We provide an open-source model to estimate the number of secondary Covid-19 infections caused by potentially infectious students returning from university to private homes with other occupants. Using a Monte-Carlo method and data derived from UK sources, we predict that an infectious student would, on average, infect 0.94 other household members. Or, as a rule of thumb, each infected student would generate (just less than) one secondary within-household infection. The total number of secondary cases for all returning students is dependent on the virus prevalence within each student population at the time of their departure from campus back home. Although the proposed estimation method is general and robust, the results are sensitive to the input data. We provide Matlab code and a helpful online app (http://bit.ly/Secondary_infections_app) that can be used to estimate numbers of secondary infections based on local parameter values. This can be used worldwide to support policy making.

We construct a spatially-compartmental, individual-based model of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in indoor spaces. The model can be used to predict the infection rates in a variety of locations when various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are introduced. Tasked by the Welsh Government, we apply the model to secondary schools and to Further and Higher Education environments. Specifically, we consider student populations mixing in a classroom and in halls of residence. We focus on assessing the potential efficacy of Lateral Flow Devices (LFDs) when used in broad-based screens for asymptomatic infection or in ‘test-to-release’ scenarios in which individuals who have been exposed to infection are released from isolation after a negative LFD result. LFDs are also compared to other NPIs; we find that, although LFD testing can be used to mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2, it is more effective to invest in personal protective equipment, e.g., masks, and in increasing ventilation quality. In addition, we provide an open-access and user-friendly online applet that simulates the model, complete with user tutorials to encourage the use of the model to aid educational policy decisions as input infection data becomes available.

A graphical user interface (GUI) was developed to aid in the assessment of changes in the radiation tolerance of spinal cord/similar central nervous system tissues with time between two individual ...

Advances in multiplex imaging and spatial omics have revolutionised spatial data generation in biology, revealing complex tissue organisation across multiple scales. However, methods for analysing these data have lagged behind, with fragmented, study-specific pipelines and limited guidance for tool selection. To address this, we introduce MuSpAn, a Multiscale Spatial Analysis package offering intuitive, flexible access to a wide range of mathematical tools - including spatial statistics, topological data analysis, geometry, and networks - within a unified framework. MuSpAn supports efficient data querying, is agnostic to imaging modality, and provides extensive documentation and community support. It enables users to create custom pipelines or conduct unbiased exploratory analyses. We demonstrate MuSpAn’s capacity to interrogate cross-compartmental cell interactions at multiple length scales in both normal and neoplastic tissue using mouse intestinal spatial transcriptomic datasets. Applied to a CMS4-like murine intestinal cancer model, MuSpAn identifies a continuum of fibroblastic functional phenotypes associated with discrete and coordinated fibroblast-immune interactions, highlighting its utility as a discovery tool across diverse biological contexts.

Recent advances in high-resolution experimental methods have highlighted the significance of cell signal pathway crosstalk and localized signaling activity in the development and disease of numerous biological systems. The investigation of multiple signal pathways often introduces different methods of cell-cell communication, i.e., contact-based or diffusive signaling, which generates both a spatial and a temporal dependence on cell behaviors. Motivated by cellular mechanisms that control cell-fate decisions in developing bilayer tissues, we use dynamical systems coupled with multilayer graphs to analyze the role of signaling polarity and pathway crosstalk in fine-grain pattern formation of protein activity. Specifically, we study how multilayer graph edge structures and weights influence the layerwise (laminar) patterning of cells in bilayer structures, which are commonly found in glandular tissues. We present sufficient conditions for the existence, uniqueness, and instability of homogeneous cell states in the large-scale spatially discrete dynamical system. Using methods of pattern templating by graph partitioning to generate quotient systems, in combination with concepts from monotone dynamical systems, we exploit the extensive dimensionality reduction to provide existence conditions for the polarity required to induce fine-grain laminar patterns with multiple spatially dependent intracellular components. We then explore the spectral links between the quotient and large-scale dynamical systems to extend the laminar patterning criteria from existence to convergence for sufficiently large amounts of cellular polarity in the large-scale dynamical system, independent of spatial dimension and number of cells in the tissue.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) tumours with high stromal content have a worse outcome, but the mechanisms governing this are unclear. Using high-throughput single-cell perturbation analysis of CRC patient-derived organoids (PDOs) and cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) we find that epithelial cells with high stromal-communication potential are marked by the transcriptional co-repressor DACH1 . To define the causal regulators of stromal-epithelial signalling, we developed a novel CRISPR screening platform to perturb the CAF secretome and measure epithelial stem cell responses at single-cell resolution. Intercellular CRISPR screening and full factorial ligand analysis revealed that stromal Prostaglandin E2 (PGE ₂ ) is a dominant regulator of CRC cell-fate plasticity. Stromal PGE ₂ converts DACH1 ⁺ epithelia from a chemosensitive proliferative colonic stem cell (proCSC) fate into a chemorefractory and pro-metastatic revival colonic stem cell (revCSC) fate. PGE ₂ -driven epithelial transdetermination is rapid and reversible, providing an acute mechanism for stromal-driven plasticity in CRC tumours. Genetic and pharmacological inhibition of stromal COX2 inhibits epithelial plasticity, trapping CRC epithelia in an anti-metastatic and chemosensitive proCSC fate. PTGS2 ⁺ CAFs support a spatially resolved revCSC to proCSC plasticity gradient in human CRC tumours marked by increasing DACH1 expression. These results reveal that stromal prostaglandin is a dominant spatial regulator of poor-prognosis cell-fates and may explain the benefit of anti-COX therapies in both preventing and treating CRC.