The pathogenic mutation p.Arg14del in the gene encoding Phospholamban (PLN) is known to cause cardiomyopathy and leads to increased risk of sudden cardiac death. Automatic tools might improve the detection of patients with this rare disease. Deep learning is currently the state-of-the-art in signal processing but requires large amounts of data to train the algorithms. In situations with relatively small amounts of data, like PLN, transfer learning may improve accuracy. We propose an ECG-based detection of the PLN mutation using transfer learning from a model originally trained for sex identification. The sex identification model was trained with 256,278 ECGs and subsequently finetuned for PLN detection (155 ECGs of patients with PLN) with two control groups: a balanced age/sex matched group and a randomly selected imbalanced population. The data was split in 10 folds and 20% of the training data was used for validation and early stopping. The models were evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the testing data. We used gradient activation for explanation of the prediction models. The models trained with transfer learning outperformed the models trained from scratch for both the balanced (AUROC 0.87 vs AUROC 0.71) and imbalanced (AUROC 0.0.90 vs AUROC 0.65) population. The proposed approach was able to improve the accuracy of a rare disease detection model by transfer learning information from a non-manual annotated and abundant label with only limited data available.

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has become a commonly applied procedure for high-risk aortic valve stenosis patients. However, for some patients, this procedure does not result in the expected benefits. Previous studies indicated that it is difficult to predict the beneficial effects for specific patients. We aim to study the accuracy of various traditional machine learning (ML) algorithms in the prediction of TAVI outcomes.

Deep learning (DL) has shown promising results in improving atrial fibrillation (AF) detection algorithms. However, these models are often criticized because of their "black box" nature. To develop a morphology based DL model to discriminate AF from sinus rhythm (SR), and to visualize which parts of the ECG are used by the model to derive to the right classification. We pre-processed raw data of 1469 ECGs in AF or SR, of patients with a history AF. Input data was generated by normalizing all single cycles (SC) of one ECG lead to SC-ECG samples by 1) centralizing the R wave or 2) scaling from R-to- R wave. Different DL models were trained by splitting the data in a training, validation and test set. By using a DL based heat mapping technique we visualized those areas of the ECG used by the classifier to come to the correct classification. The DL model with the best performance was a feedforward neural network trained by SC-ECG samples on a R-to-R wave basis of lead II, resulting in an accuracy of 0.96 and F1-score of 0.94. The onset of the QRS complex proved to be the most relevant area for the model to discriminate AF from SR. The morphology based DL model developed in this study was able to discriminate AF from SR with a very high accuracy. Deep learning model visualization may help clinicians gain insights into which ECG (unrecognized) features are most sensitive to discriminate AF from SR.

Current prognostic risk scores for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) do not benefit yet from modern machine learning techniques, which can improve risk stratification of one-year mortality of patients before TAVI. Despite the advancement of machine learning in healthcare, data sharing regulations are very strict and typically prevent exchanging patient data, without the involvement of ethical committees. A very robust validation approach, including 1300 and 631 patients per center, was performed to validate a machine learning model of one center at the other external center with their data, in a mutual fashion. This was achieved without any data exchange but solely by exchanging the models and the data processing pipelines. A dedicated exchange protocol was designed to evaluate and quantify the model’s robustness on the data of the external center. Models developed with the larger dataset offered similar or higher prediction accuracy on the external validation. Logistic regression, random forest and CatBoost lead to areas under curve of the ROC of 0.65, 0.67 and 0.65 for the internal validation and of 0.62, 0.66, 0.68 for the external validation, respectively. We propose a scalable exchange protocol which can be further extended on other TAVI centers, but more generally to any other clinical scenario, that could benefit from this validation approach.

Background: Machine learning models have been developed for numerous medical prognostic purposes. These models are commonly developed using data from single centers or regional registries. Including data from multiple centers improves robustness and accuracy of prognostic models. However, data sharing between multiple centers is complex, mainly because of regulations and patient privacy issues.Objective: We aim to overcome data sharing impediments by using distributed ML and local learning followed by model integration. We applied these techniques to develop 1-year TAVI mortality estimation models with data from two centers without sharing any data.Methods: A distributed ML technique and local learning followed by model integration was used to develop models to predict 1-year mortality after TAVI. We included two populations with 1,160 (Center A) and 631 (Center B) patients. Five traditional ML algorithms were implemented. The results were compared to models created individually on each center.Results: The combined learning techniques outperformed the mono-center models. For center A, the combined local XGBoost achieved an AUC of 0.67 (compared to a mono-center AUC of 0.65) and, for center B, a distributed neural network achieved an AUC of 0.68 (compared to a mono-center AUC of 0.64).Conclusion: This study shows that distributed ML and combined local models techniques, can overcome data sharing limitations and result in more accurate models for TAVI mortality estimation. We have shown improved prognostic accuracy for both centers and can also be used as an alternative to overcome the problem of limited amounts of data when creating prognostic models.

Thoracoscopic surgical ablation (SA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) has shown to be an effective treatment to restore sinus rhythm in patients with advanced AF. Identifying patients who will not benefit from this procedure would be valuable to improve personalized AF therapy. Machine learning (ML) techniques may assist in the improvement of clinical prediction models for patient selection. The aim of this study is to investigate how available baseline characteristics predict AF recurrence after SA using ML techniques. One-hundred-sixty clinical baseline variables were collected from 446 AF patients undergoing SA in our tertiary referral center. Multiple ML models were trained on five outcome measurements, including either all or a number of key variables selected by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). There was no difference in model performance between different ML techniques or outcome measurements. Variable selection significantly improved model performance (AUC: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.68–0.77). Subgroup analysis showed a higher model performance in younger patients (55 years, AUC 0.66). Recurrences of AF after SA can be predicted best when using a selection of baseline characteristics, particularly in young patients.