Su Fen Chen

Dr. Su Fen Chen


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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18 October 2021 in Mathematics
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Journal Article
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You-Shyang ChenYou-Shyang Chen
You-Shyang Chen
CLChien-Ku Lin
Chien-Ku Lin
Chih-Min LoChih-Min Lo
Chih-Min Lo
SCSu Fen Chen
Su Fen Chen
QLQi-Jun Liao
Qi-Jun Liao
In recent years in Taiwan, scholars who study financial bankruptcy have mostly focused on individual listed and over-the-counter (OTC) industries or the entire industry, while few have studied the independent electronics industry. Thus, this study investigated the application of an advanced hybrid Z-score bankruptcy prediction model in selecting financial ratios of listed companies in eight related electronics industries (semiconductor, computer, and peripherals, photoelectric, communication network, electronic components, electronic channel, information service, and other electronics industries) using data from 2000 to 2019. Based on 22 financial ratios of condition attributes and one decision attribute recommended and selected by experts and in the literature, this study used five classifiers for binary logistic regression analysis and in the decision tree. The experimental results show that for the Z-score model, samples analyzed using the five classifiers in five groups (1:1–5:1) of different ratios of companies, the bagging classifier scores are worse (40.82%) than when no feature selection method is used, while the logistic regression classifier and decision tree classifier (J48) result in better scores. However, it is significant that the bagging classifier score improved to over 90% after using the feature selection technique. In conclusion, it was found that the feature selection method can be effectively applied to improve the prediction accuracy, and three financial ratios (the liquidity ratio, debt ratio, and fixed assets turnover ratio) are identified as being the most important determinants affecting the prediction of financial bankruptcy in providing a useful reference for interested parties to evaluate capital allocation to avoid high investment risks.

28 March 2022 in Sustainability
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Journal Article
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You-Shyang ChenYou-Shyang Chen
You-Shyang Chen
CLChien-Ku Lin
Chien-Ku Lin
YLYu-Sheng Lin
Yu-Sheng Lin
SCSu Fen Chen
Su Fen Chen
HTHuei-Hua Tsao
Huei-Hua Tsao
Due to the social awareness of risk control, we are witnessing the popularization of the insurance concept and the rapid development of financial insurance. The performance of the insurance industry is highly competitive; thus, in order to develop new and old business from existing clients, information on the renewal of client premiums, purchase of new policies, and new client referrals has become an important research topic in this field. However, based on a review of published literature, few scholars have engaged in relevant research on the above topics by data mining, which motivated the formation of this study, hoping to bridge this gap. We constructed 10 mixed classification prediction models (called Models A–J) using advanced data mining techniques. Moreover, 19 conditional attributes (coded as X1–X19) were selected from the collected insurance client database, plus three different decision attributes (coded as X20–X22): whether to pay the renewal insurance premium, whether to buy a new insurance policy, and whether to introduce new clients. In terms of technical methods, we used two data pretreatment techniques, attribute selection and data discretization, combined with different methods of disassembly in proportion and data cross-validation to conduct data analysis of the collected experimental data set. We also combined and calculated 23 important classification algorithms (or classifiers) in seven different classifications of data mining techniques (i.e., decision tree, Bayes, Function, Lazy, Meta, Mise, and Rule). In terms of the experimental results of insurance data, this study has the following important contributions and findings: (1) finding the best classifier; (2) finding the optimal mixed classification model; (3) determining the best disassembly in proportion; (4) comparing the performance of different disassembly in proportion and data cross-validation methods; (5) determining the important factors influencing the decision attribute “whether to purchase a new insurance policy”, including the time interval to the first purchase, the number of valid policies, the total number of purchased policies, the family salary structure, and gender; and (6) building a knowledge base of decision rules and criteria with the decision tree C4.5 technology, which shall be provided to relevant stakeholders such as insurance dealers and insurance salespeople as a reference for looking for valid clients in the future, and is conducive to the rapid expansion of insurance business. Finally, the important research findings and management implications of this study can serve as a basis for further study of sustainable insurance by academic researchers.

24 September 2022 in Axioms
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You-Shyang ChenYou-Shyang Chen
You-Shyang Chen
CCChih-Lung Chou
Chih-Lung Chou
MLMike Yau-Jung Lee
Mike Yau-Jung Lee
SCSu Fen Chen
Su Fen Chen
WHWen-Ju Hsiao
Wen-Ju Hsiao
At the beginning of 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic struck the world, affecting the pace of life and the economic behavioral patterns of people around the world, with an impact exceeding that of the 2008 financial crisis, causing a global stock market crash and even the first recorded negative oil prices. Under the impact of this pandemic, due to the global large-scale quarantine and lockdown measures, game stocks belonging to the stay-at-home economy have become the focus of investors from all over the world. Therefore, under such incentives, this study aims to construct a set of effective prediction models for the price of game stocks, which could help relevant stakeholders—especially investors—to make efficient predictions so as to achieve a profitable investment niche. Moreover, because stock prices have the characteristics of a time series, and based on the relevant discussion in the literature, we know that ARIMA (the autoregressive integrated moving average) prediction models have excellent prediction performance. In conclusion, this study aims to establish an advanced hybrid model based on ARIMA as an excellent prediction technology for the price of game stocks, and to construct four groups of different investment strategies to determine which technical models of investment strategies are suitable for different game stocks. There are six important directions, experimental results, and research findings in the construction of advanced models: (1) In terms of the experiment, the data are collected from the daily closing prices of game-related stocks on the Taiwan Stock Exchange, and the sample range is from 2014 to 2020. (2) In terms of the performance verification, the return on investment is used as the evaluation standard to verify the availability of the ARIMA prediction model. (3) In terms of the research results, the accuracy of the model in predicting the prices of listed stocks can reach the 95% confidence interval predicted by the model 14 days after the closing price, and the OTC stocks fall within the 95% confidence interval for 3 days. (4) In terms of the empirical study of the rate of return, the investors can obtain a better rate of return than the benchmark strategy by trading the game stocks based on the indices set by the ARIMA model in this study. (5) In terms of the research findings, this study further compares the rate of return of trading strategies with reference to the ARIMA index and the rate of return of trading strategies with reference to the monitoring indicator, finding no significant difference between the two. (6) Different game stocks apply for different technical models of investment strategies.

29 April 2021 in Electronics
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Journal Article
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You-Shyang ChenYou-Shyang Chen
You-Shyang Chen
CLChien-Ku Lin
Chien-Ku Lin
SCSu Fen Chen
Su Fen Chen
SCShang-Hung Chen
Shang-Hung Chen
Tour traffic prediction is very important in determining the capacity of public transportation and planning new transportation devices, allowing them to be built in accordance with people’s basic needs. From a review of a limited number of studies, the common methods for forecasting tour traffic demand appear to be regression analysis, econometric modeling, time-series modeling, artificial neural networks, and gray theory. In this study, a two-step procedure is used to build a predictive model for public transport. In the first step of this study, regression analysis is used to find the correlations between two or more variables and their associated directions and strength, and the regression function is used to predict future changes. In the second step, the regression analysis and artificial neural network methods are assessed and the results are compared. The artificial neural network is more accurate in prediction than regression analysis. The study results can provide useful references for transportation organizations in the development of business operation strategies for managing sustainable smart cities.

30 September 2022 in Sustainability
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
You-Shyang ChenYou-Shyang Chen
You-Shyang Chen
CLChien-Ku Lin
Chien-Ku Lin
CCChih-Lung Chou
Chih-Lung Chou
SCSu Fen Chen
Su Fen Chen
MTMin-Hui Ting
Min-Hui Ting
The rapid growth of the aging population and the rate of disabled people with physical and mental disorders is increasing the demand for long-term care. The decline in family care could lead to social and economic collapse. In order to reduce the burden of long-term care, long-term care insurance has become one of the most competitive products in the life insurance industry. In the previous literature review, few scholars engaged in the research on this topic with data mining technology, which was motivated to trigger the formation of this study and hoped to increase the different aspects of academic research. The purpose of this study is to develop the long-term insurance business from the original list of insurance clients, to predict whether the sustainable financial management clients will buy the long-term care insurance policies, and to establish a feasible prediction model to assist life insurance companies. This study aims to establish the classified prediction models of Models I~X, to dismantle the data with the percentage split and 10-fold cross validation, plus the application of two kinds of technology as feature selection and data discretization, for the data mining of twenty-three kinds of algorithms in seven different categories (Bayes, Function, Lazy, Meta, Misc, Rule, and Decision Tree) through the data collected from the insurance company database, and to select 20 conditional attributes and 1 decisional attribute (whether to buy the long-term insurance policy or not). The decision attribute is binary classification method for empirical data analysis. The empirical results show that: (1) the marital status, total number of policies purchased, and total amount of policies (including long-term care insurance) are found to be the three important factors affecting the decision attribute; (2) the most stable models are the advanced hybrid Models V and X; and (3) the best classifier is Decision Tree J48 algorithm for the study data used.