Demand for agricultural products is increasing as population continues to grow in Africa. To attain a higher crop yield while preserving the environment, appropriate management of macronutrients (i.e., nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and potassium (K)) and crops are of critical prominence. This paper aims to review the state of art of the use of remote sensing in soil agricultural applications, especially in monitoring NPK availability for widely grown crops in Africa. In this study, we conducted a substantial literature review of the use of airborne imaging technology (e.g., different platforms and sensors), methods available for processing and analyzing spectral information, and advances of these applications in farming practices by the African scientific community. Here we aimed to identify knowledge gaps in this field and challenges related to the acquisition, processing, and analysis of hyperspectral imagery for soil agriculture investigations. To do so, publications over the past 10 years (i.e., 2008–2021) in hyperspectral imaging technology and applications in monitoring macronutrients status for crops were reviewed. In this study, the imaging platforms and sensors, as well as the different methods of processing encountered across the literature, were investigated and their benefit for NPK assessment were highlighted. Furthermore, we identified and selected particular spectral regions, bands, or features that are most sensitive to describe NPK content (both in crop and soil) that allowed to characterize NPK. In this review, we proposed a hyperspectral data-based research protocol to quantify variability of NPK in soil and crop at the field scale for the sake of optimizing fertilizers application. We believe that this review will contribute promoting the adoption of hyperspectral technology (i.e., imaging and spectroscopy) for the optimization of soil NPK investigation, mapping, and monitoring in many African countries.

Africa has the largest population growth rate in the world and an agricultural system characterized by the predominance of smallholder farmers. Improving food security in Africa will require a good understanding of farming systems yields as well as reducing yield gaps (i.e., the difference between potential yield and actual farmer yield). To this end, crop yield gap practices in African countries need to be understood to fill this gap while decreasing the environmental impacts of agricultural systems. For instance, the variability of yields has been demonstrated to be strongly controlled by soil fertilizer use, irrigation management, soil attribute, and the climate. Consequently, the quantitative assessment and mapping information of soil attributes such as nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), potassium (K), soil organic carbon (SOC), moisture content (MC), and soil texture (i.e., clay, sand and silt contents) on the ground are essential to potentially reducing the yield gap. However, to assess, measure, and monitor these soil yield-related parameters in the field, there is a need for rapid, accurate, and inexpensive methods. Recent advances in remote sensing technologies and high computational performances offer a unique opportunity to implement cost-effective spatiotemporal methods for estimating crop yield with important levels of scalability. However, researchers and scientists in Africa are not taking advantage of the opportunity of increasingly available geospatial remote sensing technologies and data for yield studies. The objectives of this report are to (i) conduct a review of scientific literature on the current status of African yield gap analysis research and their variation in regard to soil properties management by using remote sensing techniques; (ii) review and describe optimal yield practices in Africa; and (iii) identify gaps and limitations to higher yields in African smallholder farms and propose possible improvements. Our literature reviewed 80 publications and covered a period of 22 years (1998-2020) over many selected African countries with a potential yield improvement. Our results found that (i) the number of agriculture yield-focused remote sensing studies has gradually increased, with the largest proportion of studies published during the last 15 years; (ii) most studies were conducted exclusively using multispectral Landsat and Sentinel sensors; and (iii) over the past decade, hyperspectral imagery has contributed to a better understanding of yield gap analysis compared to multispectral imagery; (iv) soil nutrients (i.e., NPK) are not the main factor influencing the studied crop productivity in Africa, whereas clay, SOC, and soil pH were the most examined soil properties in prior papers.

Total nitrogen (TN) is a critical nutrient for plant growth, and its monitoring in agricultural soil is vital for farm managers. Traditional methods of estimating soil TN levels involve laborious and costly chemical analyses, especially when applied to large areas with multiple sampling points. Remote sensing offers a promising alternative for identifying, tracking, and mapping soil TN levels at various scales, including the field, landscape, and regional levels. Spaceborne hyperspectral sensing has shown effectiveness in reflecting soil TN levels. This study evaluates the efficiency of spectral reflectance at visible near-infrared (VNIR) and shortwave near-infrared (SWIR) regions to identify the most informative hyperspectral bands responding to the TN content in agricultural soil. In this context, we used PRISMA (PRecursore IperSpettrale della Missione Applicativa) hyperspectral imagery with ensemble learning modeling to identify N-specific absorption features. This ensemble consisted of three multivariate regression techniques, partial least square (PLSR), support vector regression (SVR), and Gaussian process regression (GPR) learners. The soil TN data (n = 803) were analyzed against a hyperspectral PRISMA imagery to perform spectral band selection. The 803 sampled data points were derived from open-access soil property and nutrient maps for Africa at a 30 m resolution over a bare agricultural field in southern Morocco. The ensemble learning strategy identified several bands in the SWIR in the regions of 900–1300 nm and 1900–2200 nm. The models achieved coefficient-of-determination values ranging from 0.63 to 0.73 and root-mean-square error values of 0.14 g/kg for PLSR, 0.11 g/kg for SVR, and 0.12 g/kg for GPR, which had been boosted to an R² of 0.84, an RMSE of 0.08 g/kg, and an RPD of 2.53 by the ensemble, demonstrating the model’s accuracy in predicting the soil TN content. These results underscore the potential for using spaceborne hyperspectral imagery for soil TN estimation, enabling the development of decision-support tools for variable-rate fertilization and advancing our understanding of soil spectral responses for improved soil management.

Machine learning (ML) models trained with remote sensing data have the potential to improve cereal yield estimation across various geographic scales. However, the complexity and heterogeneity of agricultural landscapes present significant challenges to the robustness of ML-based field-level yield estimation over large areas. In our study, we propose decomposing the landscape complexity into homogeneous zones using existing landform, agroecological, and climate classification datasets, and subsequently applying stratum-based ML to estimate cereal yield. This approach was tested in a heterogeneous region in northern Morocco, where wheat is the dominant crop. We compared the results of the stratum-based ML with those applied to the entire study area. Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 satellite imagery were used as input variables to train three ML models: Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Multiple Linear Regression. The results showed that the XGBoost model outperformed the other assessed models. Furthermore, the stratum-based ML approach significantly improved the yield estimation accuracy, particularly when using landform classifications as homogeneous strata. For example, the accuracy of XGBoost model improved from R² = 0.58 and RMSE = 840 kg ha⁻¹ when the ML models were trained on data from the entire study area to R² = 0.72 and RMSE = 809 kg ha⁻¹ when trained in the plain area. These findings highlight that developing stratum-based ML models using landform classification as strata leads to more accurate predictions by allowing the models to better capture local environmental conditions and agricultural practices that affect crop growth.

Integration of Machine Learning (ML) with remote sensing data has been successfully used to create detailed agricultural yield maps at both local and global scales. Despite this advancement, a critical issue often overlooked is the presence of spatial autocorrelation in geospatial data used for training and validating ML models. Usually random cross-validation (CV) methods are employed that fail to account for this aspect. This study aimed to assess wheat yield estimations using both random and spatial CV. In contrast to random CV where the data is split randomly, spatial CV involves splitting the data based on spatial locations, to ensure that spatially close data points are grouped together, either entirely in the training or in the test set, but not both. Conducted in Northern Morocco during the 2020-2021 agricultural season, our research uses Sentinel 1 and Sentinel 2 satellite images as input variables as well as 1329 field data locations to estimate wheat yield. Three ML models were employed: Random Forest, XGBoost, and Multiple Linear Regression. Spatial CV was employed across varying spatial scales. The province represents predefined administrative division, while grid2 and grid1 are equally sized spatial blocks, with a spatial resolution of 20x20km and 10x10 km respectively. Our findings show that when estimating yield with Random CV, all models achieve higher accuracies (R² = 0.58 and RMSE = 840 kg ha-1 for the XGBoost model) as compared to the performance reported when using spatial CV. The10x10 km spatial CV led to the highest R² value equal to 0.23 and an RMSE value equal to 1140 kg ha-1 for the XGBoost model, followed by the 20x20 km grid-based strategy (R² = 0.11 and RMSE = 1227 kg ha-1 for the XGBoost model). Province-based spatial CV resulted in the lowest accuracy with an R² value equal to 0.032 and an RMSE value of 1282 kg ha-1. These results confirm that spatial CV is essential in preventing overoptimistic model performance. The study further highlights the importance of selecting an appropriate CV method to ensure realistic and reliable results in wheat yield predictions as increased accuracy can deviate from real-world conditions due to the effects of spatial autocorrelation.