In this study, we applied small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) to monitor the ground surface deformation from 2017 to 2020 in the permafrost region within an ~400 km × 230 km area covering the northern and southern slopes of Mt. Geladandong, Tanggula Mountains on the Tibetan Plateau. During SBAS-InSAR processing, we inverted the network of interferograms into a deformation time series using a weighted least square estimator without a preset deformation model. The deformation curves of various permafrost states in the Tanggula Mountain region were revealed in detail for the first time. The study region undergoes significant subsidence. Over the subsiding terrain, the average subsidence rate was 9.1 mm/a; 68.1% of its area had a subsidence rate between 5 and 20 mm/a, while just 0.7% of its area had a subsidence rate larger than 30 mm/a. The average peak-to-peak seasonal deformation was 19.7 mm. There is a weak positive relationship (~0.3) between seasonal amplitude (water storage in the active layer) and long-term deformation velocity (ground ice melting). By examining the deformation time series of subsiding terrain with different subsidence levels, we also found that thaw subsidence was not restricted to the summer and autumn thawing times but could last until the following winter, and in this circumstance, the winter uplift was greatly weakened. Two import indices for indicating permafrost deformation properties, i.e., long-term deformation trend and seasonal deformation magnitude, were extracted by direct calculation and model approximations of deformation time series and compared with each other. The comparisons showed that the long-term velocity by different calculations was highly consistent, but the intra-annual deformation magnitudes by the model approximations were larger than those of the intra-annual highest-lowest elevation difference. The findings improve the understanding of deformation properties in the degrading permafrost environment.

The permafrost degradation can cause long‐term ground surface subsidence, and the surface undergoes frost heave and thaw settlement due to the ice‐water phase change in the active layer. The multi‐year surveys by leveling observations and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar monitoring (InSAR) are helpful to understand the characteristics of seasonal deformation and to model the permafrost terrain surface deformation. In this paper, we studied the characteristics of seasonal deformation over permafrost terrain in Xidatan, obtained by leveling measurements from 2010 to 2018, Sentinel‐1 data from 2014 to 2020, and hydrothermal‐data‐based simulation. The results consistently showed a four‐stage pattern of seasonal deformation characteristics: Summer thaw subsiding, warm‐season stable‐standing, winter freeze heaving and stable‐standing. The leveling measurements proved that spatial heterogeneity also exists on a small spatial scale (400 m²). The deformation amplitude obtained by leveling data is the largest, and the InSAR data is the smallest.

The freeze–thaw (F-T) cycle of the active layer (AL) causes the “frost heave and thaw settlement” deformation of the terrain surface. Accurately identifying its amplitude and time characteristics is important for climate, hydrology, and ecology research in permafrost regions. We used Sentinel-1 SAR data and small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology to obtain the characteristics of F-T cycles in the Zonag Lake-Yanhu Lake permafrost-affected endorheic basin on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2017 to 2019. The results show that the seasonal deformation amplitude (SDA) in the study area mainly ranges from 0 to 60 mm, with an average value of 19 mm. The date of maximum frost heave (MFH) occurred between November 27th and March 21st of the following year, averaged in date of the year (DOY) 37. The maximum thaw settlement (MTS) occurred between July 25th and September 21st, averaged in DOY 225. The thawing duration is the thawing process lasting about 193 days. The spatial distribution differences in SDA, the date of MFH, and the date of MTS are relatively significant, but there is no apparent spatial difference in thawing duration. Although the SDA in the study area is mainly affected by the thermal state of permafrost, it still has the most apparent relationship with vegetation cover, the soil water content in AL, and active layer thickness. SDA has an apparent negative and positive correlation with the date of MFH and the date of MTS. In addition, due to the influence of soil texture and seasonal rivers, the seasonal deformation characteristics of the alluvial-diluvial area are different from those of the surrounding areas. This study provides a method for analyzing the F-T cycle of the AL using multi-temporal InSAR technology.

We develop a moving-mesh permafrost model that contains a ground subsidence computation module to estimate the effects of ground subsidence on permafrost simulation under different warming scenarios. Including the ground subsidence process in the permafrost simulation produces only a relatively small improvement in the simulation performance of the ground temperature field, as validated by observations from two sites on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP). It is shown that ignoring ground subsidence tends to achieve a larger active layer thickness (ALT) but a smaller original thickness of permafrost that has thawed when simulating permafrost changes in a warming climate. The heat consumed by permafrost changes will be underestimated in simulations that do not consider ground subsidence. The effects that ground subsidence exerts within the permafrost simulation are clearly demonstrated under a strong warming scenario, which will influence the global energy budget. Projections indicate that the permafrost in the continuous permafrost area of the QTP may be close to the phase transition temperature to become zero thermal gradients in 2030–2040 under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, and there will be a great risk of ground subsidence by that stage. For permafrost regions with rich ground ice, the downward propagating temperature signals caused by ground subsidence are more attenuated. However, the heat calculation error will be larger in a simulation that does not consider ground subsidence there. This study quantifies the effects of ground subsidence, which can provide a better understanding of the permafrost thaw and energy budget of the QTP.

The source region of the Yellow River (SRYR) is situated on the permafrost boundary in the northeast of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), which is an area highly sensitive to climate change. As a result of increasing global temperatures, the permafrost in this region has undergone significant degradation. In this study, we utilized Sentinel-1 to obtain ground surface deformation data in the SRYR from June 2017 to January 2022. We then analyzed the differences in terrain deformation under various environmental conditions. Our findings indicated an overall subsidence trend in the SRYR, with a long-term deformation velocity of −4.2 mm/a and seasonal deformation of 8.85 mm. Furthermore, the results showed that terrain deformation varied considerably from region to region, and that the Huanghe’ yan sub-basin with the highest permafrost coverage among all sub-basins significantly higher subsidence rates than other regions. Topography strongly influenced ground surface deformation, with flat slopes exhibiting much higher subsidence rates and seasonal deformation. Moreover, the ground temperature and ground ice richness played a certain role in the deformation pattern. This study also analyzed regional deformation details from eight boreholes and one profile line covering different surface conditions, revealing the potential for refining the permafrost boundary. Overall, the results of this study provide valuable insights into the evolution of permafrost in the SRYR region.