Thomas Steens

Thomas Steens


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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16 June 2021 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
TSThomas Steens
Thomas Steens
JTJan-Simon Telle
Jan-Simon Telle
BHBenedikt Hanke
Benedikt Hanke
KMKarsten von Maydell
Karsten von Maydell
Carsten AgertCarsten Agert
Carsten Agert
MGMatthias Grottke
Matthias Grottke
Load-forecasting problems have already been widely addressed with different approaches, granularities and objectives. Recent studies focused not only on deep learning methods but also on forecasting loads on single building level. This study aims to research problems and possibilities arising by using different load-forecasting techniques to manage loads. For that behavior of two neural networks, Long Short-Term Memory and Feed-Forward Neural Network as well as two statistical methods, standardized load profiles and personalized standardized load profiles are analyzed and assessed by using a sliding-window forecast approach. The results show that personalized standardized load profiles (MAE: 3.99) can perform similar to deep learning methods (for example, LSTM MAE: 4.47). However, because of the simplistic approach, load profiles are not able to adapt to new patterns. As a case study for evaluating the support of load-forecasting for applications in energy management systems, the integration of charging stations into an existing building is simulated by using load-forecasts to schedule the charging procedures. It is shown that forecast- based controlled charging can have a significant impact by lowering overload peaks exceeding the house connection point power limit (controlled charging 20.24 kW; uncontrolled charging: 65.15 kW) while slightly increasing average charging duration. It is concluded that integration of high flexible loads can be supported by using forecast-based energy management systems with regards to their limitations.