Most of the hydrological and hydraulic studies refer to the notion of a return period to quantify design variables. When dealing with multiple design variables, the well-known univariate statistical analysis is no longer satisfactory, and several issues challenge the practitioner. How should one incorporate the dependence between variables? How should a multivariate return period be defined and applied in order to yield a proper design event? In this study an overview of the state of the art for estimating multivariate design events is given and the different approaches are compared. The construction of multivariate distribution functions is done through the use of copulas, given their practicality in multivariate frequency analyses and their ability to model numerous types of dependence structures in a flexible way. A synthetic case study is used to generate a large data set of simulated discharges that is used for illustrating the effect of different modelling choices on the design events. Based on different uni- and multivariate approaches, the design hydrograph characteristics of a 3-D phenomenon composed of annual maximum peak discharge, its volume, and duration are derived. These approaches are based on regression analysis, bivariate conditional distributions, bivariate joint distributions and Kendall distribution functions, highlighting theoretical and practical issues of multivariate frequency analysis. Also an ensemble-based approach is presented. For a given design return period, the approach chosen clearly affects the calculated design event, and much attention should be given to the choice of the approach used as this depends on the real-world problem at hand.
To promote the advancement of novel observation techniques that may lead to new sources of information to help better understand the hydrological cycle, the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS) established the Measurements and Observations in the XXI century (MOXXI) Working Group in July 2013. The group comprises a growing community of tech-enthusiastic hydrologists that design and develop their own sensing systems, adopt a multi-disciplinary perspective in tackling complex observations, often use low-cost equipment intended for other applications to build innovative sensors, or perform opportunistic measurements. This paper states the objectives of the group and reviews major advances carried out by MOXXI members toward the advancement of hydrological sciences. Challenges and opportunities are outlined to provide strategic guidance for advancement of measurement, and thus discovery.
The time of concentration is a primary parameter for a variety of modern hydrological models adopted in professional and scientific communities. Nevertheless, a universally accepted working definition of this parameter is currently lacking and several definitions can be found in the technical literature along with related estimation procedures. This study brings to light the inherent variability of these definitions through the empirical analysis of four small basins. These case studies demonstrate that available approaches for the estimation of the time of concentration may yield numerical predictions that differ from each other by up to 500%. Editor D. Koutsoyiannis Citation Grimaldi, S., Petroselli, A., Tauro, F. and Porfiri, M., 2012. Time of concentration: a paradox in modern hydrology. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (2), 217–228.
In this study, a parsimonious hydrological modelling algorithm is proposed based on the automated DEM-based geomorphic characterization of runoff dynamics in scarcely monitored river basins. The proposed approach implements the instantaneous unit hydrograph (IUH) concept, estimated using the width function (WF), for characterizing the travel time distribution using just one parameter, the river network flow velocity. Hillslope velocities are defined using spatially-distributed empirical formulas based on slope and soil-use information extrapolated from digital topographic data. Case studies are presented for testing model performance and comparing simulated and observed hydrographs of 25 selected flood events, as well as investigating the differences with the geomorphological instantaneous unit hydrograph (GIUH) model results. The calibration of the WFIUH channel flow velocity parameter using the concentration time is investigated providing interesting insights for the use of such a method for hydrological prediction in ungauged basins. Editor D. Koutsoyiannis Citation Grimaldi, S., Petroselli, A. and Nardi, F., 2012 Grimaldi, S. , Petroselli, A. , Porfiri, M. and Tauro, F. 2012. Time of concentration: a paradox of modern hydrology. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57(1) in press [Google Scholar] . A parsimonious geomorphological unit hydrograph for rainfall–runoff modelling in small ungauged basins. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (1), 73–83.