The median lethal dose for rodent oral acute toxicity (LD50) is a standard piece of information required to categorize chemicals in terms of the potential hazard posed to human health after acute exposure. The exclusive use of in vivo testing is limited by the time and costs required for performing experiments and by the need to sacrifice a number of animals. (Quantitative) structure–activity relationships [(Q)SAR] proved a valid alternative to reduce and assist in vivo assays for assessing acute toxicological hazard. In the framework of a new international collaborative project, the NTP Interagency Center for the Evaluation of Alternative Toxicological Methods and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s National Center for Computational Toxicology compiled a large database of rat acute oral LD50 data, with the aim of supporting the development of new computational models for predicting five regulatory relevant acute toxicity endpoints. In this article, a series of regression and classification computational models were developed by employing different statistical and knowledge-based methodologies. External validation was performed to demonstrate the real-life predictability of models. Integrated modeling was then applied to improve performance of single models. Statistical results confirmed the relevance of developed models in regulatory frameworks, and confirmed the effectiveness of integrated modeling. The best integrated strategies reached RMSEs lower than 0.50 and the best classification models reached balanced accuracies over 0.70 for multi-class and over 0.80 for binary endpoints. Computed predictions will be hosted on the EPA’s Chemistry Dashboard and made freely available to the scientific community.

Biocides are multi-component products used to control undesired and harmful organisms able to affect human or animal health or to damage natural and manufactured products. Because of their widespread use, aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems could be contaminated by biocides. The environmental impact of biocides is evaluated through eco-toxicological studies with model organisms of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. We focused on the development of in silico models for the evaluation of the acute toxicity (EC₅₀) of a set of biocides collected from different sources on the freshwater crustacean Daphnia magna, one of the most widely used model organisms in aquatic toxicology. Toxicological data specific for biocides are limited, so we developed three models for daphnid toxicity using different strategies (linear regression, random forest, Monte Carlo (CORAL)) to overcome this limitation. All models gave satisfactory results in our datasets: the random forest model showed the best results with a determination coefficient r² = 0.97 and 0.89, respectively, for the training (TS) and the validation sets (VS) while linear regression model and the CORAL model had similar but lower performance (r² = 0.83 and 0.75, respectively, for TS and VS in the linear regression model and r² = 0.74 and 0.75 for the CORAL model).

The risk-characterization of chemicals requires the determination of repeated-dose toxicity (RDT). This depends on two main outcomes: the no-observed-adverse-effect level (NOAEL) and the lowest-observed-adverse-effect level (LOAEL). These endpoints are fundamental requirements in several regulatory frameworks, such as the Registration, Evaluation, Authorization and Restriction of Chemicals (REACH) and the European Regulation of 1223/2009 on cosmetics. The RDT results for the safety evaluation of chemicals are undeniably important; however, the in vivo tests are time-consuming and very expensive. The in silico models can provide useful input to investigate sub-chronic RDT. Considering the complexity of these endpoints, involving variable experimental designs, this non-testing approach is challenging and attractive. Here, we built eight in silico models for the NOAEL and LOAEL predictions, focusing on systemic and organ-specific toxicity, looking into the effects on the liver, kidney and brain. Starting with the NOAEL and LOAEL data for oral sub-chronic toxicity in rats, retrieved from public databases, we developed and validated eight quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models based on the optimal descriptors calculated by the Monte Carlo method, using the CORAL software. The results obtained with these models represent a good achievement, to exploit them in a safety assessment, considering the importance of organ-related toxicity.