Tobia Lakes

Prof. Tobia Lakes

Department of Geography, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, 10099 Berlin, Germany

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

18Years (2009-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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YCYoon Ling Cheong
Yoon Ling Cheong
KBKatrin Burkart
Katrin Burkart
PLPedro J. Leitão
Pedro J. Leitão
Tobia LakesTobia Lakes
Tobia Lakes
The number of dengue cases has been increasing on a global level in recent years, and particularly so in Malaysia, yet little is known about the effects of weather for identifying the short-term risk of dengue for the population. The aim of this paper is to estimate the weather effects on dengue disease accounting for non-linear temporal effects in Selangor, Kuala Lumpur and Putrajaya, Malaysia, from 2008 to 2010. We selected the weather parameters with a Poisson generalized additive model, and then assessed the effects of minimum temperature, bi-weekly accumulated rainfall and wind speed on dengue cases using a distributed non-linear lag model while adjusting for trend, day-of-week and week of the year. We found that the relative risk of dengue cases is positively associated with increased minimum temperature at a cumulative percentage change of 11.92% (95% CI: 4.41–32.19), from 25.4 °C to 26.5 °C, with the highest effect delayed by 51 days. Increasing bi-weekly accumulated rainfall had a positively strong effect on dengue cases at a cumulative percentage change of 21.45% (95% CI: 8.96, 51.37), from 215 mm to 302 mm, with the highest effect delayed by 26–28 days. The wind speed is negatively associated with dengue cases. The estimated lagged effects can be adapted in the dengue early warning system to assist in vector control and prevention plan.

1 July 2014 in Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
YCYoon Ling Cheong
Yoon Ling Cheong
PLPedro J. Leitão
Pedro J. Leitão
Tobia LakesTobia Lakes
Tobia Lakes
The transmission of dengue disease is influenced by complex interactions among vector, host and virus. Land use such as water bodies or certain agricultural practices have been identified as likely risk factors for dengue because of the provision of suitable habitats for the vector. Many studies have focused on the land use factors of dengue vector abundance in small areas but have not yet studied the relationship between land use factors and dengue cases for large regions. This study aims to clarify if land use factors other than human settlements, e.g. different types of agricultural land use, water bodies and forest are associated with reported dengue cases from 2008 to 2010 in the state of Selangor, Malaysia. From the correlative relationship, we aim to generate a prediction risk map. We used Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) to account for nonlinearities and interactions between the factors with high predictive accuracies. Our model with a cross-validated performance score (Area Under the Receiver Operator Characteristic Curve, ROC AUC) of 0.81 showed that the most important land use factors are human settlements (model importance of 39.2%), followed by water bodies (16.1%), mixed horticulture (8.7%), open land (7.5%) and neglected grassland (6.7%). A risk map after 100 model runs with a cross-validated ROC AUC mean of 0.81 (±0.001 s.d.) is presented. Our findings may be an important asset for improving surveillance and control interventions for dengue.

9 March 2012 in BMC Public Health
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Oliver GruebnerOliver Gruebner
Oliver Gruebner
MKM Mobarak H Khan
M Mobarak H Khan
Sven LautenbachSven Lautenbach
Sven Lautenbach
DMDaniel Müller
Daniel Müller
Alexander KraemerAlexander Kraemer
Alexander Kraemer
PHPatrick Hostert
Patrick Hostert
Urban health is of global concern because the majority of the world's population lives in urban areas. Although mental health problems (e.g. depression) in developing countries are highly prevalent, such issues are not yet adequately addressed in the rapidly urbanising megacities of these countries, where a growing number of residents live in slums. Little is known about the spectrum of mental well-being in urban slums and only poor knowledge exists on health promotive socio-physical environments in these areas. Using a geo-epidemiological approach, the present study identified factors that contribute to the mental well-being in the slums of Dhaka, which currently accommodates an estimated population of more than 14 million, including 3.4 million slum dwellers.

17 September 2009 in Landscape Ecology
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Tobia LakesTobia Lakes
Tobia Lakes
DMDaniel Müller
Daniel Müller
CKCarsten Krüger
Carsten Krüger

2 March 2019 in Sustainability
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Evidence Chinedu EnoguanbhorEvidence Chinedu Enoguanbhor
Evidence Chinedu Enoguanbhor
FGFlorian Gollnow
Florian Gollnow
JNJonas Nielsen
Jonas Nielsen
Tobia LakesTobia Lakes
Tobia Lakes
BWBlake Walker
Blake Walker
Rapid urban expansion is a significant contributor to land cover change and poses a challenge to environmental sustainability, particularly in less developed countries. Insufficient data about urban expansion hinders effective land use planning. Therefore, a high need to collect, process, and disseminate land cover data exists. This study focuses on urban land cover change detection using Geographic Information Systems and remote sensing methods to produce baseline information in support for land use planning. We applied a supervised classification of land cover of LANDSAT data from 1987, 2002, and 2017. We mapped land cover transitions from 1987 to 2017 and computed the net land cover change during this time. Finally, we analyzed the mismatches between the past and current urban land cover and land use plans and quantified the non-urban development area lost to urban/built-up. Our results indicated an increase in urban/built-up and bare land cover types, while vegetation land cover decreased. We observed mismatches between past/current land cover and the existing land use plan. By providing detailed insights into mismatches between the regional land use plan and unregulated urban expansion, this study provides important information for a critical debate on the role and effectiveness of land use planning for environmental sustainability and sustainable urban development, particularly in less developed countries.

14 June 2022 in Sensors
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Bakhtiar FeizizadehBakhtiar Feizizadeh
Bakhtiar Feizizadeh
SDSadra Darabi
Sadra Darabi
Thomas BlaschkeThomas Blaschke
Thomas Blaschke
Tobia LakesTobia Lakes
Tobia Lakes
Classification is a very common image processing task. The accuracy of the classified map is typically assessed through a comparison with real-world situations or with available reference data to estimate the reliability of the classification results. Common accuracy assessment approaches are based on an error matrix and provide a measure for the overall accuracy. A frequently used index is the Kappa index. As the Kappa index has increasingly been criticized, various alternative measures have been investigated with minimal success in practice. In this article, we introduce a novel index that overcomes the limitations. Unlike Kappa, it is not sensitive to asymmetric distributions. The quantity and allocation disagreement index (QADI) index computes the degree of disagreement between the classification results and reference maps by counting wrongly labeled pixels as A and quantifying the difference in the pixel count for each class between the classified map and reference data as Q. These values are then used to determine a quantitative QADI index value, which indicates the value of disagreement and difference between a classification result and training data. It can also be used to generate a graph that indicates the degree to which each factor contributes to the disagreement. The efficiency of Kappa and QADI were compared in six use cases. The results indicate that the QADI index generates more reliable classification accuracy assessments than the traditional Kappa can do. We also developed a toolbox in a GIS software environment.