Indonesia has an increasing electricity demand that is mostly met with fossil fuels. Although Indonesia plans to ramp up Renewable Energy Technologies (RET), implementation has been slow. This is unfortunate, as the RET potential in Indonesia might be higher than currently assumed given the archipelago’s size. However, there is no literature overview of RET potentials in Indonesia and to what extent they can meet current and future electricity demand coverage. This paper reviews contemporary literature on the potential of nine RET in Indonesia and analyses their impact in terms of area and demand coverage. The study concludes that Indonesia hosts massive amounts of renewable energy resources on both land and sea. The potentials in the academic and industrial literature tend to be considerably larger than the ones from the Indonesian Energy Ministry on which current energy policies are based. Moreover, these potentials could enable a 100% renewables electricity system and meet future demand with limited impact on land availability. Nonetheless, the review showed that the research topic is still under-researched with three detected knowledge gaps, namely the lack of (i) economic RET potentials, (ii) research on the integrated spatial potential mapping of several RET and (iii) empirical data on natural resources. Lastly, this study provides research and policy recommendations to promote RET in Indonesia.
The current focus of offshore wind industry and academia lies on regions with strong winds, neglecting areas with mild resources. Photovoltaics' cost reductions have shown that even mild resources can be harnessed economically, especially where electricity prices are high. Here, we study the technical and economic potential of offshore wind power in Indonesia as an example of mild-resource areas, using bias-corrected ERA5 data, turbine-specific power curves, and a detailed cost model. We show that low-wind-speed turbines could produce up to 6,816 TWh/year, which is 25 times Indonesia’s electricity generation in 2018 and 3 times the projected 2050 generation, and up to 166 PWh/year globally. Although not yet competitive against current offshore turbines, low-wind turbines could become a crucial piece of the global climate mitigation effort in regions with vast marine areas and high electricity prices. As low-wind-speed turbines are not yet on the market, we recommend prioritizing their development.
20 October 2023 in Journal of Ocean Engineering and Marine Energy
Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) is an emerging renewable energy technology using the ocean’s heat to produce electricity. Given its early development stage, OTEC’s economics are still uncertain and there is no global assessment of its economic potential, yet. Here, we present the model pyOTEC that designs OTEC plants for best economic performance considering the spatiotemporally specific availability and seasonality of ocean thermal energy resources. We apply pyOTEC to more than 100 regions with technically feasible sites to obtain an order-of-magnitude estimation of OTEC’s global technical and economic potential. We find that OTEC’s global technical potential of 107 PWh/year could cover 11 PWh of 2019 electricity demand. At ≥ 120 MWgross, there are OTEC plants with Levelised Cost of Electricity (LCOE) below 15 US¢(2021)/kWh in 15 regions, including China, Brazil, and Indonesia. In the short-to-medium term, however, small island developing states are OTEC’s most relevant niche. Systems below 10 MWgross could fully and cost-effectively substitute Diesel generators on islands where that is more challenging with other renewables. With the global analysis, we also corroborate that most OTEC plants return the best economic performance if designed for worst-case surface and deep-sea water temperatures, which we further back up with a sensitivity analysis. We lay out pyOTEC’s limitations and fields for development to expand and refine our findings. The model as well as key data per region are publically accessible online.