Rok Cerne

Mr. Rok Cerne

Mr.
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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17 November 2023 in Animals
Verified
Journal Article
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FMFrancesca Marucco
Francesca Marucco
IRIlka Reinhardt
Ilka Reinhardt
EAElisa Avanzinelli
Elisa Avanzinelli
FZFridolin Zimmermann
Fridolin Zimmermann
RMRalph Manz
Ralph Manz
CDChristophe Duchamp
Christophe Duchamp
Wolves have large spatial requirements and their expansion in Europe is occurring over national boundaries, hence the need to develop monitoring programs at the population level. Wolves in the Alps are defined as a functional population and management unit. The range of this wolf Alpine population now covers seven countries: Italy, France, Austria, Switzerland, Slovenia, Liechtenstein and Germany, making the development of a joint and coordinated monitoring program particularly challenging. In the framework of the Wolf Alpine Group (WAG), researchers developed uniform criteria for the assessment and interpretation of field data collected in the frame of different national monitoring programs. This standardization allowed for data comparability across borders and the joint evaluation of distribution and consistency at the population level. We documented the increase in the number of wolf reproductive units (packs and pairs) over 21 years, from 1 in 1993–1994 up to 243 units in 2020–2021, and examined the pattern of expansion over the Alps. This long-term and large-scale approach is a successful example of transboundary monitoring of a large carnivore population that, despite administrative fragmentation, provides robust indexes of population size and distribution that are of relevance for wolf conservation and management at the transnational Alpine scale.

9 May 2022 in Global Ecology and Biogeography
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Journal Article
Open access
MBMaarten J. E. Broekman
Maarten J. E. Broekman
JHJelle P. Hilbers
Jelle P. Hilbers
MHMark Huijbregts
Mark Huijbregts
TMThomas Mueller
Thomas Mueller
AAAbdullahi H. Ali
Abdullahi H. Ali
MTMarlee A. Tucker
Marlee A. Tucker
Aim: Macroecological studies that require habitat suitability data for many species often derive this information from expert opinion. However, expert‐based information is inherently subjective and thus prone to errors. The increasing availability of GPS tracking data offers opportunities to evaluate and supplement expert‐based information with detailed empirical evidence. Here, we compared expert‐based habitat suitability information from the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) with habitat suitability information derived from GPS‐tracking data of 1,498 individuals from 49 mammal species.Location: Worldwide.Time period: 1998–2021.Major taxa studied: Forty‐nine terrestrial mammal species.Methods: Using GPS data, we estimated two measures of habitat suitability for each individual animal: proportional habitat use (proportion of GPS locations within a habitat type), and selection ratio (habitat use relative to its availability). For each individual we then evaluated whether the GPS‐based habitat suitability measures were in agreement with the IUCN data. To that end, we calculated the probability that the ranking of empirical habitat suitability measures was in agreement with IUCN's classification into suitable, marginal and unsuitable habitat types.Results: IUCN habitat suitability data were in accordance with the GPS data (> 95% probability of agreement) for 33 out of 49 species based on proportional habitat use estimates and for 25 out of 49 species based on selection ratios. In addition, 37 and 34 species had a > 50% probability of agreement based on proportional habitat use and selection ratios, respectively.Main conclusions: We show how GPS‐tracking data can be used to evaluate IUCN habitat suitability data. Our findings indicate that for the majority of species included in this study, it is appropriate to use IUCN habitat suitability data in macroecological studies. Furthermore, we show that GPS‐tracking data can be used to identify and prioritize species and habitat types for re‐evaluation of IUCN habitat suitability data.

14 January 2025 in Conservation Biology
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Journal Article
Open access
JPJ. Premier
J. Premier
MBM. L. Bastianelli
M. L. Bastianelli
JOJulian Oeser
Julian Oeser
OAO. Anders
O. Anders
HAH. Andren
H. Andren
Marco HeurichMarco Heurich
Marco Heurich
Survival and cause‐specific mortality rates are vital for evidence‐based population forecasting and conservation, particularly for large carnivores, whose populations are often vulnerable to human‐caused mortalities. It is therefore important to know the relationship between anthropogenic and natural mortality causes to evaluate whether they are additive or compensatory. Further, the relation between survival and environmental covariates could reveal whether specific landscape characteristics influence demographic performance. We used telemetry data on 681 Eurasian lynx ( Lynx lynx ), a model apex predator with large spatial requirements, that were tracked across their European distribution. Through time‐to‐event analyses, we sought to determine the variables associated with differences in their survival. Illegal killing was the main cause of mortality (33.8%), and mortality rates were similar in protected and hunted populations (8.6% and 7.0% per year, respectively). Survival varied greatly across populations (70–95% per year). Across all study sites, higher hunting and anthropogenic mortality rates were partially compensated by lower rates of other mortality causes but not by natural mortality alone. Variation in survival depended on sex (female survival was 1.5 times greater than male survival) and seasonality (highest risk during hunting season and winter), and lower survival rates were correlated with higher human modification of landscapes at both coarse (home range composition) and fine (habitat use within home range) scales. Some variation in survival was driven by unobserved factors, which, given the high rates of human‐caused mortalities, including illegal killing, are of foremost concern. Due to the low natural mortality rates in protected and hunted populations, we conclude that anthropogenic causes of mortality are likely close to additive, such that maintaining or increasing refuge habitat with little human disturbance is critical to lynx conservation.

1 December 2022 in Journal of Vertebrate Biology
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Journal Article
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ITIra Topličanec
Ira Topličanec
TGTomislav Gomerčić
Tomislav Gomerčić
RCRok Cerne
Rok Cerne
MKMiha Krofel
Miha Krofel
IPIoan-Mihai Pop
Ioan-Mihai Pop
MSMagda Sindičić
Magda Sindičić
Translocations of individuals for re-introductions and population reinforcements have been increasingly used in carnivore conservation. Movement is the first behavioural response of reintroduced animals to “forced dispersal” in a new habitat. Our study investigated space use and movement patterns of six male Eurasian lynx (Lynx lynx) translocated from the Carpathian to the Dinaric Mountains and released at four different sites in Croatia and Slovenia. Data were collected during their early post-release period (i.e. three months after the release) to investigate the first behavioural response following the translocation. Released lynx were monitored with GPS-GSM-VHF telemetry collars set to collect GPS locations in intervals between 4 and 24 h. All animals settled during the study period, on average 23 days (SD = 16.5) after the release. Although outside of the monitoring period that was the focus of this study, two lynx left their first territory 102 and 92 days after their release and went on a second exploratory movement. The main movement direction of the released animals was to the NW-SE, corresponding to the orientation of the predominant ridgelines of the Dinaric Mountain range. Furthermore, by comparing the use and availability of the terrain aspect, we concluded that the lynx chose to move along the mountain range and not perpendicular to the mountain, i.e. they avoided moving uphill and downhill. First kill sites of all animals were detected on average 3.4 days (SD = 1.7) after the release. This study brought valuable theoretical and practical knowledge on the early movement behaviour of translocated lynx that should be considered when planning translocations.

15 April 2020 in bioRxiv
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Preprint
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VGVincenzo Gervasi
Vincenzo Gervasi
JLJohn Linnell
John Linnell
TBTomaž Berce
Tomaž Berce
LBLuigi Boitani
Luigi Boitani
RCRok Cerne
Rok Cerne
OGOlivier Gimenez
Olivier Gimenez
SUMMARY: Sharing space with large carnivores on a human-dominated continent like Europe results in multiple conflictful interactions with human interests, of which depredation on livestock is the most widespread. Wildlife management agencies maintain compensation programs for the damage caused by large carnivores, but the long-term effectiveness of such programs is often contested. Therefore, understanding the mechanisms driving large carnivore impact on human activities is necessary to identify key management actions to reduce it. We conducted an analysis of the impact by all four European large carnivores on sheep husbandry in 10 European countries, during the period 2010-2015. We ran a hierarchical Simultaneous Autoregressive model, to assess the influence of ecological and anthropogenic factors on the spatial and temporal patterns in the reported depredation levels across the continent. On average, about 35,000 sheep were compensated in the ten countries as killed by large carnivores annually, representing about 0.5% of the total sheep stock. Of them, 45% were recognized as killed by wolves, 24% by wolverines, 19% by lynx and 12% by bears. At the continental level, we found a positive relationship between wolf distribution and the number of compensated sheep, but not for the other three species. Impact levels were lower in the areas where large carnivore presence has been continuous compared to areas where they disappeared and recently returned. The model explained 62% of the variation in the number of compensated sheep per year in each administrative unit. Only 13% of the variation was related to the ecological components of the process. Synthesis and Applications: Large carnivore distribution and local abundance alone are poor predictors of large carnivore impact on livestock at the continental level. A few individuals can produce high damage, when the contribution of environmental, social and economic systems predisposes for it, whereas large populations can produce a limited impact when the same components of the system reduce the probability that depredations occur. Time seems to play in favour of a progressive reduction in the costs associated with coexistence, provided that the responsible agencies focus their attention both on compensation and co-adaptation.

27 May 2026 in Biology Letters
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
YLYutong Liang
Yutong Liang
JMJenny Mattisson
Jenny Mattisson
HAHenrik Andren
Henrik Andren
JLJohn D. C. Linnell
John D. C. Linnell
ENErlend B. Nilsen
Erlend B. Nilsen
Marco HeurichMarco Heurich
Marco Heurich
Reproductive lifespan and age-specific reproductive performance are key life-history traits, shaping individual fitness and population dynamics. Here, we examine age-specific variation in reproductive success in a wild large carnivore, the Eurasian lynx (Lynx lynx), using 38 years of longitudinal data from 173 known-age females across Europe and western Asia. Female lynx exhibited age-related reproductive patterns: (i) breeding probability increased with age before declining at older ages, (ii) litter size remained generally stable at two kittens, although it declined to one kitten in older mothers at northern latitudes, and (iii) offspring survival peaked at intermediate female ages, with variation across individuals, years and latitudes. These patterns likely reflect physiological maturation and increased experience (ages 2 to 8), followed by declines due to reproductive and maternal effect senescence in older females. Temporal and latitudinal variations suggest that environmental conditions shape reproductive patterns in Eurasian lynx, with senescence particularly pronounced in resource-scarce environments. Our findings enhance the understanding of age-related reproductive patterns in carnivores across environmental contexts, contributing to life-history theory and improving evidence-based management by accounting for age structure in population forecasting.