The state of health (SOH) and remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries are two important factors which are normally predicted using the battery capacity. However, it is difficult to directly measure the capacity of lithium-ion batteries for online applications. In this paper, indirect health indicators (IHIs) are extracted from the curves of voltage, current, and temperature in the process of charging and discharging lithium-ion batteries, which respond to the battery capacity degradation process. A few reasonable indicators are selected as the inputs of SOH prediction by the grey relation analysis method. The short-term SOH prediction is carried out by combining the Gaussian process regression (GPR) method with probability predictions. Then, considering that there is a certain mapping relationship between SOH and RUL, three IHIs and the present SOH value are utilized to predict RUL of lithium-ion batteries through the GPR model. The results show that the proposed method has high prediction accuracy.
Prediction of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries plays a significant role in battery health management. Battery capacity is often chosen as the Health Indicator (HI) in research on lithium-ion battery RUL prediction. In the rest time of batteries, capacity will produce a certain degree of regeneration phenomenon, which exists in the use of each battery. Therefore, considering the capacity regeneration phenomenon in RUL prediction of lithium-ion batteries is helpful to improve the prediction performance of the model. In this paper, a novel method fusing the wavelet decomposition technology (WDT) and the Nonlinear Auto Regressive neural network (NARNN) model for predicting the RUL of a lithium-ion battery is proposed. Firstly, the multi-scale WDT is used to separate the global degradation and local regeneration of a battery capacity series. Then, the RUL prediction framework based on the NARNN model is constructed for the extracted global degradation and local regeneration. Finally, the two parts of the prediction results are combined to obtain the final RUL prediction result. Experiments show that the proposed method can not only effectively capture the capacity regeneration phenomenon, but also has high prediction accuracy and is less affected by different prediction starting points.
State-of-Health (SOH) prediction of lithium-ion batteries is crucial in battery management systems. In order to guarantee the safe operation of lithium-ion batteries, a hybrid model based on convolutional neural network (CNN)-bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) and attention mechanism (AM) is developed to predict the SOH of lithium-ion batteries. By analyzing the charging and discharging process of batteries, the indirect health indicator (HI), which is highly correlated with capacity, is extracted in this paper. HI is taken as the input of CNN, and the convolution and pooling operations of CNN layers are used to extract the features of battery time series data. On this basis, a BiLSTM depth model is built in this paper to collect the data coming from CNN forward and reverse dependencies and further emphasize the correlation between the serial data by AM to obtain an accurate SOH estimate. Experimental results based on NASA PCoE lithium-ion battery data demonstrate that the proposed hybrid model outperforms other single models, with the root mean square error (RMSE) of SOH prediction results all less than 0.01, and can accurately predict the SOH of lithium-ion batteries.
Accurate state of health (SOH) prediction of lithium-ion batteries is essential for battery health management. In this paper, a novel method of predicting the SOH of lithium-ion batteries based on the voltage and temperature in the discharging process is proposed to achieve the accurate prediction. Both the equal voltage discharge time and the temperature change during the discharge process are regarded as health indicators (HIs), and then, the Pearson and Spearman relational analysis methods are applied to evaluate the relevance between HIs and SOH. On this basis, we modify the relevance vector machine (RVM) to a multiple kernel relevance vector machine (MKRVM) by combining Gaussian with sigmoid function to improve the accuracy of SOH prediction. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) is used to find the optimal weight and kernel function parameters of MKRVM. The aging data from NASA Ames Prognostics Center of Excellence are used to verify the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method in numerical simulations, whose results show that the MKRVM method has higher SOH prediction accuracy of lithium-ion batteries than the relevant methods.
With the development of artificial intelligence and deep learning, deep neural networks have become an important method for predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries. In this paper, drawing inspiration from the transformer sequence-to-sequence task’s transformation capability, we propose a fusion model that integrates the functions of the stacked denoising autoencoder (SDAE) and the Transformer model in order to improve the performance of RUL prediction. Firstly, the health factors under three different conditions are extracted from the measurement data as model inputs. These conditions include constant current and voltage, random discharge, and the application of principal component analysis (PCA) for dimensionality reduction. Then, SDAE is responsible for denoising and feature extraction, and the Transformer model is utilized for sequence modeling and RUL prediction of the processed data. Finally, accurate prediction of the RUL of the four battery cells is achieved through cross-validation and four sets of comparison experiments. Three evaluation metrics, MAE, RMSE, and MAPE, are selected, and the values of these metrics are 0.170, 0.202, and 19.611%, respectively. The results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms other prediction models in terms of prediction accuracy, robustness, and generalizability. This provides a new solution direction for the daily life prediction research of lithium-ion batteries.