Summary: Background:  Prognosis in cirrhotic patients has had a resurgence of interest because of liver transplantation and new therapies for complications of end‐stage cirrhosis. The model for end‐stage liver disease score is now used for allocation in liver transplantation waiting lists, replacing Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh score. However, there is debate as whether it is better in other settings of cirrhosis.Aim:  To review studies comparing the accuracy of model for end‐stage liver disease score vs. Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh score in non‐transplant settings.Results:  Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt studies (with 1360 cirrhotics) only one of five, showed model for end‐stage liver disease to be superior to Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh to predict 3‐month mortality, but not for 12‐month mortality. Prognosis of cirrhosis studies (with 2569 patients) none of four showed significant differences between the two scores for either short‐ or long‐term prognosis whereas no differences for variceal bleeding studies (with 411 cirrhotics). Modified Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh score, by adding creatinine, performed similarly to model for end‐stage liver disease score. Hepatic encephalopathy and hyponatraemia (as an index of ascites), both components of Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh score, add to the prognostic performance of model for end‐stage liver disease score.Conclusions:  Based on current literature, model for end‐stage liver disease score does not perform better than Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh score in non‐transplant settings. Modified Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh and model for end‐stage liver disease scores need further evaluation.

Calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) have been associated in a dose-dependent fashion with an increased risk of post-transplant hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence. The mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors (mTORi) (sirolimus/everolimus) might represent an alternative immunosuppressive regimen with antineoplastic effect. In the present systematic review, the association between mTORi and HCC recurrence after liver transplantation (LT) was evaluated and compared against that of CNIs-treated patients. In total, 3666 HCC liver transplant recipients from 42 studies met the inclusion criteria. Patients under CNIs developed HCC recurrence significantly more frequently, compared with patients under mTORi (448/3227 or 13.8% vs. 35/439 or 8%, P < 0.001), although patients treated with CNIs had a higher proportion of HCC within Milan criteria (74% vs. 69%) and lower rates of microvascular invasion, compared with mTORi-treated patients (22% vs. 44%) (P < 0.05). Patients on everolimus had significantly lower recurrence rates of HCC, compared with those on sirolimus or CNIs (4.1% vs. 10.5% vs. 13.8%, respectively, P < 0.05), but everolimus-treated recipients had shorter follow-up period (13 vs. 30 vs. 43.2 months, respectively) and more frequently been transplanted for HCC within Milan criteria (84% vs. 60.5% vs. 74%, respectively, P < 0.05). Our findings favor the use of mTORi instead of CNIs to control HCC recurrence after LT, but comparative studies with longer follow-up are needed for final conclusions.

The best predictors of short- and medium-term mortality of cirrhotic patients receiving intensive care support are unknown. We conducted meta-analyses from 13 studies (2523 cirrhotics) after selection of original articles and response to a standardized questionnaire by the corresponding authors. End-points were in-ICU, in-hospital, and 6-month mortality in ICU survivors. A total of 301 pooled analyses, including 95 analyses restricted to 6-month mortality among ICU survivors, were conducted considering 249 variables (including reason for admission, organ replacement therapy, and composite prognostic scores). In-ICU, in-hospital, and 6-month mortality was 42.7, 54.1, and 75.1%, respectively. Forty-eight patients (3.8%) underwent liver transplantation during follow-up. In-ICU mortality was lower in patients admitted for variceal bleeding (OR 0.46; 95% CI 0.36–0.59; p < 0.001) and higher in patients with SOFA > 19 at baseline (OR 8.54; 95% CI 2.09–34.91; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.93). High SOFA no longer predicted mortality at 6 months in ICU survivors. Twelve variables related to infection were predictors of in-ICU mortality, including SIRS (OR 2.44; 95% CI 1.64–3.65; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.57), pneumonia (OR 2.18; 95% CI 1.47–3.22; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.69), sepsis-associated refractory oliguria (OR 10.61; 95% CI 4.07–27.63; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.76), and fungal infection (OR 4.38; 95% CI 1.11–17.24; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.85). Among therapeutics, only dopamine (OR 5.57; 95% CI 3.02–10.27; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.68), dobutamine (OR 8.92; 95% CI 3.32–23.96; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.86), epinephrine (OR 5.03; 95% CI 2.68–9.42; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.77), and MARS (OR 2.07; 95% CI 1.22–3.53; p = 0.007; PPV = 0.58) were associated with in-ICU mortality without heterogeneity. In ICU survivors, eight markers of liver and renal failure predicted 6-month mortality, including Child–Pugh stage C (OR 2.43; 95% CI 1.44–4.10; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.57), baseline MELD > 26 (OR 3.97; 95% CI 1.92–8.22; p < 0.0001; PPV = 0.75), and hepatorenal syndrome (OR 4.67; 95% CI 1.24–17.64; p = 0.022; PPV = 0.88). Prognosis of cirrhotic patients admitted to ICU is poor since only a minority undergo liver transplant. The prognostic performance of general ICU scores decreases over time, unlike the Child–Pugh and MELD scores, even recorded in the context of organ failure. Infection-related parameters had a short-term impact, whereas liver and renal failure had a sustained impact on mortality.

Review article: Update on current and emergent data on hepatopulmonary syndrome

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma: Clinical challenges of an intriguing link