The state of health (SOH) and remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries are two important factors which are normally predicted using the battery capacity. However, it is difficult to directly measure the capacity of lithium-ion batteries for online applications. In this paper, indirect health indicators (IHIs) are extracted from the curves of voltage, current, and temperature in the process of charging and discharging lithium-ion batteries, which respond to the battery capacity degradation process. A few reasonable indicators are selected as the inputs of SOH prediction by the grey relation analysis method. The short-term SOH prediction is carried out by combining the Gaussian process regression (GPR) method with probability predictions. Then, considering that there is a certain mapping relationship between SOH and RUL, three IHIs and the present SOH value are utilized to predict RUL of lithium-ion batteries through the GPR model. The results show that the proposed method has high prediction accuracy.
10 September 2018 in IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation
Model management plays an essential role in surrogate-assisted evolutionary optimization of expensive problems, since the strategy for selecting individuals for fitness evaluation using the real objective function has substantial influences on the final performance. Among many others, infill criterion driven Gaussian process assisted evolutionary algorithms have been demonstrated competitive for optimization of problems with up to 50 decision variables. In this paper, a multi-objective infill criterion that considers the approximated fitness and the approximation uncertainty as two objectives is proposed for a Gaussian process assisted social learning particle swarm optimization algorithm. The multi-objective infill criterion uses non-dominated sorting for model management, thereby avoiding combining the approximated fitness and the approximation uncertainty into a scalar function, which is shown to be particularly important for high-dimensional problems, where the estimated uncertainty becomes less reliable. Empirical studies on 50-and 100-dimensional benchmark problems and a synthetic problem constructed from four real-world optimization problems demonstrate that the proposed multi-objective infill criterion is more effective than existing scalar infill criteria for Gaussian process assisted optimization given a limited computational budget.
Prediction of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries plays a significant role in battery health management. Battery capacity is often chosen as the Health Indicator (HI) in research on lithium-ion battery RUL prediction. In the rest time of batteries, capacity will produce a certain degree of regeneration phenomenon, which exists in the use of each battery. Therefore, considering the capacity regeneration phenomenon in RUL prediction of lithium-ion batteries is helpful to improve the prediction performance of the model. In this paper, a novel method fusing the wavelet decomposition technology (WDT) and the Nonlinear Auto Regressive neural network (NARNN) model for predicting the RUL of a lithium-ion battery is proposed. Firstly, the multi-scale WDT is used to separate the global degradation and local regeneration of a battery capacity series. Then, the RUL prediction framework based on the NARNN model is constructed for the extracted global degradation and local regeneration. Finally, the two parts of the prediction results are combined to obtain the final RUL prediction result. Experiments show that the proposed method can not only effectively capture the capacity regeneration phenomenon, but also has high prediction accuracy and is less affected by different prediction starting points.