Advances in synthetic aperture radar (SAR) interferometry have enabled the seamless monitoring of the Earth’s crust deformation. The dense archive of the Sentinel-1 Copernicus mission provides unprecedented spatial and temporal coverage; however, time-series analysis of such big data volumes requires high computational efficiency. We present a parallelized-PSI (P-PSI), a novel, parallelized, and end-to-end processing chain for the fully automated assessment of line-of-sight ground velocities through persistent scatterer interferometry (PSI), tailored to scale to the vast multitemporal archive of Sentinel-1 data. P-PSI is designed to transparently access different and complementary Sentinel-1 repositories, and download the appropriate datasets for PSI. To make it efficient for large-scale applications, we re-engineered and parallelized interferogram creation and multitemporal interferometric processing, and introduced distributed implementations to best use computing cores and provide resourceful storage management. We propose a new algorithm to further enhance the processing efficiency, which establishes a non-uniform patch grid considering land use, based on the expected number of persistent scatterers. P-PSI achieves an overall speed-up by a factor of five for a full Sentinel-1 frame for processing in a 20-core server. The processing chain is tested on a large-scale project to calculate and monitor deformation patterns over the entire extent of the Greek territory—our own Interferometric SAR (InSAR) Greece project. Time-series InSAR analysis was performed on volumes of about 12 TB input data corresponding to more than 760 Single Look Complex Sentinel-1A and B images mostly covering mainland Greece in the period of 2015–2019. InSAR Greece provides detailed ground motion information on more than 12 million distinct locations, providing completely new insights into the impact of geophysical and anthropogenic activities at this geographic scale. This new information is critical to enhancing our understanding of the underlying mechanisms, providing valuable input into risk assessment models. We showcase this through the identification of various characteristic geohazard locations in Greece and discuss their criticality. The selected geohazard locations, among a thousand, cover a wide range of catastrophic events including landslides, land subsidence, and structural failures of various scales, ranging from a few hundredths of square meters up to the basin scale. The study enriches the large catalog of geophysical related phenomena maintained by the GeObservatory portal of the Center of Earth Observation Research and Satellite Remote Sensing BEYOND of the National Observatory of Athens for the opening of new knowledge to the wider scientific community.

Next day wildfire prediction is an open research problem with significant environmental, social, and economic impact since it can produce methods and tools directly exploitable by fire services, assisting, thus, in the prevention of fire occurrences or the mitigation of their effects. It consists in accurately predicting which areas of a territory are at higher risk of fire occurrence each next day, exploiting solely information obtained up until the previous day. The task’s requirements in spatial granularity and scale of predictions, as well as the extreme imbalance of the data distribution render it a rather demanding and difficult to accurately solve the problem. This is reflected in the current literature, where most existing works handle a simplified or limited version of the problem. Taking into account the above problem specificities, in this paper, we present a machine learning methodology that effectively (sensitivity > 90%, specificity > 65%) and efficiently performs next day fire prediction, in rather high spatial granularity and in the scale of a country. The key points of the proposed approach are summarized in: (a) the utilization of an extended set of fire driving factors (features), including topography-related, meteorology-related and Earth Observation (EO)-related features, as well as historical information of areas’ proneness to fire occurrence; (b) the deployment of a set of state-of-the-art classification algorithms that are properly tuned/optimized on the setting; (c) two alternative cross-validation schemes along with custom validation measures that allow the optimal and sound training of classification models, as well as the selection of different models, in relation to the desired trade-off between sensitivity (ratio of correctly identified fire areas) and specificity (ratio of correctly identified non-fire areas). In parallel, we discuss pitfalls, intuitions, best practices, and directions for further investigation derived from our analysis and experimental evaluation.

Landslides are one of the most severe geohazards globally, causing extreme financial and social losses. While InSAR time-series analyses provide valuable insights into landslide detection, mapping, and monitoring, AI is also implemented in a variety of geohazards, including landslides. In the present study, a machine learning (ML) landslide susceptibility map is proposed that integrates the geotectonic units of Greece and incorporates various sources of landslide data. Satellite data from Persistent Scatterer Interferometry analysis, validated by geotechnical experts, resulted in an extremely large dataset of more than 3000 landslides in an area of interest, including the most landslide-prone area in Greece. The gradient-boosted decision tree was employed in the landslide susceptibility mapping. The model was trained on three geotectonic units and five prefectures of Western Greece and performed well in predicting landslide events. Finally, a SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis verified that precipitation and geology, which are the main landslide-triggering and preparatory factors, respectively, in Greece, positively affected landslide characterization. The innovation of the proposed research lies in the uniqueness of this newly created dataset, comprising a remarkably large number of landslide and non-landslide locations in Western Greece. By adopting a strict machine learning methodology, the spatial autocorrelation effect, which is overlooked in similar studies, was reduced. Also, leveraging the unique features of the geological formations, the model was trained to incorporate differences in the landslide susceptibility of formations located in different geotectonic units with variant geotechnical characteristics. The proposed approach facilitates the generalization of the model and sets a strong base for the creation of a national-scale landslide susceptibility mapping and forecasting system.

The island of Cyprus is characterised by a complex geological environment as it overlies a boundary zone of three tectonic plates, leading to high seismicity and intensive tectonism. It consists highly of Neogene marls, exhibiting serious geotechnical problems due to their high content of clay minerals. Along with strong, destructive earthquakes, various geohazards have been identified in Cyprus, including landslides, swelling/shrinking phenomena and land subsidence etc. Pedoulas is a village in Cyprus experiencing ground deformation due to landslide phenomena. Conversely, Pyrgos and Parekklisia villages in Limassol, Cyprus are experiencing a long-term swelling/shrinking phenomenon. To further investigate this surface deformation, a time-series InSAR analysis of Sentinel-1 SLC images of ascending satellite passes was performed, with a parallelised version of PSI (Persistent Scatterers Interferometry), along with field investigation, for the time period of 2016 to 2021. Negative vertical displacements with maximum rates of −10 mm/y, were identified in Pedoulas village, while positive vertical displacements with a maximum rate of 10 mm/y, dominated in Pyrgos and Parekklisia villages. The analysis of precipitation data from 2017 to 2021, presented a correlation between annual fluctuations in precipitation in the affected areas and changes in the InSAR time-series deformation trends. In Pedoulas village, landslide movements sped up during spring and summer, when the infiltration of waste water in the ground intensified due to the increase in the tourist population. In Pyrgos-Parekklisia villages, higher positive deformation rates were identified in winter months, while during summer, when the formations dried out, uplifting phenomena stopped evolving. The integration of InSAR displacements with field investigation provided validation of the observed ground failures and added valuable insights into the driving mechanisms of the deformation phenomena. Finally, the assessment of the impact of the triggering factor in the evolution of the deformation phenomena, can serve as a valuable tool for risk mitigation.

Wildfire detection remains a critical challenge for authorities, with human activity being the leading cause. The historical conditions prevailing in burned forest areas require a comprehensive analysis at both the environmental and anthropogenic levels. This study presents a multidimensional dataset comprising data from 2008 to 2024 and integrating Earth observation data and anthropogenic, environmental, meteorological, topographic, and fire-related features. This study evaluates, through time series analysis, the impact of climate trends such as increased temperature in comparison with anthropogenic activities such as deliberate fires. Time series analysis reveals that although climatic conditions with increased temperature and reduced precipitation in Cyprus intensify the risk of fire, the presence of fire events is primarily due to deliberate actions. The findings of this study support national-scale fire modeling, offering a foundation for targeted prevention, early warning systems, and sustainable forest fire management strategies.