Whether newly implemented public transit stations influence the nearby crime pattern has been debated for years. In ZG City, China, 2 new subway lines and 20 new stations were implemented in 2017. This intervention allows us to test the plausible relationship between new public transit stations and thefts in the surrounding areas. We use the difference-in-differences (DID) model to assess the theft in the treatment and control areas before and after the implementation of the new stations, with necessary socioeconomic and land-use variables and time from the addition of the station being controlled. We also explicitly examine the impacts of the proximity of the stations and the Spring Festival on theft. The results suggest the following: (1) theft around the new subway stations significantly increases after the stations’ implementation, while the control area does not see much change in thefts; (2) proximity between the neighboring stations’ increases thefts; and (3) theft near the new stations significantly decreases during the month of the Spring Festival. This study contributes to the literature on the relationship between the subway system and crime, especially from a Chinese perspective. The finding of the research can bring insights to urban transit planning, allocation of the police force, and crime prevention.
The floating population is frequently treated as a homogeneous whole to explore its impact on crime in numerous crime studies in China. However, there are different compositions within the floating population and significant differences in the effects on crime. In this study, the floating population was divided into three types based on household registration (i.e., Hukou): the floating population from other districts in the same city (FPFOD), the floating population from other cities in the same province (FPFOC) and the floating population from other provinces (FPFOP). The Moran index was used to analyze their spatial distribution patterns and aggregation, respectively, and several negative binomial regression models were constructed to explore the influence of different types of floating populations on theft. The results show that the three types of floating populations are mainly distributed in different urban areas, implying differences in their impact on theft. Among them, the proportion of the FPFOD shows insignificant negative correlation on theft, while the proportion of the FPFOC and the FPFOP present a significant positive correlation. Meanwhile, the proportion of the FPFOP creates a stronger effect on theft than the proportion of entire floating population. Overall, the model performs best when variables of the proportion of the FPFOC and the FPFOP are included. The research conclusions can provide a meaningful reference for precisely measuring the floating population in crime research.