Background: As one of the most common cancers in the female population, cervical cancer has ranked as the second most incident gynecological cancer in recent years, trailing only breast cancer. We aimed to assess and compare the secular trends in cervical cancer mortality in China and the United States and analyze the independent effects of chronological age, time period and birth cohort using age-period-cohort (APC) analysis. Methods: We performed an age-period-cohort analysis using the intrinsic estimator method to estimate the independent effects of age, time period, and birth cohort on cervical cancer mortality. We collected mortality data for China and the United States from the WHO Mortality Database and China Health Statistical Yearbook database. Results: We examined the general trends in cervical mortality rates in China and the United States during the periods 1988–2012 and 1953–2012, respectively. The age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for cervical cancer in urban China, rural China and the U.S. showed a general decreasing trend during the observation period, except for urban China, which experienced a significant increase beginning in 2002. The mortality rates for cervical cancer in the three areas showed a general increasing trend with age, regardless of the period effect. Period effects declined steadily in both rural China (from 0.19 to −0.26) and the U.S. (from −0.20 to −0.43); however, a slight increasing trend was identified (from −0.25 to 0.33) in urban China, which indicated that the risk of mortality increased with time. Cohort effects peaked in the cohort born in 1911–1915 in both rural China and urban China, declined consistently in the cohort born before 1950, and then decreased again in the cohort born after 1976–1980. The cohort effect in the U.S. peaked in the birth cohort born in 1876–1880, then leveled off and slightly decreased in younger generations. Conclusions: Our study showed that in general, cervical cancer mortality rates increased with age and decreased with birth cohort in the U.S., while the risk of mortality was highest in the cohort born during 1946–1975 in urban China. Additionally, the risk of mortality consistently increased with age in women younger than 64 years old in urban and rural China and began to decline in older groups. Although the age and cohort effects were relatively strong, the period effect may be the key factor affecting cervical cancer mortality trends, mainly reflecting the immediate effects of effective treatment and the implementation of screening.

Background. Reproductive system cancer is an important cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide which threatens women’s health and lives. Breast, cervical, and ovarian cancer have the higher incidence and mortality among a series of gynecology malignant tumor. We aimed to compare and assess the temporal trends of common female malignances on breast, cervical, and ovarian cancer mortality in developed regions of Asia including Japan, Republic of Korea, and Singapore and analyze the detached effects of chronological age, time period, and birth cohort by age-period-cohort (APC) analysis. Methods. The mortality data for these three cancers were collected from the WHO Mortality Database in Japan, Republic of Korea, and Singapore from 1954 to 2013, from 1989 to 2013, and from 1964 to 2013, respectively. We fitted an age-period-cohort model and intrinsic estimator method to estimate the independent effect of each age, time period, and birth cohort on cancer mortality and describe the secular changes in three Asian countries. Results. For the overall trends of breast cancer, the ASMRs of breast cancer showed a general increasing trend among three countries during the study periods while the change pattern in Singapore was different from the rest of the two countries for cervical and ovarian cancer. By APC analysis, the three cancer mortality risks generally increased with age and decreased with birth cohort. For period effects of breast and ovarian cancer, increasing effects with time were observed; however, for period effects of cervical cancer, converse change pattern was presented among three countries. Conclusions. Our study shows that the ASMRs of breast, cervical, and ovarian cancer remain high in Singapore compared to Japan and Korea. Generally speaking, the mortality risk of three cancers increased with age, and period and cohort effects may collectively affect the common female malignances mortality for East Asian women.

To describe the temporal trends of breast cancer mortality in East Asia and to better understand the causes of these trends, we analyzed the independent effects of chronological age, time period and birth cohort on breast cancer mortality trends using age-period-cohort (APC) analysis. We chose three main countries in East Asia, namely China, South Korea, and Japan, which have reported death status to the WHO Mortality Database, and used the United States as a comparison population. Our study shows that in general, breast cancer mortality rates in females increased in all three East Asian countries throughout the study period. By APC analysis, we confirmed that there is, in fact, a difference in age-specific mortality rate patterns between the Eastern and the Western countries, which is presumably caused by the two-disease model. While the cause of the decrease from approximately the 1950s generation is still in question, we believe that increasing general awareness and improvements in the health-care system have made a significant contribution to it. Although the age and cohort effects are relatively strong, the period effect may be a more critical factor in the mortality trend, mainly reflecting the increase in exposures to carcinogens and behavioral risk factors.

The aim of this study is to explore the long-term trends of suicide mortality in China. We implemented the age-period-cohort (APC) framework, using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Our results showed that the net drift of suicide mortality was −4.727% (95% CI: −4.821% to −4.634%) per year for men and −6.633% (95% CI: −6.751% to −6.515%) per year for women, and the local drift values were below 0 in all age groups (p < 0.01 for all) for both sexes during the period of 1994–2013. Longitudinal age curves indicated that, in the same birth cohort, suicide death risk increased rapidly to peak at the life stage of 20–24 years old and 15–24 years old for men and women, respectively, and then showed a decelerated decline, followed by a rise thereafter after 54 years old for men and a slight one after 69 years old for women. The estimated period and cohort RRs were found to show similar monotonic downward patterns (significantly with p < 0.01 for all) for both sexes, with more quickly decreasing for women than for men during the whole period. The decreasing trend of suicide was likely to be related to the economic rapid growth, improvements in health care, enhancement on the level of education, and increasing awareness of suicide among the public in China. In addition, fast urbanization and the effective control of pesticides and rodenticides might be the special reasons behind these trends we observed in this study.

Background: Studies evaluating the association between the atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) genetic polymorphism and the risk of essential hypertension (EH) have reported inconsistent results. The aim of this meta-analysis was to provide a more reliable estimation of the possible relationship between the atrial natriuretic peptide genetic polymorphism and the risk of essential hypertension (EH). Methods: Relevant articles were searched to identify all case-control or cohort design studies of the associations between ANP polymorphism and EH. The heterogeneity was checked using the Q test and the inconsistent index (I²). The odds ratio (OR) test and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated in a fixed or random effects model to evaluate the strength of association. Begg’s test and Egger’s test were applied to evaluate the publication bias. Results: A total of 25 case-control studies including 5520 cases and 5210 controls exploring the association between ANP polymorphism and EH were available for this meta-analysis. No significant association between the T2238C polymorphism and overall EH risk under the five genetic models was found (C vs. T: OR = 1.1, 95%CI = 0.94–1.2, p = 0.38; TC vs. TT: OR = 1.1, 95%CI = 0.88–1.5, p = 0.32; CC vs. TT: OR = 1.3, 95%CI = 0.90–1.9, p = 0.16; (CC + TC) vs. TT: OR = 1.1, 95%CI = 0.88–1.4, p = 0.35; CC vs. (TT + TC): OR = 1.1, 95%CI = 0.83–1.4, p = 0.55). We also found that the G1837A polymorphism had no significant association with overall EH risk (A vs. G: OR = 1.3, 95%CI = 0.96–1.9, p = 0.090; GA vs. GG: OR = 1.5, 95%CI = 0.83–2.6, p = 0.19; AA vs. GG: OR = 0.87, 95%CI = 0.34–2.3, p = 0.78; (AA + GA) vs. GG: OR = 1.5, 95%CI = 0.86–2.5, p = 0.17; AA vs. (GG + GA): OR = 1.3, 95%CI = 0.85–2.0, p = 0.22). In the analysis of the T1766C polymorphism, after removing the study of Nkeh, the 1766C allele suggested a protective effect in the model of TC vs. TT (OR = 0.64, 95%CI = 0.47–0.86, p = 0.003) and (CC + TC) vs. TT (OR = 0.64, 95%CI = 0.48–0.87, p = 0.004). Conclusions: This meta-analysis suggested that no significant relationships between ANP T2238C, G1837A gene polymorphisms and the risk of essential hypertension exist. Conversely, the ANP T1766C gene polymorphism may be associated with the risk of essential hypertension, and the 1766C allele may be a protective factor against EH. However, due to the number of limited articles on the T1766C polymorphisms, further studies are still needed to accurately prove the association between the T1766C gene polymorphism and the risk of essential hypertension.

Background. As the second most common gynecologic cancer worldwide, cervical cancer has led to morbidity and mortality in thousands of women. Our study is aimed at comparing the long‐term trends of mortality rates for cervical cancer in three high‐income countries—Canada, Korea, and Italy—and analyzing the detached effects of chronological age, time period, and birth cohort by age‐period‐cohort (APC) analysis. Methods. Joinpoint regression was used in this study, and the age‐period‐cohort model combined with the intrinsic estimator method was also applied to estimate the detached effect of each age, time period, and birth cohort on cervical cancer mortality. Results. For the overall trends of ASMRs for cervical cancer, the rates for Canada and Italy generally decreased during the whole observation periods while the rate for Korea exhibited a significant increase from 1986 to 2003. The APC analysis suggested that the cancer mortality risks consistently increased with age in the age groups including women aged 20 to 50 years in all areas. The period effect exhibited a general upward trend for both Korea and Italy, while a decreased trend was observed for Canada during the whole observation period. The mortality risk generally decreased with birth cohort, except there was a slight increase for younger generations in the three countries. Conclusions. Our study shows that the overall decrease in the cohort effect may have contributed to the reduced mortality rate for Italy and Canada, and the increased period effects and cohort effect in younger generations may have led to the increase in cancer mortality rate for Korea.