Hydraulic structures are typically subjected to long-term hydraulic loading, and concrete—the main material of structures—may suffer from cracking damage and seepage failure, which can threaten the safety of hydraulic structures. In order to assess the safety of hydraulic concrete structures and realize the accurate analysis of the whole failure process of hydraulic concrete structures under the coupling effect of seepage and stress, it is vital to comprehend the variation law of concrete permeability coefficients under complex stress states. In this paper, several concrete samples were prepared, designed for loading conditions of confining pressures and seepage pressures in the first stage, and axial pressures in the later stage, to carry out the permeability experiment of concrete materials under multi-axial loading, followed by the relationships between the permeability coefficients and axial strain, and the confining and seepage pressures were revealed accordingly. In addition, during the application of axial pressure, the whole process of seepage–stress coupling was divided into four stages, describing the permeability variation law of each stage and analyzing the causes of its formation. The exponential relationship between the permeability coefficient and volume strain was established, which can serve as a scientific basis for the determination of permeability coefficients in the analysis of the whole failure process of concrete seepage–stress coupling. Finally, this relationship formula was applied to numerical simulation to verify the applicability of the above experimental results in the numerical simulation analysis of concrete seepage–stress coupling.

The 300 m-level high arch dams built in China have different degrees of valley-narrowing deformation in the initial impoundment. This unexpected phenomenon may increase the long-term safety risk of high arch dams. There are several explanations for the valley-narrowing deformation phenomenon, and one of the explanations—that it is caused by a drop in bedrock temperature—is still under debate. In this paper, coupled thermo-hydromechanical (THM) simulations of the temporal and spatial evolutions of the bedrock temperature and seepage fields of the Xiluodu arch dam site were performed. The results showed that the mechanism of the bedrock temperature drop after impoundment can be divided into two types: short-term type and long-term. For the short-term type, the maximum temperature drop of 9 °C is caused by the heat exchange between the bedrock surface layer and the reservoir water during the initial impoundment. For the long-term type, the maximum temperature drop of 15 °C in front of the grouted curtain is caused by the long-term infiltration of cold water from upstream to downstream bypassing the grout curtain. The monitoring data showed that the valley-narrowing deformation mainly occurred in the initial impoundment, which corresponds to the short-term type. Notably, the valley-narrowing deformation may be overestimated if the long-term type of bedrock temperature drop is considered. Taken together, these findings demonstrate that the bedrock temperature change due to impoundment is dominated by the short-term type and can be applied to study the effect of temperature on valley-narrowing deformation after impounding.