Jay Lund

Prof. Jay Lund

Center for Watershed Sciences, Environmental Engineering, University of California - Davis, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616, USA

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

33Years (1994-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 October 2018 in Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
JLJay Lund
Jay Lund
Josue Medellin-AzuaraJosue Medellin-Azuara
Josue Medellin-Azuara
JDJohn R. Durand
John R. Durand
KSKathleen Stone
Kathleen Stone
California’s 5-year drought has ended, even as its aftermath lingers. From 2012–2016 much or all of California was under severe drought conditions, with greatly diminished precipitation, snowpack, and streamflow and higher temperatures. Water shortages to forests, aquatic ecosystems, hydroelectric power plants, rural drinking water supplies, agriculture, and cities caused billions of dollars in economic losses, killed millions of forest trees, brought several fish species closer to extinction, and caused inconvenience and some expense to millions of households and businesses. The drought also brought innovations and improvements in water management, some of which will better prepare California for future droughts. This paper summarizes the magnitude and impacts of the 2012–2016 California drought. The paper then reviews innovations arising from the drought in the larger historical context of water management in California. Lessons for California and for modern drought management are then discussed. Droughts in modern, well-managed water systems serving globalized economies need not be economically catastrophic, but will always have impacts and challenges, particularly for native ecosystems. In California and every other water system, droughts usefully expose weaknesses and inadequate preparation in water management. In this regard for California, managers of ecosystems and small rural water supplies had the most to learn.

10 June 2006 in Climatic Change
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
STStacy K. Tanaka
Stacy K. Tanaka
TZTingju Zhu
Tingju Zhu
JLJay Lund
Jay Lund
RHRichard E. Howitt
Richard E. Howitt
MJMarion W. Jenkins
Marion W. Jenkins
IFInês C. Ferreira
Inês C. Ferreira

1 May 1999 in Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
JLJay Lund
Jay Lund
JGJoel Guzman
Joel Guzman
This paper reviews a variety of derived single-purpose operating policies for reservoirs in series and in parallel for water supply, flood control, hydropower, water quality, and recreation. Such rules are useful for real-time operations, conducting reservoir simulation studies for real-time, seasonal, and long-term operations, and for understanding the workings of multireservoir systems. For reservoirs in series, several additional new policies are derived for special cases of optimal short-term operation for hydropower production and energy storage. For reservoirs in parallel, additional new special-case rules are derived for water quality, water supply, and hydropower production. New operating policies also are derived for reservoir recreation.

1 May 2000 in Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
JNJason T. Needham
Jason T. Needham
DWDavid W. Watkins
David W. Watkins
JLJay Lund
Jay Lund
SNS. K. Nanda
S. K. Nanda
This study addresses questions related to flood-control operating procedures followed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Rock Island District. Application is presented of a mixed integer linear programming model for a reservoir system analysis of three U.S. Army Corps of Engineers' projects on the Iowa and Des Moines rivers. A strategy for evaluating the value of coordinated reservoir operations is developed. Results of this study suggest that operating Coralville Reservoir, on the Iowa River, for flood control on the Mississippi River does not provide appreciable benefits and, therefore, an operation plan coordinating releases from Coralville Reservoir with the two reservoirs on the Des Moines River may be unnecessary. Damage-minimizing results were obtained by operating the three reservoirs independently for 8 of the 10 largest flood events on record. Also, a review of the operating procedures for the flood of 1993 illustrates how much damage could have been reduced if inflows could be predicted month...

5 October 2011 in Climatic Change
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
EHEllen Hanak
Ellen Hanak
JLJay Lund
Jay Lund

5 November 2009 in Climatic Change
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
KMKaveh Madani
Kaveh Madani
JLJay Lund
Jay Lund
California’s hydropower system is composed of high and low elevation power plants. There are more than 150 high-elevation power plants, at elevations above 1,000 feet (300 m). Most have modest reservoir storage capacities, but supply roughly 74% of California’s in-state hydropower. The expected shift of runoff peak from spring to winter due to climate warming, resulting in snowpack reduction and increased snowmelt, might have important effects on power generation and revenues in California. The large storage capacities at low-elevation power plants provide flexibility to operations of these units under climate warming. However, with climate warming, the adaptability of the high-elevation hydropower system is in question as this system was designed to take advantage of snowpack, a natural reservoir. With so many high-elevation hydropower plants in California, estimation of climate warming effects by conventional simulation or optimization methods would be tedious and expensive. An Energy-Based Hydropower Optimization Model (EBHOM) was developed to facilitate practical climate change and other low-resolution system-wide hydropower studies, based on the historical generation data of 137 high-elevation hydropower plants for which the data were complete for 14 years. Employing recent historical hourly energy prices, the model was used to explore energy generation in California for three climate warming scenarios (dry warming, wet warming, and warming-only) over 14 years, representing a range of hydrologic conditions. The system is sensitive to the quantity and timing of inflows. While dry warming and warming-only climate changes reduce average hydropower revenues, wet warming could increase revenue. Re-operation of available storage and generation capacities help compensate for snowpack losses to some extent. Storage capacity expansion and to a lesser extent generation capacity expansion both increase revenues, although such expansions might not be cost-effective.