about 12% and showing a faster convergence than CS-DFN. Specifically, the MF extension is between one and two orders of magnitude faster than the original single-fidelity algorithm. For low computational budgets, MF-CS-DFN optimized designs exhibit a resistance that is about 6% lower than that achieved by CS-DFN.