Disaster resilient civil infrastructure systems are essential for disaster resilient communities. Measuring the resilience of these systems is the first step towards their improvement. This, however, is not easy: civil infrastructure systems are highly complex, operate in different ways, and are affected differently in different disasters. Adding to the complexity are the dynamic interdependencies among components of such systems, that change as the community is recovering. The Re-CoDeS framework for quantifying disaster resilience measures the lack of resilience of a system (e.g., a community) as the amount of the system’s unmet demand for a considered resource or service over the resilience assessment interval. This paper presents a novel demand/supply-based method to consider dynamic component interdependencies by extending the Re-CoDeS framework: whenever the demand of a component is not met by the currently available supply capacity of the system, that component ceases to operate and its supply capacity decreases. The proposed iRe-CoDeS framework is demonstrated on a virtual community served by three interdependent civil infrastructure systems producing five types of resources and services. Step-by-step instructions for defining a community model within the iRe-CoDeS framework are presented to facilitate the use of the proposed framework.
Regional seismic risk assessment is necessary for designing effective seismic risk mitigation measures. In general, such risk assessment studies consist of three components: hazard, vulnerability, and exposure modelling. This paper lays the foundations for regional seismic risk assessment of the residential building stock in Serbia and addresses each of the three seismic risk assessment components, either by reviewing the existing or proposing novel models. First, a review of seismic hazard models and seismic design codes used in Serbia in the past 70 years was presented. Next, an overview of Serbia’s population metrics and historical development of Serbian’s residential building stock was presented to provide the context for the exposure model. Furthermore, the paper proposed a novel building classification for Serbia's residential building stock, which is based on the existing building taxonomies, but it has been adapted to account for the local building characteristics. Building damage patterns reported in past earthquakes in Serbia and neighbouring countries were reviewed as a basis for damage classification pertaining to building typologies included in the proposed classification. Finally, the results of a preliminary vulnerability model were presented in the form of expert-based fragility functions derived for buildings typical of Serbia's residential building stock.
One of the principle issues concerning the practical application of steel fiber reinforced concrete (SFRC) is the uncertainty related to its structural behavior, primarily caused by the partially random distribution and orientation of steel fibers in SFRC structural elements. This paper aims to provide a better understanding of how the variance of material properties of the SFRC affects the flexural behavior of SFRC beams. First, a distributed plasticity fiber finite element model of beam flexural behavior is proposed and validated. Then, probability distributions of selected material properties are defined based on existing probabilistic models and experimental results from the literature. Finally, a variance-based sensitivity analysis is performed using Sobol’ indices to identify uncertainties in material properties that contribute most to the uncertainties related to three characteristic points of a beam’s flexural behavior: first crack, yield, and collapse point. Sensitivity analysis is performed by surrogating the numerical model using polynomial chaos expansion. The variance in residual tensile strength is identified as the main contributor to the variance in the flexural behavior of an SFRC beam used in the case study.