Climate change is closely linked to changes in soil organic carbon (SOC) content, which affects the terrestrial carbon cycle. Consequently, it is essential for carbon accounting and sustainable soil management to predict SOC content accurately. Although there has been an extensive utilization of optical remote sensing data and environmental factors to predict SOC content, few studies have explored their applicability in karst areas. Therefore, it remains unclear how SOC content can be accurately simulated in these areas. In this study, 160 soil samples, 8 environmental covariates and 14 optical remote sensing variables were used to build SOC content prediction models. Three machine learning models, i.e., support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), were applied for each of three land use classes, including the entire study area, as well as farmland and forest areas. The variables with the greatest influence were the optical remote sensing bands, derived indices, as well as precipitation and temperature for forest areas, and optical remote sensing band11 and Pop-density for farmland. The results from this study suggest that RF and XGBoost are superior to SVM in prediction accuracy. Additionally, the simulation accuracy of the RF model for the forest areas (R² = 0.32, RMSE = 6.81, MAE = 5.63) and of the XGBoost model for farmland areas (R² = 0.28, RMSE = 4.03, MAE = 3.27) was the greatest. The prediction model based on different land use types could obtain a higher simulation accuracy than that based on the whole study area. These findings provide new insights for the estimation of SOC content with high precision in karst areas.

The accuracy of drought monitoring models is crucial for drought monitoring and early warning. Random forest (RF) is being used widely in the field of artificial intelligence. Nonetheless, the application of a random forest model in grassland drought monitoring research is yet to be further explored. In this study, various drought hazard factors were integrated based on remote sensing data, including from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM), as multisource remote sensing data. Based on the RF, a comprehensive grassland drought monitoring model was constructed and tested in Inner Mongolia, China, as an example. The critical issue addressed is the construction of a grassland drought disaster monitoring model based on meteorological data and multisource remote sensing data by using an RF model, and the verification of the accuracy and reliability of its monitoring results. The results show that the grassland drought monitoring model could quantitatively monitor the drought situation in Inner Mongolia grasslands. There was a significantly positive correlation between the drought indicators output by the model and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) measured in the field. The correlation coefficients (R) between the drought degree were 0.9706 and 0.6387 for the training set and test set, respectively. The consistent rate between the model drought index and the SPEI reached 87.90%. Drought events in Inner Mongolia were monitored from April to September in wet years, normal years, and dry years using the constructed model. The monitoring results of the model constructed in this study were in accordance with the actual drought conditions, reflecting the development and spatial evolution of drought conditions. This study provides a new application method for the comprehensive assessment of grassland drought.

Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Land Surface Temperature (LST) products are essential data sources for global and regional climate change research. Currently, several versions of the MODIS LST product have been released, yet the performance differences and uncertainties they introduce in land surface studies remain insufficiently addressed. To bridge this gap, this study focuses on four distinct versions of the LST product: MxD11A1 Collection 5 (C5), Collection 6 (C6), Collection 6.1 (C6.1), and MxD21A1 Collection 6.1 (MxD21). The spatial resolution of all product generations is 1 km, and the temporal resolution is 0.5 days. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the errors arising from different generations of these products in various land surface process studies. The error assessment includes cross-comparisons between product versions and evaluations of the absolute errors generated. Absolute errors in evaluation data were collected from 13 surface sites within the Heihe Watershed Allied Telemetry Experimental Research (HiWATER) project during the period 2013–2018. Cross-validation results show that the largest difference between C5 and C6.1 occurs over bare land, with an RMSE of approximately 1.45 K, while there is no significant change between C6 and C6.1. MOD21 shows considerable variation compared to C6.1 at night across different land cover types, with RMSE over cropland exceeding 2 K. The temperature difference between MOD21 and C6.1 is more pronounced at night (2.01 K) than during the day (0.30 K). Validation results based on temperature indicate that C5 has greater uncertainty compared to C6, especially over bare land, where errors are 2.06 K and 1.06 K, respectively. Furthermore, MxD21 demonstrates significant day–night performance discrepancies, with an average bias of 0.10 K at night, while daytime errors over bare land can reach 2 K, potentially influenced by atmospheric conditions. Based on the research in this paper, it is possible to clarify the performance of different versions of MODIS products, reflecting the appropriateness of their past applications; on the other hand, it is recommended to prioritize the use of the MxD11A1 C6 and C6.1 products for monitoring and applications in bare soil areas to ensure higher accuracy. Furthermore, for day and night monitoring, it may be beneficial to alternate between the MxD11A1 and MxD21A1 products to fully leverage their respective advantages and enhance overall monitoring effectiveness.