Much of the information stored on the web contains geographical context, but current search engines treat such context in the same way as all other content. In this paper we describe the design, implementation and evaluation of a spatially aware search engine which is capable of handling queries in the form of the triplet of ⟨theme⟩⟨spatial relationship⟩⟨location⟩. The process of identifying geographic references in documents and assigning appropriate footprints to documents, to be stored together with document terms in an appropriate indexing structure allowing real‐time search, is described. Methods allowing users to query and explore results which have been relevance‐ranked in terms of both thematic and spatial relevance have been implanted and a usability study indicates that users are happy with the range of spatial relationships available and intuitively understand how to use such a search engine. Normalised precision for 38 queries, containing four types of spatial relationships, is significantly higher (p<0.001) for searches exploiting spatial information than pure text search.
One of the most common and valuable applications of science to the environment is to forecast the future, as it affects human lives in many aspects. However, it is not yet clear which methods -conventional time series or regression- deliver the highest performance in univariate time series forecasting. This study attempts to answer that question with a large-scale comparative evaluation that includes 68 environmental variables over three frequencies (hourly, daily, monthly), forecasted in one to twelve steps into the future, and evaluated over six statistical time series and fourteen regression methods. Results suggest that the strongest representatives of the time series methods (ARIMA, Theta) exhibit high accuracies, but certain regression methods (Huber, Extra Trees, Random Forest, Light Gradient Boosting Machines, Gradient Boosting Machines, Ridge, Bayesian Ridge) deliver even more promising results for all forecasting horizons. Finally, depending on the specific use case, the suitable method should be employed, as certain methods are more appropriate for different frequencies and some have an advantageous trade-off between computational time and performance.
1 July 2006 in Computers, Environment and Urban Systems
Ranked retrieval has a particular disadvantage in comparison with traditional Boolean retrieval: there is no clear cut-off point where to stop consulting results. This is a serious problem in some setups. We investigate and further develop methods to select the rank cut-off value which optimizes a given effectiveness measure. Assuming no other input than a system's output for a query--document scores and their distribution--the task is essentially a score-distributional threshold optimization problem. The recent trend in modeling score distributions is to use a normal-exponential mixture: normal for relevant, and exponential for non-relevant document scores. We discuss the two main theoretical problems with the current model, support incompatibility and non-convexity, and develop new models that address them. The main contributions of the paper are two truncated normal-exponential models, varying in the way the out-truncated score ranges are handled. We conduct a range of experiments using the TREC 2007 and 2008 Legal Track data, and show that the truncated models lead to significantly better results.
1 January 2013 in Information Processing & Management