Heather Keith

Dr. Heather Keith

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

19Years (2008-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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17 July 2024 in Nature
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YPYude Pan
Yude Pan
RBRichard A. Birdsey
Richard A. Birdsey
OPOliver L. Phillips
Oliver L. Phillips
RHRichard A. Houghton
Richard A. Houghton
JFJingyun Fang
Jingyun Fang
DMDaniel Murdiyarso
Daniel Murdiyarso

14 July 2009 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
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HKHeather Keith
Heather Keith
Brendan MackeyBrendan Mackey
Brendan Mackey
DLDavid B. Lindenmayer
David B. Lindenmayer
From analysis of published global site biomass data ( n = 136) from primary forests, we discovered ( i ) the world's highest known total biomass carbon density (living plus dead) of 1,867 tonnes carbon per ha (average value from 13 sites) occurs in Australian temperate moist Eucalyptus regnans forests, and ( ii ) average values of the global site biomass data were higher for sampled temperate moist forests ( n = 44) than for sampled tropical ( n = 36) and boreal ( n = 52) forests ( n is number of sites per forest biome). Spatially averaged Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change biome default values are lower than our average site values for temperate moist forests, because the temperate biome contains a diversity of forest ecosystem types that support a range of mature carbon stocks or have a long land-use history with reduced carbon stocks. We describe a framework for identifying forests important for carbon storage based on the factors that account for high biomass carbon densities, including ( i ) relatively cool temperatures and moderately high precipitation producing rates of fast growth but slow decomposition, and ( ii ) older forests that are often multiaged and multilayered and have experienced minimal human disturbance. Our results are relevant to negotiations under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change regarding forest conservation, management, and restoration. Conserving forests with large stocks of biomass from deforestation and degradation avoids significant carbon emissions to the atmosphere, irrespective of the source country, and should be among allowable mitigation activities. Similarly, management that allows restoration of a forest's carbon sequestration potential also should be recognized.

12 March 2020 in Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change
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Brendan MackeyBrendan Mackey
Brendan Mackey
CKCyril F. Kormos
Cyril F. Kormos
HKHeather Keith
Heather Keith
WMWilliam R. Moomaw
William R. Moomaw
RHRichard A. Houghton
Richard A. Houghton
SHSonia Hugh
Sonia Hugh
Given the short time-frame to limit global warming, and the current emissions gap, it is critical to prioritise mitigation actions. To date, scant attention has been paid to the mitigation benefits of primary forest protection. We estimated tropical forest ecosystem carbon stocks and flows. The ecosystem carbon stock of primary tropical forests is estimated at 141–159 Pg C (billion tonnes of carbon) which is some 49–53% of all tropical forest carbon, the living biomass component of which alone is 91–103% of the remaining carbon budget to limit global warming to below 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels. Furthermore, tropical forests have ongoing sequestration rates 0.47–1.3 Pg C yr−1, equivalent to 8–13% of annual global anthropogenic CO2 (carbon dioxide) emissions. We examined three main forest-based strategies used in the land sector—halting deforestation, increasing forest restoration and improving the sustainable management of production forests. The mitigation benefits of primary forest protection are contingent upon how degradation is defined and accounted for, while those from restoration also depend on how restoration is understood and applied. Through proforestation, reduced carbon stocks in secondary forests can regrow to their natural carbon carrying capacity or primary forest state. We evaluated published data from studies comparing logged and unlogged forests. On average, primary forests store around 35% more carbon. While comparisons are confounded by a range of factors, reported biomass carbon recovery rates were from 40 to 100+ years. There is a substantive portfolio of forest-based mitigation actions and interventions available to policy and decision-makers, depending on national circumstances, in addition to SFM and plantation focused approaches, that can be grouped into four main strategies: protection; proforestation, reforestation and restoration; reform of guidelines, accounting rules and default values; landscape conservation planning. Given the emissions gap, mitigation strategies that merely reduce the rate of emissions against historic or projected reference levels are insufficient. Mitigation strategies are needed that explicitly avoid emissions where possible as well as enabling ongoing sequestration.

1 May 2021 in Science of The Total Environment
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HKHeather Keith
Heather Keith
MVMichael Vardon
Michael Vardon
COCarl Obst
Carl Obst
VYVirginia Young
Virginia Young
RHRichard A. Houghton
Richard A. Houghton
Brendan MackeyBrendan Mackey
Brendan Mackey

18 September 2017 in Nature Ecology & Evolution
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HKHeather Keith
Heather Keith
MVMichael Vardon
Michael Vardon
JSJohn A. Stein
John A. Stein
JSJanet L. Stein
Janet L. Stein
DLDavid B Lindenmayer
David B Lindenmayer

10 September 2014 in PLOS ONE
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HKHeather Keith
Heather Keith
DLDavid B. Lindenmayer
David B. Lindenmayer
Brendan MackeyBrendan Mackey
Brendan Mackey
DBDavid Blair
David Blair
LCLauren Carter
Lauren Carter
TKTomoko Konishi-Nagano
Tomoko Konishi-Nagano
Carbon stock change due to forest management and disturbance must be accounted for in UNFCCC national inventory reports and for signatories to the Kyoto Protocol. Impacts of disturbance on greenhouse gas (GHG) inventories are important for many countries with large forest estates prone to wildfires. Our objective was to measure changes in carbon stocks due to short-term combustion and to simulate longer-term carbon stock dynamics resulting from redistribution among biomass components following wildfire. We studied the impacts of a wildfire in 2009 that burnt temperate forest of tall, wet eucalypts in south-eastern Australia. Biomass combusted ranged from 40 to 58 tC ha−1, which represented 6–7% and 9–14% in low- and high-severity fire, respectively, of the pre-fire total biomass carbon stock. Pre-fire total stock ranged from 400 to 1040 tC ha−1 depending on forest age and disturbance history. An estimated 3.9 TgC was emitted from the 2009 fire within the forest region, representing 8.5% of total biomass carbon stock across the landscape. Carbon losses from combustion were large over hours to days during the wildfire, but from an ecosystem dynamics perspective, the proportion of total carbon stock combusted was relatively small. Furthermore, more than half the stock losses from combustion were derived from biomass components with short lifetimes. Most biomass remained on-site, although redistributed from living to dead components. Decomposition of these components and new regeneration constituted the greatest changes in carbon stocks over ensuing decades. A critical issue for carbon accounting policy arises because the timeframes of ecological processes of carbon stock change are longer than the periods for reporting GHG inventories for national emissions reductions targets. Carbon accounts should be comprehensive of all stock changes, but reporting against targets should be based on human-induced changes in carbon stocks to incentivise mitigation activities.