Photovoltaic (PV) electric power has been widely employed to satisfy rising energy demands because inexhaustible renewable energy is environmentally friendly. In order to mitigate the impact caused by the uncertainty of solar radiation in grid‐connected PV systems, a hybrid method based on a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) is introduced for short‐term PV power forecasting. In the proposed method, different frequency components are first decomposed from the historical time series of PV power through variational mode decomposition (VMD). Then, they are constructed into a two‐dimensional data form with correlations in both daily and hourly timescales that can be extracted by convolution kernels. Moreover, the time series of residue from VMD is refined into advanced features by a CNN, which could reduce the data size and be easier for further model training along with meteorological elements. The hybrid model has been verified by forecasting the output power of PV arrays with diverse capacities in various hourly timescales, which demonstrates its superiority over commonly used methods.

The increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and emerging dynamic wireless charging techniques have strengthened the coupling between traffic networks and power distribution networks. This increased coupling necessitates greater coordination between the two networks. This paper proposes a multi-period optimal traffic and power flow model that considers time-varying electricity and traffic demands. The distribution of traffic flow is represented by a semi-dynamic traffic assignment (SDTA) model, which considers flow propagation between adjacent periods. Combined second-order cone, convex hull, and McCormick envelope relaxations are employed to convexify the power and traffic flow model. Optimization-based bound tightening (OBBT) method combined with a heuristic sequential bound tightening (SBT) method is employed to improve the tightness of the relaxation. The modeling of multi-period scheduling provided by the SDTA model is thoroughly compared with that provided by the conventional static traffic assignment model. In addition, the proposed traffic and power flow model is employed to conduct congestion analysis of the coupled networks. Numerical results on two test systems demonstrate both the spatial and temporal impacts of congestion on each of the coupled networks. Moreover, numerical results verify that the proposed OBBT-SBT-based convex relaxation is sufficiently tight.

Accurate forecasting of carbon price is important and fundamental for anticipating the changing trends of the energy market, and, thus, to provide a valid reference for establishing power industry policy. However, carbon price forecasting is complicated owing to the nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics of carbon prices. In this paper, a combined forecasting model based on variational mode decomposition (VMD) and spiking neural networks (SNNs) is proposed. An original carbon price series is firstly decomposed into a series of relatively stable components through VMD to simplify the interference and coupling across characteristic information of different scales in the data. Then, a SNN forecasting model is built for each component, and the partial autocorrelation function (PACF) is used to determine the input variables for each SNN model. The final forecasting result for the original carbon price can be obtained by aggregating the forecasting results of all the components. Actual InterContinental Exchange (ICE) carbon price data is used for simulation, and comprehensive evaluation criteria are proposed for quantitative error evaluation. Simulation results and analysis suggest that the proposed VMD-SNN forecasting model outperforms conventional models in terms of forecasting accuracy and reliability.