We compared the results of equivalent linear (ELA) and nonlinear site response analyses (NLA) and found that the differences between the values of the peak ground acceleration ( PGA ), peak ground velocity ( PGV ), Arias intensity ( Ia ), significant duration ( D5–75 ), and response spectrum for periods between 0.025 s and 2 s predicted by each method are non‐negligible for maximum shear strain values predicted by ELA ( γmax
,
ELA ) greater than 0.04% to 1.0%. As γmax
,
ELA increases, ELA in general predict smaller shear strain and D5–75 values, and larger PGA , PGV , Ia , mean period, and response spectral values for periods less than 0.1 s and periods near the natural site period than NLA. To help researchers and practitioners decide when to use ELA and/or NLA, we developed a model to estimate γmax
,
ELA before conducting a site response analysis.
The frequency of landslide disasters is increasing as a result of exploitation of natural resources, deforestation, and greater population vulnerability due to growing urbanization and uncontrolled land-use. Earthquakes are a major triggering factor of landslides, and earthquake-induced landslides pose a major threat to infrastructure and human life. This paper presents the effects of slope angle, soil sensitivity, ground motion orientation, and multidirectional shaking on the results of seismic slope stability analyses. The results show that permanent shear stresses due to sloping ground, strain softening and sensitivity, ground motion orientation, and multidirectional shaking all have a large influence on the permanent displacements estimated from earthquake-induced landslide hazard analyses. Multidirectional shaking also predicts larger excess pore pressures in deep layers than unidirectional shaking. It is important that site investigations provide adequate information to model the correct slope angle and soil sensitivity. The ground motion orientation should be considered and chosen based on the specific needs of a project. Analyses with only one ground motion component could give unconservative results.
31 July 2018 in Geological Society, London, Special Publications
This paper presents the geohazard assessment for a proposed bridge across Bjørnafjorden in western Norway. The fjord is c. 5 km wide with a maximum depth of 550 m at the proposed bridge crossing. The main geohazards of concern are submarine slope instabilities. To identify locations of instability, their susceptibility to failure, and their potential runout distances, we performed the following analyses: (1) static and pseudo-static limit equilibrium analyses for the entire fjord crossing area; (2) 1D seismic slope stability sensitivity analyses for different slope angles and soil depths; (3) 2D static and pseudo-static finite element analyses for selected profiles; (4) back-analysis of a palaeolandslide; and (5) quasi-2D and quasi-3D landslide dynamic simulations calibrated using results from the back-analysis. The workflow progresses from simplified to more advanced analyses focusing on the most critical locations. The results show that the soils in many locations of the fjord are potentially unstable and could be the loci of landslides and debris flows. The evidence of numerous palaeosubmarine landslides identified on geophysical records reinforces this conclusion. However, the landslide triggers and timing are currently unknown. This paper demonstrates the need for comprehensive and multidisciplinary geohazard analyses for any infrastructure projects conducted in fjords.
This paper presents a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for a site offshore Maheshkhali Island, Bangladesh. The tectonic setting of the area is complex, and the PSHA includes active crustal faults, megathrust and intraplate subduction faults, and a background gridded seismicity areal source zone based on historical and recorded earthquakes. In addition, we model several rupture scenarios for the closest megathrust source. The peak ground acceleration values for return periods of 475 years and 2475 years are 0.33 g and 0.63 g, respectively. These values are higher than previous studies conducted in the area, however, past studies only included areal source zones based on recorded seismicity whereas this study takes advantage of recent research to include more detailed fault data. The deaggregation plots show that the main contributors to the hazard are a magnitude 6.5–7.1 earthquake 15–20 km from the site on the Maheshkhali fault and a magnitude 8.0–8.8 earthquake 120–250 km from the site on the Ramree megathrust.
Offshore wind has become a major contributor to reducing global carbon emissions. This paper presents a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for the Sofia Offshore Wind Farm, which is located about 200 km north-east of England in the southern North Sea and will be one of the largest offshore wind farms in the world once completed. The seismic source characterization is composed of two areal seismic source models and four seismic source models derived using smoothed gridded seismicity with earthquake catalogue data processed by different techniques. The ground motion characterization contains eight ground motion models selected based on comparisons with regional data. The main findings are (1) the variation in seismic hazard across the site is negligible; (2) the main source controlling the hazard is the source that includes the 1931 Dogger Bank earthquake; (3) earthquake scenarios controlling the hazard are Mw = 5.0–6.3 and R = 110–210 km; and (4) the peak ground accelerations on rock are lower than for previous regional studies. These results could help guide future seismic hazard assessments in the North Sea.
5 December 2022 in Marine Georesources & Geotechnology