Sufficient historical flood inventory data (FID) are crucial for accurately predicting flood susceptibility using supervised machine learning models. However, historical FID are insufficient in many regions. Remote sensing provides a promising opportunity to expand the FID. However, whether the FID expanded by remote sensing can improve the accuracy of flood susceptibility modeling needs further study. In this study, a framework was proposed for improving the accuracy of flood susceptibility prediction (FSP) by combining machine learning models and the expanded FID using Sentinel-1A radar images. Five widely used machine learning models were employed to verify the accuracy of the proposed method by taking Wuhan City as a case study, including the random forest (RF), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN) models. Sentinel-1A images from time points before, during, and after flood events were used to expand the FID for training the machine learning models. The results showed that the performance of the machine learning models for predicting flood susceptibility was improved greatly by considering the expanded FID, being improved by approximately 1.14–19.74% based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Among the used machine learning models, taking into account all the statistical indicators, the ANN showed the best performance, while the SVM showed the best generalization performance in Wuhan City. According to the results of the ANN model, approximately 19% of the area in Wuhan City, mainly distributed near rivers and lakes, is at a high flood susceptibility level. This study provides an essential reference for flood susceptibility analyses in regions with limited flood sampling data.
A good water budget involving four variables, including precipitation (P), evapotranspiration (ET), streamflow (R), and terrestrial water storage change (TWSC), is reflected in two aspects: a high accuracy against observations for each budget component and the low water budget closure residual error (ΔRes). Due to the lack of consideration of observations of budget components in existing water budget closure assessment methods (BCMs), when the ΔRes of budget components is low, their error against respective observations may still be high. In this study, we assess the water budget closure accuracy of satellite/reanalysis-based hydrological data products over mainland China based on six popular P products and multiple datasets of additional budget components (ET, R, and TWSC). The results indicated that the ΔRes changes between ±15 mm over mainland China. Satellite P products such as GPM IMERG showed better performance by comparing them with rain gauge-based observations. However, reanalysis P products such as GLDAS and FLDAS showed a better water budget closure since the selected datasets of additional budget components (ET and R) are also derived from reanalysis datasets. This indicates that these same data sources for budget components make it easier to close the water budget. The further development of satellite P products should consider the closure of the water budget with other water cycle variables.
Affected by global climate change and rapid socio-economic development, China faces serious water security issues, especially in terms of water shortages, flood disasters, and water-related ecological and environmental problems
Affected by global climate change and rapid socio-economic development, China, along with many other countries worldwide, faces a series of water security issues, such as water shortages, flood disasters, and water-related ecological and environmental problems