Exhausted or abandoned underground longwall mining may lead to long-term residual subsidence on surface land, which can cause some problems when the mined-out land is used for construction, land reclamation and ecological reconstruction. Thus, it is important to assess the stability and suitability of the land with a consideration of residual surface subsidence. Assuming a linear monotonic decrease in the annual residual surface subsidence, the limit of the sum of the annual residual subsidence factor, and continuity between surface subsidence in the last year of the weakening period and the residual surface subsidence in the first year, we establish a model to calculate the duration of residual subsidence and the annual residual surface subsidence factor caused by abandoned longwall coal mining. The duration of residual surface subsidence increases with the increase in mining thickness as well as the factor of extreme residual subsidence. The proposed method can quantitatively calculate the annual residual subsidence, the accumulative residual subsidence, and the potential future accumulative residual subsidence. This approach can be used to reasonably evaluate the stability and suitability of old mining subsidence areas and will be beneficial for the design of mining subsidence land reclamation and ecological reconstruction.

Sparse mixed forest with trees, shrubs, and green herbaceous vegetation is a typical landscape in the afforestation areas in northwestern China. It is a great challenge to accurately estimate the woody aboveground biomass (AGB) of a sparse mixed forest with heterogeneous woody vegetation types and background types. In this study, a novel woody AGB estimation methodology (VI-AGB model stratified based on herbaceous vegetation coverage) using a combination of Landsat-8, GaoFen-2, and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) images was developed. The results show the following: (1) the woody and herbaceous canopy can be accurately identified using the object-based support vector machine (SVM) classification method based on UAV red-green-blue (RGB) images, with an average overall accuracy and kappa coefficient of 93.44% and 0.91, respectively; (2) compared with the estimation uncertainties of the woody coverage-AGB models without considering the woody vegetation types (RMSE = 14.98 t∙ha⁻¹ and rRMSE = 96.31%), the woody coverage-AGB models stratified based on five woody species (RMSE = 5.82 t∙ha⁻¹ and rRMSE = 37.46%) were 61.1% lower; (3) of the six VIs used in this study, the near-infrared reflectance of pure vegetation (NIRv)-AGB model performed best (RMSE = 7.91 t∙ha⁻¹ and rRMSE = 50.89%), but its performance was still seriously affected by the heterogeneity of the green herbaceous coverage. The normalized difference moisture index (NDMI)-AGB model was the least sensitive to the background. The stratification-based VI-AGB models considering the herbaceous vegetation coverage derived from GaoFen-2 and UAV images can significantly improve the accuracy of the woody AGB estimated using only Landsat VIs, with the RMSE and rRMSE of 6.6 t∙ha⁻¹ and 42.43% for the stratification-based NIRv-AGB models. High spatial resolution information derived from UAV and satellite images has a great potential for improving the woody AGB estimated using only Landsat images in sparsely vegetated areas. This study presents a practical method of estimating woody AGB in sparse mixed forest in dryland areas.

The exploitation of underground coal resources has stepped up local economic and social development significantly. However, it was inevitable that time-dependent surface settlement would occur above the mined-out voids. Subsidence associated with local geo-mining can last from several months to scores of years and can seriously impact infrastructure, city planning, and underground space utilization. This paper addresses the problems in predicting progressive residual surface subsidence. The subsidence process was divided into three phases: a duration period, a residual subsidence period, and a long-term subsidence period. Then, a novel mathematical model calculating surface progressive residual subsidence was proposed based on the logistic time function. After the duration period, the residual subsidence period was extrapolated according to the threshold of the surface sinking rate. The validation for the proposed model was estimated in light of observed in situ data. The results demonstrate that the logistic time function is an ideal time function reflecting surface subsidence features from downward movement, subsidence rate, and sinking acceleration. The surface residual subsidence coefficient, which plays a crucial role in calculating surface settling, varies directly with model parameters and inversely with time. The influence of the amount of in situ data on predicted values is pronounced. Observation time for surface subsidence must extend beyond the active period. Thus back-calculated parameters with in situ measurement data can be reliable. Conversely, the deviation between predictive values and field-based ones is significant. The conclusions in this study can guide the project design of surface subsidence measurement resulting from longwall coal operation. The study affords insights valuable to land reutilization, city planning, and stabilization estimation of foundation above an abandoned workface.

In the operation and maintenance of the South–North Water Transfer Project, monitoring and predicting the canal slope deformation quickly and efficiently is one of the urgent problems to be solved. To predict the slope deformation of the deep excavated canal section at the head of the canal. We propose a new idea of adopting the joint prediction of MT-InSAR and Fbprophet. Firstly, MT-InSAR monitoring technology was used to invert channel deformation using 88 Sentinel-1A orbit-raising image data with a time baseline from 2017 to 2019. The time-series deformation of nine monitoring points was also extracted, and it was found that the time-series curves of the cumulative deformation of the channel slope showed fluctuations. The Fbprophet algorithm was then used to train the prediction model in Python to predict the channel slope deformation over the next 365 days. Finally, the prediction results were compared with the MT-InSAR monitoring values to analyze the prediction accuracy and applicability of the Fbprophet algorithm for the slope deformation monitoring of the South–North Water Transfer Project. The results show that: the deformation rate of the slope of the deep excavation section is in the range of 10 mm/a to 25 mm/a, the maximum accumulated deformation is about 60 mm, and the slope of the excavation canal shows a lifting phenomenon; among the nine monitoring points, the minimum and maximum predicted values of deformation using the machine learning prediction model trained in this paper were 56 mm and 73 mm, respectively; comparing the predicted and monitored values, their correlation coefficients were 0.998 at the highest and 0.988 at the lowest, and the minimum and maximum values of RMSE (RootMean Square Error) were 0.72 mm and 2.87 mm, respectively. It shows that the prediction model trained by the Fbprophet algorithm in this paper applies to the prediction of slope deformation in the deep excavation section, and our prediction results can provide a data reference for disaster prevention and the sustainable development of the South–North Water Transfer Project.

As a key tectonic zone formed by the India–Eurasia collision, the eastern Tibetan Plateau has complex crustal structures and intense tectonic activity. Its crustal stability is closely linked to regional geohazards and the safety of major engineering projects. This study assessed crustal stability using nine multi-source datasets, including terrestrial gravity, Bouguer gravity anomalies, seismic data, active faults, terrain indicators, and annual precipitation. A hybrid weighting framework coupling the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and CRITIC method was established, and factor analysis was further adopted to cross-verify the rationality of index weights. Moderately unstable and unstable zones appear as alternating bands with distinct linear extensions. These unstable areas are mainly distributed around Jiuquan–Zhangye–Wuwei, Xining–Haidong, Yushu–Garzê, Mianyang, and Chengdu. Statistically, stable, moderately stable, moderately unstable, and unstable zones account for 20.74%, 35.47%, 28.78%, and 15.01%, respectively. The results provide a scientific reference for regional planning and infrastructure site selection in tectonically active regions.